NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Orleans Hornets	111		Excitement	9.5 [88]		MVP	Rasual Butler (NOH): +78.5%
Sacramento Kings	110		Comeback	11.7 [119]		LVP	Chris Paul (NOH): -17.4%

New Orleans Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rasual Butler	0.79	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.79	0.08	0.72	0.01	16	56%	0.79	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
David West	0.50	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.22,0.22,0.18,0.24,0.29,0.29,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.5,0.5	0.20	0.29	-0.01	25	67%	0.57	3	-0.07	10	100%	0.07
Julian Wright	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.08	-0.01	0.02	8	82%	0.11	2	-0.06	1	0%	-0.01
Antonio Daniels	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.00	0.00	3	83%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sean Marks	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.02	0.03	0.00	2	50%	0.04	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Hilton Armstrong	0.01	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.01	6	56%	0.05	1	-0.04	4	25%	-0.06
Morris Peterson	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	2	0%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Devin Brown	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.1	0.01	-0.10	0.00	5	50%	-0.10	0	0.00	4	25%	-0.25
Chris Paul	-0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.03,-0.17	-0.04	-0.14	-0.00	15	42%	-0.09	1	-0.08	6	83%	-0.00

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Francisco Garcia	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.02,0.02,0.36,0.36	0.36	0.11	0.25	0.01	11	79%	0.41	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Beno Udrih	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.26	0.26	-0.03	0.27	-0.02	8	50%	0.30	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Rashad McCants	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.06,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.08	0.08	-0.01	9	65%	0.16	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Kevin Martin	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.08	0.01	-0.00	13	57%	0.12	1	-0.03	9	78%	-0.01
Spencer Hawes	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.05	0.01	0.01	13	57%	0.07	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.02
Jason Thompson	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.02	0.01	6	44%	0.02	0	0.00	6	67%	-0.01
Donte Greene	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	2	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Andres Nocioni	0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.03,0,0,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.15,0.12,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,-0.16	-0.16	0.14	-0.28	0.02	14	77%	0.06	2	-0.22	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	29.1	0.8	32.4	32.5	20.3	2.6	33.3	150.9
league avg	26.4	2.4	30.1	16.5	27.1	2.4	33.3	140.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NOH +37.6%

SAC -9.5%

NOH +5.4%

NOH +7.3%

NOH +9.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NOH	SAC	NBA	NOH	SAC	NBA
this game	16.9	15.4	15.5	124.7	123.6	106.4
season	16.6	15.0		105.9	104.0
opponent	15.1	15.6		112.7	106.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NOH	14.7	16.8	20.1	16.5	16.9
SAC	14.1	15.9	14.9	17.0	15.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Orleans Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
David West	79	80	0.76	-0.26	1.03	0.76	0	1	-1	17.0	16.3	0.70	15.1	18.3	-3.22
Sean Marks	34	33	0.68	-0.18	0.86	0.33	12	-11	23	15.6	17.7	-2.16	16.6	14.8	1.81
Devin Brown	48	47	0.59	-0.09	0.68	0.53	2	-1	3	17.0	16.9	0.08	15.3	15.5	-0.21
Rasual Butler	83	83	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.49	-2	3	-5	16.7	19.8	-3.12	15.3	18.0	-2.75
Chris Paul	79	79	0.36	0.14	0.23	0.48	-4	5	-9	16.5	20.5	-4.03	15.3	16.4	-1.08
Julian Wright	58	58	0.16	0.34	-0.17	0.22	-2	3	-5	16.6	17.5	-0.86	15.4	15.5	-0.02
Morris Peterson	13	13	-0.07	0.57	-0.63	-0.01	-2	3	-5	17.7	16.8	0.90	13.8	15.7	-1.86
Hilton Armstrong	39	40	-0.21	0.71	-0.93	-0.15	-2	3	-5	19.2	15.2	4.02	15.9	15.1	0.79
Antonio Daniels	12	12	-0.22	0.72	-0.93	-0.30	3	-2	5	17.7	16.8	0.96	17.2	15.2	2.09

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Andres Nocioni	66	66	0.07	-0.57	0.65	-0.25	11	-12	23	14.9	17.1	-2.22	16.7	17.5	-0.75
Beno Udrih	65	66	-0.06	-0.44	0.37	-0.24	6	-7	13	15.3	15.7	-0.43	16.2	18.9	-2.63
Donte Greene	20	20	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.04	-1	0	-1	16.5	15.1	1.43	17.5	16.7	0.81
Jason Thompson	48	47	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.15	-10	9	-19	16.3	14.4	1.90	17.9	15.8	2.15
Kevin Martin	84	84	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.46	0	-1	1	15.2	20.2	-5.05	16.7	21.4	-4.75
Spencer Hawes	65	65	-0.49	-0.01	-0.47	-0.08	-14	13	-27	16.1	13.5	2.60	17.2	16.2	1.03
Rashad McCants	42	42	-0.49	-0.01	-0.49	-0.55	2	-3	5	14.6	16.2	-1.55	17.0	16.8	0.24
Francisco Garcia	55	55	-0.56	0.06	-0.63	-0.59	1	-2	3	15.3	15.6	-0.29	16.9	17.0	-0.17

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.57,0.51,0.51,0.43,0.51,0.49,0.62,0.56,0.65,0.6,0.58,0.6,0.6,0.53,0.46,0.54,0.61,0.56,0.46,0.49,0.5,0.54,0.48,0.42,0.42,0.52,0.62,0.59,0.59,0.56,0.63,0.6,0.66,0.67,0.53,0.47,0.37,0.31,0.19,0.13,0.14,0.08,0.23,0.42,0
Game		Similarity Score
CHI 86, CLE 85	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.52,0.48,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.55,0.6,0.54,0.53,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.58,0.54,0.61,0.59,0.56,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.55,0.58,0.52,0.55,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.58,0.52,0.43,0.38,0.37,0.41,0.24,0.22,0.31,0.22,0.13,0.26,0	92.2%
NYK 100, TOR 94	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.47,0.52,0.55,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.54,0.58,0.56,0.55,0.56,0.49,0.48,0.44,0.49,0.58,0.56,0.54,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.61,0.55,0.58,0.58,0.59,0.69,0.66,0.63,0.64,0.62,0.66,0.47,0.53,0.37,0.41,0.19,0.17,0.19,0.11,0.04,0.08,0	91.4%
PHI 92, MIL 90	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.5,0.44,0.43,0.39,0.4,0.43,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.47,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.54,0.58,0.59,0.54,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.5,0.43,0.54,0.49,0.45,0.52,0.62,0.62,0.65,0.59,0.56,0.52,0.58,0.49,0.43,0.34,0.28,0.36,0.2,0.17,0.11,0.04,0.02,0.16,0	91.3%