NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Minnesota Timberwolves	88		Excitement	7.4 [338]		MVP	Matt Harpring (UTA): +22.3%
Utah Jazz	93		Comeback	5.4 [343]		LVP	DeShawn Stevenson (UTA): -17.8%

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Sam Cassell	0.21	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.03,-0.06,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.15,0.25,0.21	0.04	0.16	-0.02	23	53%	0.23	1	-0.02	5	80%	-0.02
Latrell Sprewell	0.06	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.19,0.19,0.21,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.06	0.06	0.01	0.02	19	60%	0.12	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.02
Gary Trent	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.06	-0.02	0.01	8	67%	0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Keith McLeod	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.00	0.01	-0.01	3	50%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Kevin Garnett	0.02	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	-0.00	0.01	8	62%	0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Fred Hoiberg	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.03	0.04	-0.00	3	50%	0.06	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Trenton Hassell	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,-0.05,-0.05	0.01	-0.04	0.02	6	50%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ervin Johnson	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.06	-0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Mark Madsen	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	2	0%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Michael Olowokandi	-0.16	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.10	-0.06	-0.01	8	12%	-0.16	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.02

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Matt Harpring	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.09,0.07,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.22,0.22	0.22	0.07	0.15	-0.01	18	70%	0.33	4	-0.11	10	80%	0.08
Andrei Kirilenko	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.08,-0.05,-0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.06	0.04	0.01	8	68%	0.10	0	0.00	9	100%	0.10
Raja Bell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.02	0.06	-0.01	7	50%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ben Handlogten	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jarron Collins	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sasha Pavlovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	2	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mo Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.01	7	43%	0.01	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Keon Clark	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	2	0%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Greg Ostertag	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.1	-0.10	-0.09	-0.02	-0.01	13	40%	-0.05	2	-0.06	4	0%	-0.10
Raul Lopez	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.18,-0.15,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.07,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.14	-0.00	-0.01	14	44%	0.01	5	-0.14	6	67%	0.00
DeShawn Stevenson	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.18	-0.15	-0.04	-0.01	10	20%	-0.08	3	-0.10	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.1	2.5	27.6	15.0	29.3	1.6	33.2	130.2
league avg	47.8	2.4	27.9	14.3	24.8	2.1	29.8	150.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIN -0.8%

UTA +21.1%

UTA +46.6%

MIN -19.6%

UTA +2.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIN	UTA	NBA	MIN	UTA	NBA
this game	16.0	17.8	15.7	104.8	108.1	100.5
season	15.6	17.2		103.2	99.4
opponent	15.2	16.1		100.8	98.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIN	16.6	14.0	15.7	18.1	16.0
UTA	19.2	17.3	19.5	15.5	17.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ervin Johnson	7	8	0.05	-0.55	0.61	-0.06	4	-9	13	16.1	16.0	0.12	19.0	17.7	1.29
Gary Trent	46	47	-0.01	-0.49	0.47	-0.13	4	-9	13	16.2	15.9	0.26	18.1	17.5	0.53
Keith McLeod	16	16	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	0.01	-1	-4	3	14.2	16.5	-2.28	16.3	18.2	-1.86
Kevin Garnett	26	29	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	0.01	-5	0	-5	15.9	16.1	-0.22	19.4	17.0	2.40
Trenton Hassell	49	50	-0.18	-0.32	0.15	-0.47	10	-15	25	16.2	15.8	0.36	18.4	17.0	1.47
Michael Olowokandi	50	49	-0.26	-0.24	-0.01	-0.23	-1	-4	3	16.5	15.4	1.05	19.1	16.1	3.06
Fred Hoiberg	31	32	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	0.10	-15	10	-25	16.5	15.7	0.81	14.9	19.6	-4.70
Sam Cassell	68	70	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.37	-4	-1	-3	16.5	14.2	2.28	18.2	16.3	1.86
Latrell Sprewell	76	76	-0.52	0.02	-0.53	-0.34	-6	1	-7	15.7	18.7	-3.00	17.9	17.0	0.93
Mark Madsen	51	53	-0.61	0.11	-0.72	-0.29	-11	6	-17	15.5	16.8	-1.24	16.4	20.1	-3.72

