NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Chicago Bulls	105		Excitement	7.9 [279]		MVP	Andrew Wiggins (MIN): +30.5%
Minnesota Timberwolves	112		Comeback	10.3 [151]		LVP	Zach LaVine (MIN): -16.4%

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Bobby Portis	0.26	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26	0.13	0.14	0.00	9	79%	0.26	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Pau Gasol	0.13	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.02,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.18,0.18,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.2,0.13	0.13	0.01	0.01	16	64%	0.17	1	-0.04	7	100%	0.05
Kirk Hinrich	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.05	0.01	-0.00	6	67%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mike Dunleavy	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.01	0.04	0.00	4	62%	0.07	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
E'Twaun Moore	0.04	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.04,0.04	0.11	-0.03	0.03	13	65%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Doug McDermott	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.00	-0.02	-0.00	8	44%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Tony Snell	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	1	100%	0.02	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Aaron Brooks	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Taj Gibson	-0.08	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.05	-0.03	-0.00	6	50%	0.01	3	-0.09	2	50%	-0.03
Derrick Rose	-0.10	0,0,0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.13,-0.13,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.02	-0.03	20	38%	0.02	3	-0.12	7	86%	0.03

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Andrew Wiggins	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.08,0.03,0.03,-0.01,0.13,0.3	0.30	0.04	0.26	-0.01	17	52%	0.32	1	-0.01	6	83%	0.03
Gorgui Dieng	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.13,0.2,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22	0.22	0.17	0.09	0.03	13	80%	0.25	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.03
Karl-Anthony Towns	0,0,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.10	0.04	0.03	19	65%	0.16	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.02
Ricky Rubio	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.04	0.06	0.01	6	78%	0.16	3	-0.07	6	100%	0.07
Andre Miller	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.02	0.03	-0.01	4	50%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shabazz Muhammad	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.07,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	8	44%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Tayshaun Prince	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	0.01	2	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Damjan Rudez	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	2	0%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Zach LaVine	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,-0.01,0.04,0.01,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.17,-0.22,-0.22,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.05	-0.11	-0.00	16	38%	-0.11	1	-0.05	2	100%	0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.3	2.3	26.5	15.5	28.4	2.4	35.5	131.9
league avg	24.5	2.3	29.5	15.8	26.7	2.3	33.5	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIN +9.1%

MIN +7.0%

MIN +20.0%

MIN +14.7%

CHI -0.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHI	MIN	NBA	CHI	MIN	NBA
this game	15.6	15.3	14.9	112.9	120.4	105.1
season	14.8	14.8		103.7	104.8
opponent	15.0	14.9		108.4	105.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHI	16.2	15.4	14.6	16.3	15.6
MIN	13.8	15.9	16.7	15.0	15.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kirk Hinrich	32	30	0.22	-0.72	0.94	0.04	6	-13	19	16.5	15.2	1.37	16.6	14.7	1.92
Taj Gibson	63	62	0.19	-0.69	0.88	0.01	6	-13	19	15.7	15.5	0.15	15.2	15.5	-0.27
Mike Dunleavy	25	25	-0.04	-0.46	0.43	-0.01	-1	-6	5	16.2	15.4	0.77	16.5	14.9	1.62
Aaron Brooks	16	16	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	0.04	-6	-1	-5	16.4	15.5	0.97	15.4	15.3	0.05
Tony Snell	22	23	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	0.03	-10	3	-13	15.1	15.8	-0.65	12.9	16.1	-3.27
Doug McDermott	50	49	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.32	0	-7	7	16.2	15.0	1.18	15.6	15.1	0.50
Derrick Rose	65	66	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.38	-3	-4	1	15.3	16.5	-1.19	15.0	16.0	-0.99
Pau Gasol	67	67	-0.53	0.03	-0.56	-0.30	-8	1	-9	14.9	17.5	-2.64	15.1	15.9	-0.82
Bobby Portis	52	53	-0.54	0.04	-0.58	-0.30	-8	1	-9	15.9	15.2	0.70	16.0	14.4	1.59
E'Twaun Moore	73	74	-0.62	0.12	-0.74	-0.30	-11	4	-15	15.4	16.5	-1.17	15.1	16.4	-1.37

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Gorgui Dieng	81	80	0.59	-0.09	0.69	0.30	10	-3	13	15.1	16.6	-1.44	15.6	15.7	-0.07
Andrew Wiggins	67	65	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.26	9	-2	11	14.7	16.9	-2.21	15.0	17.0	-2.00
Ricky Rubio	64	63	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.26	9	-2	11	14.8	16.5	-1.72	14.8	17.3	-2.46
Karl-Anthony Towns	81	79	0.51	-0.01	0.52	0.37	5	2	3	15.3	15.7	-0.38	15.3	17.4	-2.03
Zach LaVine	67	68	0.28	0.22	0.07	0.28	0	7	-7	15.7	14.3	1.37	15.8	15.3	0.48
Tayshaun Prince	26	25	0.22	0.28	-0.07	0.01	7	0	7	14.3	15.7	-1.37	15.3	15.8	-0.48
Andre Miller	29	30	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	0.04	-2	9	-11	16.5	14.8	1.72	17.3	14.8	2.46
Shabazz Muhammad	26	28	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	0.04	-2	9	-11	16.9	14.7	2.21	17.0	15.0	2.00
Damjan Rudez	24	27	-0.10	0.60	-0.71	-0.07	-1	8	-9	16.1	15.1	1.07	16.6	15.3	1.30

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.51,0.56,0.63,0.62,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.48,0.49,0.41,0.36,0.46,0.44,0.33,0.48,0.48,0.49,0.61,0.64,0.55,0.52,0.56,0.59,0.48,0.58,0.5,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.53,0.41,0.35,0.27,0.2,0.22,0.31,0.73,1
Game		Similarity Score
WAS 94, HOU 98	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.42,0.44,0.42,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.4,0.42,0.43,0.47,0.46,0.47,0.42,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.44,0.44,0.37,0.34,0.4,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.58,0.48,0.46,0.56,0.56,0.52,0.42,0.38,0.47,0.47,0.53,0.31,0.24,0.22,0.19,0.37,0.43,0.59,1	91.8%
POR 93, MIN 94	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.43,0.41,0.36,0.43,0.43,0.42,0.42,0.5,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.54,0.52,0.52,0.59,0.46,0.44,0.44,0.46,0.37,0.37,0.45,0.52,0.48,0.58,0.65,0.59,0.59,0.52,0.56,0.5,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.42,0.41,0.39,0.33,0.38,0.21,0.17,0.58,1	91.7%
ATL 99, ORL 100	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.41,0.51,0.43,0.47,0.38,0.37,0.47,0.55,0.42,0.44,0.47,0.42,0.48,0.44,0.44,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.38,0.4,0.48,0.55,0.64,0.55,0.55,0.48,0.44,0.48,0.52,0.5,0.62,0.43,0.29,0.37,0.36,0.35,0.27,0.25,0.21,0.32,0.58,1	91.2%