NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	111		Excitement	7.5 [398]		MVP	James Harden (HOU): +26.8%
Houston Rockets	126		Comeback	1.6 [785]		LVP	Lonzo Ball (LAL): -12.0%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Lance Stephenson	0.20	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.10	0.12	0.02	12	71%	0.25	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Kuzma	0.17	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.08,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.14,0.14,0.19,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.04	0.09	-0.03	17	59%	0.23	2	-0.06	7	100%	0.11
JaVale McGee	0.11	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.02	0.09	-0.00	6	69%	0.14	2	-0.03	4	25%	-0.05
Josh Hart	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.11	-0.02	0.01	8	79%	0.13	1	-0.05	3	33%	-0.03
LeBron James	0.06	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.15,0.12,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.12	-0.04	0.02	18	69%	0.12	3	-0.06	6	33%	-0.05
Isaac Bonga	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Svi Mykhailiuk	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tyson Chandler	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	7	42%	-0.04	0	0.00	5	60%	-0.02
Lonzo Ball	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.10	-0.02	-0.00	9	35%	-0.01	3	-0.11	2	50%	-0.01

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
James Harden	0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.21,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27	0.27	0.24	0.11	0.08	26	70%	0.46	6	-0.19	19	95%	0.09
Danuel House Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.15,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.11	0.05	0.00	8	83%	0.20	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Clint Capela	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.04	0.06	0.00	13	55%	0.12	1	-0.02	3	67%	-0.01
Gerald Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.01	0.07	-0.00	5	60%	0.12	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Eric Gordon	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.02	0.05	-0.01	11	59%	0.13	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Nene	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.04	0.02	0.00	4	75%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Paul	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.00	0.03	-0.00	10	54%	0.08	2	-0.05	6	83%	0.06
Brandon Knight	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
PJ Tucker	0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.01	0.03	6	43%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.1	3.0	31.5	15.7	31.4	3.4	27.3	140.4
league avg	25.3	2.2	27.8	14.6	27.6	2.2	31.9	132.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

HOU +6.6%

HOU +26.4%

HOU +22.7%

LAL -1.4%

LAL -4.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	HOU	NBA	LAL	HOU	NBA
this game	14.2	16.1	14.3	116.8	132.6	109.3
season	13.5	14.8		107.2	114.0
opponent	14.4	14.2		109.3	108.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAL	13.2	14.7	12.6	16.5	14.2
HOU	16.8	16.7	16.2	14.8	16.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope	44	44	0.07	-0.57	0.64	-0.11	6	-21	27	13.6	14.7	-1.16	16.5	15.8	0.70
Isaac Bonga	2	2	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.06	-2	-13	11	14.5	14.2	0.32	15.5	16.1	-0.64
Svi Mykhailiuk	17	17	-0.16	-0.34	0.19	-0.01	-5	-10	5	16.8	13.6	3.14	15.8	16.2	-0.44
Tyson Chandler	35	36	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	0.04	-9	-6	-3	14.3	14.1	0.11	15.7	16.4	-0.61
JaVale McGee	59	59	-0.25	-0.25	0.01	-0.07	-6	-9	3	14.3	14.0	0.31	16.4	15.7	0.61
Kyle Kuzma	74	74	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.04	-9	-6	-3	13.6	16.2	-2.57	16.3	15.6	0.71
LeBron James	72	72	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.09	-9	-6	-3	13.4	16.7	-3.31	16.4	15.1	1.31
Josh Hart	55	57	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.17	-7	-8	1	14.0	14.5	-0.54	16.6	15.4	1.22
Lance Stephenson	45	45	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.05	-13	-2	-11	15.4	13.1	2.30	15.0	17.1	-2.10
Lonzo Ball	72	69	-0.48	-0.02	-0.45	0.14	-21	6	-27	14.6	12.8	1.80	15.8	17.0	-1.15

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Clint Capela	70	71	0.70	-0.20	0.90	0.11	20	-5	25	15.5	18.0	-2.54	14.5	13.3	1.20
Danuel House Jr.	57	58	0.59	-0.09	0.68	0.06	18	-3	21	15.4	17.2	-1.85	15.3	12.5	2.83
James Harden	70	71	0.38	0.12	0.27	-0.03	14	1	13	16.5	15.0	1.53	13.5	16.1	-2.53
PJ Tucker	74	74	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.04	11	4	7	16.4	15.1	1.32	13.4	16.9	-3.49
Eric Gordon	66	64	0.32	0.18	0.13	0.11	7	8	-1	16.2	16.1	0.08	14.5	13.6	0.81
Chris Paul	73	74	0.28	0.22	0.07	0.05	8	7	1	16.0	16.5	-0.43	14.3	13.7	0.67
Brandon Knight	7	6	0.05	0.45	-0.39	0.02	1	14	-13	16.0	16.1	-0.14	16.3	14.0	2.29
Gerald Green	33	33	0.01	0.49	-0.47	-0.02	1	14	-13	16.1	16.1	-0.05	14.1	14.2	-0.10
Nene	25	24	-0.20	0.70	-0.90	-0.05	-5	20	-25	18.0	15.5	2.54	13.3	14.5	-1.20

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.45,0.51,0.55,0.61,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.64,0.66,0.63,0.58,0.66,0.62,0.68,0.67,0.61,0.56,0.49,0.46,0.56,0.61,0.67,0.6,0.55,0.58,0.67,0.71,0.65,0.55,0.69,0.66,0.6,0.56,0.58,0.62,0.62,0.53,0.42,0.69,0.71,0.78,0.86,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
UTA 103, MIN 110	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.55,0.56,0.55,0.47,0.57,0.56,0.51,0.59,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.6,0.62,0.6,0.56,0.54,0.51,0.56,0.58,0.67,0.7,0.62,0.58,0.59,0.56,0.61,0.71,0.69,0.66,0.7,0.74,0.6,0.62,0.52,0.62,0.62,0.68,0.79,0.76,0.72,0.81,0.89,0.98,1,1	92.9%
NYK 72, CHI 81	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.57,0.55,0.45,0.49,0.53,0.57,0.55,0.6,0.65,0.64,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.63,0.58,0.52,0.48,0.64,0.59,0.61,0.51,0.66,0.66,0.55,0.64,0.67,0.63,0.65,0.62,0.59,0.52,0.48,0.66,0.7,0.67,0.57,0.58,0.64,0.71,0.91,0.76,0.85,0.95,0.98,1	92.8%
ATL 94, NYK 105	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.63,0.65,0.72,0.69,0.62,0.63,0.62,0.58,0.64,0.73,0.67,0.7,0.64,0.59,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.54,0.66,0.63,0.64,0.64,0.58,0.55,0.55,0.62,0.63,0.67,0.6,0.58,0.57,0.62,0.53,0.58,0.79,0.81,0.83,0.96,1,0.99,1,1	92.8%