NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Phoenix Suns	146		Excitement	18.6 [4]		MVP	Thomas Bryant (WAS): +120.5%
Washington Wizards	149		Comeback	24.3 [105]		LVP	Trevor Ariza (WAS): -64.6%

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
T.J. Warren	0.44	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.28,0.28,0.44	0.12	0.32	0.00	18	58%	0.47	1	-0.03	12	58%	-0.11
Kelly Oubre Jr.	0.43	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.31,0.31,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.43,0.43	0.07	0.35	-0.01	14	59%	0.52	1	-0.09	6	83%	0.01
Deandre Ayton	0.40	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.14,0.24,0.08,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.4	0.08	0.29	-0.03	18	63%	0.60	3	-0.20	5	80%	0.02
Richaun Holmes	0.36	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.28,0.28,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.36	0.09	0.27	0.00	8	75%	0.36	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
De'Anthony Melton	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.08	0.02	0.01	5	100%	0.11	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Devin Booker	0.09	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.01,-0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.04,0.01,0,0,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.02,0.02,0.17,0.28,0.23,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.03,0.09	0.01	0.08	-0.00	28	52%	0.20	4	-0.11	8	87%	-0.07
Mikal Bridges	-0.09	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	0.03	-0.11	0.01	4	62%	-0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Josh Jackson	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.09	-0.01	-0.01	8	12%	-0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jamal Crawford	-0.24	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.16,-0.16,-0.12,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.24,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24	-0.11	-0.13	-0.00	12	38%	-0.14	4	-0.10	2	100%	0.02

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Thomas Bryant	0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.19,0.43,0.61,0.67,0.74,0.74,0.74,1.09,1.09,1.09,1.09,1.21,1.21	1.21	0.29	0.93	0.02	14	100%	1.23	1	-0.03	3	100%	0.08
Jeff Green	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.29,0.61,0.61,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.69	0.69	0.16	0.53	-0.00	8	77%	0.69	0	0.00	10	100%	0.26
Bradley Beal	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.16,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,0.21,0.21,0.11,0.27,0.27,0.17,0.07,0.07,0.07,-0.03,-0.11,-0.22,-0.28,-0.21,0.08,0.08,0.26	0.26	0.04	0.23	-0.00	33	59%	0.65	8	-0.39	2	100%	0.03
Sam Dekker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.02	0.04	-0.01	3	67%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Markieff Morris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.07,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.05,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.02	0.03	-0.01	18	56%	0.18	5	-0.16	0	0%	0.00
Ron Baker	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chasson Randle	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.06	0.01	-0.00	5	21%	-0.05	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Tomas Satoransky	0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.28,-0.28,-0.18,-0.28,-0.28,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.24	-0.24	0.02	-0.25	0.01	12	61%	-0.18	3	-0.06	4	75%	0.02
Trevor Ariza	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.16,-0.16,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.38,-0.38,-0.38,-0.38,-0.46,-0.46,-0.46,-0.46,-0.46,-0.65,-0.65	-0.65	-0.17	-0.47	0.00	18	35%	-0.36	5	-0.28	4	75%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1		OT2		OT3	Total
this game	22.5	1.7	25.4	8.8	28.5	1.8	42.2	3.5	10.6	1.8	14.4	2.4	17.3	180.8
league avg	25.3	2.2	27.8	14.6	27.6	2.2	31.9	3.3	15.6	3.3	15.6	3.3	15.6	132.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHX -6.2%

