NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Chicago Bulls	94		Excitement	8.6 [158]		MVP	Fred Hoiberg (CHI): +31.5%
Charlotte Hornets	100		Comeback	4.7 [483]		LVP	Elton Brand (CHI): -24.5%

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Fred Hoiberg	0.31	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.31	0.10	0.20	-0.01	13	74%	0.37	2	-0.06	1	100%	0.09
Chris Anstey	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	-0.02	0.04	-0.02	3	67%	0.08	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Corey Benjamin	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Matt Maloney	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	6	50%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Hersey Hawkins	-0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	5	40%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Dickey Simpkins	-0.06	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	6	50%	-0.00	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Will Perdue	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.07	-0.02	-0.00	4	50%	-0.02	2	-0.07	6	50%	-0.04
Chris Carr	-0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.16	-0.06	-0.10	-0.01	10	65%	0.00	6	-0.16	6	67%	-0.03
Randy Brown	-0.23	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.23,-0.23	-0.10	-0.14	-0.01	8	22%	-0.15	1	-0.08	2	100%	0.03
Elton Brand	-0.24	0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0,-0.24,-0.24	-0.01	-0.24	-0.01	18	56%	0.04	3	-0.29	7	86%	0.04

Charlotte Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Anthony Mason	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11	0.11	0.05	0.06	0.01	5	75%	0.11	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Elden Campbell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.02	0.00	1	75%	0.02	0	0.00	6	67%	-0.02
Eddie Jones	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.01	-0.01	15	55%	0.04	1	-0.02	12	83%	0.06
Eddie Robinson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.02	0.00	8	50%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Chucky Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
David Wesley	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.16,-0.16,-0.27,0.03,0	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	13	53%	0.19	2	-0.20	4	100%	0.06
Dale Ellis	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	-0.03	6	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Derrick Coleman	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	19	52%	0.02	1	-0.04	12	75%	-0.02
Ricky Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	0.00	1	25%	-0.03	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Baron Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.06	-0.03	0.00	6	17%	-0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.0	1.8	27.2	15.7	24.3	2.5	41.4	134.0
league avg	26.0	2.2	28.8	16.5	26.3	2.2	33.7	137.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHH +0.4%

CHH +8.6%

CHI -28.0%

CHH +66.5%

CHH +2.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHI	CHH	NBA	CHI	CHH	NBA
this game	16.1	14.5	15.2	101.1	105.3	101.7
season	16.5	14.9		91.8	101.5
opponent	15.1	14.9		99.2	102.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHI	14.8	17.1	18.4	14.7	16.1
CHH	14.6	15.6	15.1	13.0	14.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Will Perdue	34	36	0.16	-0.66	0.82	0.05	4	-10	14	17.8	15.2	2.61	14.8	14.3	0.47
Chris Anstey	16	17	0.15	-0.65	0.80	0.00	5	-11	16	18.4	15.7	2.70	12.6	14.9	-2.35
Corey Benjamin	5	4	0.14	-0.64	0.77	-0.01	5	-11	16	12.4	16.4	-3.95	21.7	14.2	7.55
Matt Maloney	35	35	0.02	-0.52	0.54	0.08	-2	-4	2	17.3	15.4	1.84	13.2	15.3	-2.04
Hersey Hawkins	30	32	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	0.07	-7	1	-8	14.8	16.8	-1.98	15.7	13.9	1.72
Fred Hoiberg	79	81	-0.32	-0.18	-0.13	-0.40	3	-9	12	16.8	12.2	4.62	14.7	13.4	1.28
Randy Brown	72	74	-0.40	-0.10	-0.29	-0.40	0	-6	6	16.3	15.7	0.55	15.0	12.9	2.13
Elton Brand	79	80	-0.63	0.13	-0.76	-0.31	-11	5	-16	15.7	18.6	-2.86	14.6	13.9	0.77
Dickey Simpkins	57	57	-0.68	0.18	-0.86	-0.39	-10	4	-14	15.1	17.7	-2.63	14.7	14.2	0.55
Chris Carr	58	59	-0.81	0.31	-1.11	-0.31	-17	11	-28	15.4	17.4	-2.07	13.3	16.5	-3.15

Charlotte Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Eddie Jones	75	74	0.76	-0.26	1.01	0.32	15	-9	24	14.2	15.7	-1.56	16.6	14.5	2.03
David Wesley	69	66	0.68	-0.18	0.87	0.30	13	-7	20	14.1	15.7	-1.57	16.2	15.9	0.35
Elden Campbell	16	16	0.66	-0.16	0.82	0.37	10	-4	14	10.7	15.3	-4.53	14.4	16.5	-2.13
Anthony Mason	79	78	0.63	-0.13	0.76	0.28	12	-6	18	14.4	15.2	-0.81	16.1	16.3	-0.15
Eddie Robinson	46	44	0.32	0.18	0.13	0.38	-2	8	-10	14.0	15.0	-1.08	15.4	16.8	-1.34
Dale Ellis	45	45	0.24	0.26	-0.02	-0.05	10	-4	14	15.3	13.8	1.47	16.2	16.0	0.20
Derrick Coleman	75	73	-0.11	0.61	-0.71	-0.02	-3	9	-12	15.4	11.1	4.26	16.1	16.3	-0.20
Ricky Davis	17	17	-0.18	0.68	-0.86	0.02	-7	13	-20	15.1	14.4	0.73	15.1	16.4	-1.32
Chucky Brown	20	19	-0.18	0.68	-0.87	0.02	-7	13	-20	14.7	14.5	0.23	17.9	15.7	2.21
Baron Davis	33	33	-0.32	0.82	-1.14	0.00	-11	17	-28	15.6	14.0	1.62	16.4	16.0	0.35

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.46,0.48,0.46,0.46,0.43,0.41,0.41,0.47,0.49,0.55,0.51,0.63,0.66,0.62,0.67,0.62,0.54,0.53,0.63,0.59,0.66,0.59,0.56,0.5,0.49,0.46,0.55,0.52,0.67,0.65,0.59,0.55,0.52,0.48,0.44,0.46,0.43,0.38,0.43,0.42,0.3,0.24,0.28,0.38,0.22,0.24,0.91,1
Game		Similarity Score
DET 115, ATL 118	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.5,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.49,0.51,0.63,0.53,0.56,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.61,0.58,0.71,0.66,0.64,0.59,0.5,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.65,0.58,0.59,0.67,0.75,0.58,0.52,0.47,0.33,0.23,0.31,0.19,0.27,0.38,0.21,0.32,0.83,1	90.8%
DET 112, POR 117	0.5,0.49,0.53,0.46,0.43,0.5,0.42,0.45,0.57,0.59,0.6,0.63,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.66,0.73,0.73,0.7,0.76,0.73,0.65,0.61,0.54,0.56,0.54,0.54,0.49,0.55,0.64,0.61,0.55,0.45,0.48,0.44,0.4,0.36,0.38,0.26,0.25,0.28,0.32,0.36,0.35,0.27,0.19,0.15,0.33,0.97,1	90.8%
CHI 105, MIN 112	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.51,0.56,0.63,0.62,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.48,0.49,0.41,0.36,0.46,0.44,0.33,0.48,0.48,0.49,0.61,0.64,0.55,0.52,0.56,0.59,0.48,0.58,0.5,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.53,0.41,0.35,0.27,0.2,0.22,0.31,0.73,1	90.3%