NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Oklahoma City Thunder	112		Excitement	10.5 [71]		MVP	Lauri Markkanen (CHI): +52.9%
Chicago Bulls	114		Comeback	5.0 [113]		LVP	Paul George (OKC): -18.2%

Oklahoma City Thunder
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dennis Schroder	0.30	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.3	0.07	0.22	-0.01	14	59%	0.32	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.02
Terrance Ferguson	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.05	0.04	-0.00	5	70%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Hamidou Diallo	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.00	0.00	-0.02	3	67%	0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Patrick Patterson	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Alex Abrines	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.01	-0.00	4	37%	0.02	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Jerami Grant	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,-0.04	0.08	-0.12	0.00	9	72%	0.13	1	-0.17	0	0%	0.00
Nerlens Noel	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	4	25%	-0.01	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Steven Adams	-0.17	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.15,-0.11,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.03	-0.10	0.04	17	51%	-0.06	4	-0.11	7	43%	-0.05
Russell Westbrook	-0.17	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.1,-0.07,-0.13,-0.13,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.2,-0.37,-0.37,-0.42,-0.42,-0.23,-0.17	-0.16	-0.02	-0.02	21	49%	0.26	10	-0.42	7	57%	-0.11
Paul George	-0.18	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.03,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.18	-0.02	-0.15	0.02	16	50%	-0.08	3	-0.10	6	83%	0.01

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Lauri Markkanen	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.29,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.53	0.53	0.18	0.36	0.01	12	83%	0.58	2	-0.05	5	80%	0.02
Justin Holiday	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.5	0.50	0.16	0.35	0.01	12	83%	0.54	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Jabari Parker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.05,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.01	0.02	-0.01	14	48%	0.09	1	-0.04	5	80%	0.01
Chandler Hutchison	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.02	-0.00	2	33%	0.01	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Cameron Payne	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	3	62%	0.04	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Shaquille Harrison	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	3	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ryan Arcidiacono	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	3	50%	0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Robin Lopez	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.04	-0.00	10	50%	0.01	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01
Wendell Carter Jr.	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.03	-0.03	0.02	5	46%	-0.02	2	-0.06	3	67%	-0.02
Zach LaVine	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.06,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.07,0.05,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.03,0.01,-0.15	-0.15	-0.06	-0.08	0.01	18	62%	0.28	9	-0.43	4	75%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.3	1.8	26.2	14.4	27.6	2.4	35.5	134.1
league avg	25.3	2.2	27.8	14.6	27.6	2.2	31.9	132.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHI +65.5%

CHI +17.3%

OKC -35.0%

CHI +8.2%

OKC -5.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	OKC	CHI	NBA	OKC	CHI	NBA
this game	12.2	14.3	14.3	102.8	105.6	109.3
season	12.9	14.6		108.9	104.2
opponent	14.3	14.9		112.4	106.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
OKC	12.9	11.2	11.8	13.1	12.2
CHI	12.4	14.9	13.9	16.4	14.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Oklahoma City Thunder
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Terrance Ferguson	60	60	0.10	-0.60	0.69	-0.26	12	-14	26	11.4	13.2	-1.79	14.4	14.1	0.30
Hamidou Diallo	21	20	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.03	-1	-1	0	14.2	11.8	2.42	15.2	14.1	1.09
Patrick Patterson	25	23	-0.16	-0.34	0.19	0.08	-8	6	-14	13.7	11.8	1.92	14.7	14.2	0.54
Steven Adams	72	73	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.43	7	-9	16	11.8	13.1	-1.36	14.3	14.4	-0.17
Russell Westbrook	79	80	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.53	10	-12	22	11.9	13.2	-1.33	14.6	13.6	1.00
Nerlens Noel	34	32	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	0.05	-11	9	-20	13.5	11.7	1.88	13.5	14.7	-1.16
Paul George	86	85	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.41	2	-4	6	11.6	14.6	-3.00	13.9	15.7	-1.81
Jerami Grant	77	78	-0.36	-0.14	-0.21	-0.47	4	-6	10	12.1	12.5	-0.37	14.0	15.1	-1.04
Alex Abrines	32	31	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	0.03	-15	13	-28	13.6	11.7	1.87	14.1	14.4	-0.26
Dennis Schroder	59	58	-0.59	0.09	-0.68	-0.30	-10	8	-18	12.4	12.1	0.33	14.9	13.6	1.29