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Raja Bell	36	36	0.75	-0.25	1.00	0.37	13	-8	21	15.8	19.3	-3.47	15.9	16.2	-0.31
Raul Lopez	61	59	0.65	-0.15	0.81	0.39	9	-4	13	18.1	17.0	1.11	16.6	14.6	1.99
Matt Harpring	70	67	0.51	-0.01	0.53	0.37	5	0	5	18.2	16.0	2.24	16.5	14.4	2.11
Greg Ostertag	62	60	0.48	0.02	0.46	0.36	4	1	3	18.4	16.5	1.90	16.0	16.0	0.05
Andrei Kirilenko	64	64	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.33	4	1	3	18.4	16.2	2.15	16.3	15.2	1.03
Keon Clark	27	27	0.18	0.32	-0.14	0.03	5	0	5	16.8	18.3	-1.47	16.4	15.9	0.55
Sasha Pavlovic	17	17	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	0.02	-1	6	-7	16.3	18.2	-1.91	16.4	15.9	0.47
Jarron Collins	29	27	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	-0.00	-1	6	-7	16.2	18.6	-2.39	14.3	16.9	-2.56
Ben Handlogten	1	1	-0.08	0.58	-0.66	0.01	-3	8	-11	0.0	18.0	-18.04	6.0	16.2	-10.16
Mo Williams	25	25	-0.15	0.65	-0.81	-0.04	-4	9	-13	17.0	18.1	-1.11	14.6	16.6	-1.99
DeShawn Stevenson	38	37	-0.24	0.74	-0.99	-0.07	-6	11	-17	20.3	15.9	4.37	16.1	16.0	0.08

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.53,0.55,0.54,0.55,0.47,0.51,0.55,0.62,0.67,0.7,0.68,0.66,0.62,0.64,0.73,0.73,0.68,0.79,0.76,0.79,0.77,0.7,0.63,0.55,0.43,0.45,0.45,0.52,0.52,0.35,0.34,0.28,0.23,0.29,0.26,0.3,0.33,0.17,0.19,0.31,0.54,0.66,0.81,0.88,0.91,0.92,1
Game		Similarity Score
HOU 90, NOK 92	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.5,0.56,0.55,0.53,0.57,0.68,0.69,0.71,0.71,0.68,0.68,0.62,0.58,0.51,0.65,0.68,0.73,0.73,0.74,0.69,0.67,0.58,0.54,0.48,0.45,0.52,0.51,0.42,0.38,0.41,0.27,0.26,0.25,0.34,0.3,0.43,0.43,0.37,0.41,0.6,0.87,0.95,0.93,0.91,0.95,1	91.8%
PHI 98, WAS 105	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.6,0.61,0.63,0.63,0.64,0.69,0.65,0.66,0.6,0.65,0.62,0.64,0.68,0.69,0.71,0.63,0.68,0.78,0.69,0.64,0.59,0.54,0.55,0.46,0.36,0.36,0.39,0.42,0.41,0.38,0.37,0.3,0.21,0.22,0.3,0.38,0.38,0.42,0.41,0.59,0.67,0.85,0.9,0.94,0.92,1	91.7%
DET 100, MIN 102	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.6,0.64,0.63,0.66,0.67,0.65,0.65,0.67,0.7,0.66,0.64,0.64,0.6,0.64,0.71,0.7,0.69,0.71,0.69,0.79,0.7,0.54,0.6,0.66,0.55,0.61,0.55,0.52,0.41,0.41,0.37,0.44,0.48,0.3,0.22,0.21,0.2,0.18,0.21,0.46,0.54,0.81,0.93,0.91,0.96,1	91.2%