NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Houston Rockets	90		Excitement	7.6 [315]		MVP	David West (NOK): +36.5%
New Orleans/Oklahoma City Hornets	92		Comeback	4.4 [527]		LVP	Juwan Howard (HOU): -23.2%

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tracy McGrady	0.24	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,0,0.01,0.04,0.08,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.11,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.12,0.19,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.24	0.10	0.15	0.00	25	58%	0.35	4	-0.11	15	80%	0.10
Stromile Swift	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.19,0.17,0.21,0.19,0.19,0.15,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.13	0.09	0.04	0.01	15	63%	0.23	3	-0.10	11	73%	-0.02
Lonny Baxter	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ryan Bowen	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dikembe Mutombo	-0.03	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	0	100%	0.02	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Moochie Norris	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
David Wesley	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.02	-0.06	0.02	10	50%	-0.03	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Luther Head	-0.22	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.21,-0.21,-0.22,-0.18,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22	-0.10	-0.12	0.00	10	25%	-0.15	1	-0.07	4	75%	-0.01
Juwan Howard	-0.23	0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.14,-0.23,-0.23	-0.10	-0.11	0.02	13	29%	-0.20	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.02

New Orleans/Oklahoma City Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
David West	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.36	0.36	0.06	0.31	0.00	11	65%	0.38	1	-0.01	1	100%	0.00
Rasual Butler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.24,0.3,0.3,0.35,0.33,0.29	0.29	0.10	0.19	-0.00	11	68%	0.29	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kirk Snyder	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.01	0.00	1	100%	0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
J.R. Smith	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.1,0.08,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.06	-0.03	0.01	12	59%	0.04	1	-0.02	3	67%	-0.02
Chris Paul	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.03	0.04	-0.01	13	41%	0.04	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Jackson Vroman	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Desmond Mason	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.02	-0.03	0.01	9	54%	0.01	1	-0.02	6	50%	-0.05
Speedy Claxton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.03,0.03,0,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	-0.07	-0.00	11	45%	-0.03	1	-0.04	9	56%	-0.05
Chris Andersen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.08	-0.04	-0.00	0	0%	-0.07	2	-0.05	4	0%	-0.10
P.J. Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.18	-0.08	-0.08	0.01	7	29%	-0.11	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.6	1.0	33.0	13.8	30.1	1.7	32.1	139.3
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NOK +84.1%

HOU -43.8%

HOU -9.4%

NOK +18.8%

NOK +0.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	HOU	NOK	NBA	HOU	NOK	NBA
this game	17.3	14.6	15.6	101.1	100.0	104.4
season	16.1	16.3		99.9	101.2
opponent	15.3	16.1		104.1	101.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
HOU	18.8	15.7	16.5	18.2	17.3
NOK	12.0	15.7	15.6	15.4	14.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Moochie Norris	23	22	0.34	-0.84	1.19	0.02	11	-13	24	18.0	17.0	0.98	15.0	14.5	0.59
Dikembe Mutombo	39	42	0.03	-0.53	0.56	0.06	-1	-1	0	17.4	17.2	0.20	14.4	14.8	-0.36
Lonny Baxter	12	11	-0.02	-0.48	0.47	-0.05	1	-3	4	17.1	17.3	-0.22	17.5	14.2	3.35
Ryan Bowen	8	11	-0.21	-0.29	0.09	-0.06	-5	3	-8	19.4	17.1	2.31	15.6	14.5	1.18
Tracy McGrady	84	86	-0.35	-0.15	-0.21	-0.38	1	-3	4	17.3	17.4	-0.14	14.7	13.8	0.82
Stromile Swift	63	65	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.45	2	-4	6	17.5	16.7	0.87	14.7	14.4	0.22
David Wesley	73	76	-0.55	0.05	-0.59	-0.37	-6	4	-10	17.0	18.4	-1.42	14.5	15.1	-0.56
Juwan Howard	64	66	-0.62	0.12	-0.75	-0.45	-6	4	-10	17.0	18.0	-1.02	14.2	15.7	-1.53
Luther Head	79	81	-0.74	0.24	-0.98	-0.53	-7	5	-12	17.1	18.7	-1.61	14.4	16.3	-1.90

New Orleans/Oklahoma City Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
David West	74	72	0.75	-0.25	1.00	0.40	12	-10	22	14.1	16.8	-2.78	17.3	17.1	0.19
Speedy Claxton	53	51	0.64	-0.14	0.78	0.41	8	-6	14	14.6	14.6	-0.07	18.5	15.7	2.77
Rasual Butler	35	35	0.62	-0.12	0.74	0.56	2	0	2	14.6	14.6	0.05	17.5	17.1	0.40
Chris Paul	78	74	0.49	0.01	0.47	0.40	3	-1	4	14.1	17.3	-3.17	17.0	18.5	-1.44
P.J. Brown	73	71	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.34	4	-2	6	14.9	13.4	1.55	16.7	19.6	-2.87
J.R. Smith	44	43	0.05	0.45	-0.41	-0.01	2	0	2	14.6	14.6	0.03	16.0	18.4	-2.41
Chris Andersen	21	21	-0.11	0.61	-0.72	-0.02	-3	5	-8	13.7	14.9	-1.21	19.4	16.6	2.76
Kirk Snyder	11	11	-0.11	0.61	-0.72	0.10	-7	9	-16	17.5	14.2	3.24	17.1	17.3	-0.20
Desmond Mason	67	63	-0.13	0.63	-0.77	-0.02	-4	6	-10	14.7	14.4	0.33	17.3	17.3	0.00
Jackson Vroman	4	4	-0.15	0.65	-0.80	0.05	-7	9	-16	23.7	14.2	9.57	17.0	17.3	-0.28

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.5,0.56,0.55,0.53,0.57,0.68,0.69,0.71,0.71,0.68,0.68,0.62,0.58,0.51,0.65,0.68,0.73,0.73,0.74,0.69,0.67,0.58,0.54,0.48,0.45,0.52,0.51,0.42,0.38,0.41,0.27,0.26,0.25,0.34,0.3,0.43,0.43,0.37,0.41,0.6,0.87,0.95,0.93,0.91,0.95,1
Game		Similarity Score
PHI 98, WAS 105	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.6,0.61,0.63,0.63,0.64,0.69,0.65,0.66,0.6,0.65,0.62,0.64,0.68,0.69,0.71,0.63,0.68,0.78,0.69,0.64,0.59,0.54,0.55,0.46,0.36,0.36,0.39,0.42,0.41,0.38,0.37,0.3,0.21,0.22,0.3,0.38,0.38,0.42,0.41,0.59,0.67,0.85,0.9,0.94,0.92,1	92.8%
CHA 106, CHI 113	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.52,0.56,0.6,0.61,0.67,0.67,0.69,0.68,0.65,0.66,0.62,0.62,0.67,0.67,0.65,0.71,0.69,0.69,0.67,0.64,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.52,0.39,0.42,0.48,0.41,0.44,0.48,0.44,0.3,0.38,0.33,0.33,0.37,0.41,0.46,0.67,0.86,0.96,0.99,1,1	92.2%
MIN 88, UTA 93	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.53,0.55,0.54,0.55,0.47,0.51,0.55,0.62,0.67,0.7,0.68,0.66,0.62,0.64,0.73,0.73,0.68,0.79,0.76,0.79,0.77,0.7,0.63,0.55,0.43,0.45,0.45,0.52,0.52,0.35,0.34,0.28,0.23,0.29,0.26,0.3,0.33,0.17,0.19,0.31,0.54,0.66,0.81,0.88,0.91,0.92,1	91.8%