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Lauri Markkanen	64	65	0.79	-0.29	1.07	0.55	8	-6	14	14.5	14.0	0.45	12.3	12.1	0.21
Zach LaVine	82	82	0.71	-0.21	0.92	0.41	10	-8	18	14.7	13.2	1.43	11.8	13.4	-1.60
Wendell Carter Jr.	44	45	0.57	-0.07	0.65	0.43	5	-3	8	15.4	13.6	1.81	13.3	11.5	1.79
Shaquille Harrison	29	31	0.47	0.03	0.45	0.18	10	-8	18	14.3	14.3	-0.05	14.8	11.2	3.59
Justin Holiday	83	83	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.43	-4	6	-10	14.0	15.3	-1.31	12.2	12.5	-0.34
Chandler Hutchison	25	26	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.02	6	-4	10	15.3	14.0	1.31	12.5	12.2	0.34
Ryan Arcidiacono	79	78	0.03	0.47	-0.45	0.26	-8	10	-18	14.3	14.3	0.05	11.2	14.8	-3.59
Robin Lopez	56	55	-0.11	0.61	-0.72	0.01	-4	6	-10	13.9	14.7	-0.77	11.0	13.5	-2.57
Cameron Payne	26	27	-0.21	0.71	-0.92	0.03	-8	10	-18	13.2	14.7	-1.43	13.4	11.8	1.60
Jabari Parker	52	53	-0.25	0.75	-1.00	-0.10	-5	7	-12	13.6	15.0	-1.42	12.6	11.9	0.64

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.52,0.5,0.46,0.53,0.57,0.6,0.57,0.66,0.66,0.65,0.66,0.62,0.71,0.73,0.69,0.68,0.71,0.71,0.67,0.75,0.7,0.73,0.66,0.69,0.56,0.58,0.39,0.48,0.32,0.19,0.2,0.17,0.32,0.34,0.31,0.21,0.2,0.37,0.41,0.65,0.67,0.69,0.79,0.78,0.58,1
Game		Similarity Score
NJN 87, PHI 91	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.58,0.6,0.51,0.6,0.62,0.56,0.62,0.53,0.53,0.56,0.64,0.7,0.67,0.7,0.71,0.69,0.64,0.55,0.61,0.48,0.41,0.25,0.27,0.29,0.18,0.22,0.26,0.25,0.33,0.42,0.41,0.6,0.53,0.68,0.78,0.78,0.73,1	91.2%
PHX 95, SAS 100	0.5,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.5,0.56,0.58,0.57,0.55,0.61,0.65,0.62,0.71,0.72,0.7,0.66,0.67,0.69,0.78,0.8,0.81,0.73,0.78,0.75,0.8,0.67,0.72,0.66,0.51,0.39,0.36,0.29,0.26,0.35,0.17,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.19,0.22,0.29,0.37,0.41,0.46,0.47,0.62,0.64,0.78,0.73,1	90.5%
MIN 88, UTA 93	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.53,0.55,0.54,0.55,0.47,0.51,0.55,0.62,0.67,0.7,0.68,0.66,0.62,0.64,0.73,0.73,0.68,0.79,0.76,0.79,0.77,0.7,0.63,0.55,0.43,0.45,0.45,0.52,0.52,0.35,0.34,0.28,0.23,0.29,0.26,0.3,0.33,0.17,0.19,0.31,0.54,0.66,0.81,0.88,0.91,0.92,1	90.4%