WAS +37.0%

WAS +28.0%

PHX -24.7%

WAS +15.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHX	WAS	NBA	PHX	WAS	NBA
this game	15.1	15.3	14.3	115.9	121.1	109.3
season	14.4	13.8		104.8	109.8
opponent	14.3	14.0		112.4	114.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
PHX	15.2	13.4	15.9	14.7	16.6	14.9
WAS	13.0	15.4	14.8	15.5	18.6	15.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Josh Jackson	37	36	0.14	-0.64	0.78	0.08	2	-5	7	13.3	15.9	-2.58	14.4	15.6	-1.28
Mikal Bridges	71	69	0.12	-0.62	0.73	0.20	-3	0	-3	13.9	16.6	-2.67	14.5	16.2	-1.70
De'Anthony Melton	39	39	0.09	-0.59	0.67	-0.03	4	-7	11	15.3	15.0	0.27	15.2	15.3	-0.13
Deandre Ayton	75	76	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.02	-5	2	-7	15.4	14.6	0.85	14.9	15.8	-0.84
Jamal Crawford	67	63	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.47	5	-8	13	14.8	15.4	-0.62	16.0	14.5	1.47
Richaun Holmes	51	47	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.39	2	-5	7	14.6	15.4	-0.85	15.8	14.9	0.84
Devin Booker	107	104	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.38	-1	-2	1	15.6	12.3	3.27	15.2	15.5	-0.24
Kelly Oubre Jr.	80	79	-0.72	0.22	-0.95	-0.52	-7	4	-11	15.6	14.1	1.52	16.0	13.9	2.12
T.J. Warren	103	102	-0.89	0.39	-1.28	-0.54	-12	9	-21	15.7	12.3	3.47	15.1	15.9	-0.77

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Thomas Bryant	69	68	0.95	-0.45	1.41	0.60	12	-9	21	15.7	14.8	0.87	15.7	14.4	1.36
Jeff Green	85	89	0.75	-0.25	1.00	0.46	10	-7	17	14.8	16.3	-1.48	15.8	13.5	2.32
Trevor Ariza	103	105	0.67	-0.17	0.85	0.47	7	-4	11	15.2	15.5	-0.28	15.8	11.3	4.51
Tomas Satoransky	86	87	0.63	-0.13	0.76	0.48	5	-2	7	15.3	15.2	0.04	14.8	15.8	-0.98
Bradley Beal	104	107	0.55	-0.05	0.61	0.38	6	-3	9	15.1	16.1	-0.93	15.5	12.6	2.96
Ron Baker	29	32	-0.11	0.61	-0.72	0.03	-5	8	-13	15.3	15.2	0.10	12.2	16.1	-3.90
Chasson Randle	39	40	-0.17	0.67	-0.85	-0.06	-4	7	-11	15.0	15.4	-0.39	14.4	15.4	-0.95
Sam Dekker	30	29	-0.25	0.75	-1.00	-0.05	-7	10	-17	15.0	15.4	-0.35	12.7	15.8	-3.17
Markieff Morris	54	57	-0.53	1.03	-1.55	-0.26	-9	12	-21	14.8	15.7	-0.87	14.5	15.6	-1.17

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.57,0.55,0.54,0.56,0.59,0.53,0.54,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.6,0.66,0.6,0.62,0.56,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.54,0.61,0.54,0.51,0.5,0.48,0.46,0.39,0.45,0.52,0.58,0.55,0.52,0.44,0.4,0.44,0.66,0.62,0.47,0.38,0.37,0.3,0.2,0.27,0.25,0.14,0.15,0.84,0.5,0.33,0.37,0.34,0.74,0.54,0.48,0.37,0.32,0.27,0.54,0.38,0.46,0.69,0.84,1
Game		Similarity Score
CHI 94, CHH 100	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.48,0.46,0.46,0.43,0.41,0.41,0.47,0.49,0.55,0.51,0.63,0.66,0.62,0.67,0.62,0.54,0.53,0.63,0.59,0.66,0.59,0.56,0.5,0.49,0.46,0.55,0.52,0.67,0.65,0.59,0.55,0.52,0.48,0.44,0.46,0.43,0.38,0.43,0.42,0.3,0.24,0.28,0.38,0.22,0.24,0.91,1	87.5%
NOH 111, SAC 110	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.57,0.51,0.51,0.43,0.51,0.49,0.62,0.56,0.65,0.6,0.58,0.6,0.6,0.53,0.46,0.54,0.61,0.56,0.46,0.49,0.5,0.54,0.48,0.42,0.42,0.52,0.62,0.59,0.59,0.56,0.63,0.6,0.66,0.67,0.53,0.47,0.37,0.31,0.19,0.13,0.14,0.08,0.23,0.42,0	86.9%
CHI 105, MIN 112	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.51,0.56,0.63,0.62,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.48,0.49,0.41,0.36,0.46,0.44,0.33,0.48,0.48,0.49,0.61,0.64,0.55,0.52,0.56,0.59,0.48,0.58,0.5,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.53,0.41,0.35,0.27,0.2,0.22,0.31,0.73,1	86.6%