NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Charlotte Bobcats	106		Excitement	7.6 [310]		MVP	Ben Gordon (CHI): +38.0%
Chicago Bulls	113		Comeback	2.9 [474]		LVP	Tyrus Thomas (CHI): -14.5%

Charlotte Bobcats
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Emeka Okafor	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.03	0.04	-0.00	7	54%	0.07	0	0.00	10	50%	-0.10
Vladimir Radmanovic	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.00	0.05	0.00	3	83%	0.10	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Juwan Howard	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.00	0.00	2	100%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
DeSagana Diop	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.00	0.02	0.00	0	75%	0.04	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.00
Gerald Wallace	0.02	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.07	-0.00	0.05	11	57%	0.02	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Boris Diaw	0.00	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.07,0.16,0.16,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.07,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	-0.01	0.01	20	55%	0.13	3	-0.13	4	100%	0.02
D.J. Augustin	-0.07	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.00	-0.03	0.03	13	52%	0.03	2	-0.09	3	67%	-0.02
Dontell Jefferson	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.05	-0.03	0.00	3	37%	-0.01	2	-0.08	2	50%	-0.02
Raymond Felton	-0.11	0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11	0.06	-0.10	0.07	17	65%	0.08	5	-0.18	6	83%	0.03

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ben Gordon	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.19,0.19,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.25,0.25,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.31,0.28,0.25,0.25,0.31,0.31,0.25,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.38,0.38	0.38	0.28	0.13	0.03	25	70%	0.38	0	0.00	6	100%	0.04
John Salmons	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.02	0.08	0.00	18	45%	0.10	0	0.00	6	83%	-0.01
Derrick Rose	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.10	-0.01	0.02	16	65%	0.09	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Kirk Hinrich	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.00	0.00	5	83%	0.11	2	-0.07	2	100%	0.02
Aaron Gray	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.01	0.00	0	50%	0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Brad Miller	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.03	0.03	-0.00	4	25%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Joakim Noah	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.11,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0	-0.00	0.01	-0.00	0.01	5	85%	0.15	4	-0.15	3	100%	0.01
Linton Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tyrus Thomas	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.12,-0.08,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.09	-0.06	-0.00	10	35%	-0.07	2	-0.08	6	50%	-0.04

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.3	2.5	30.2	16.0	32.2	2.5	40.3	145.0
league avg	26.4	2.4	30.1	16.5	27.1	2.4	33.3	140.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHI +18.3%

CHI +8.1%

CHA -3.3%

CHI +29.9%

CHA -3.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHA	CHI	NBA	CHA	CHI	NBA
this game	17.7	14.9	15.5	120.5	127.0	106.4
season	16.5	14.8		103.0	106.3
opponent	15.7	15.6		107.2	104.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHA	18.4	19.1	16.6	17.0	17.7
CHI	14.4	16.9	14.7	13.7	14.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Charlotte Bobcats
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
DeSagana Diop	29	30	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	0.04	-2	-5	3	15.8	18.6	-2.80	13.6	15.5	-1.89
Juwan Howard	15	14	-0.04	-0.46	0.43	-0.01	-1	-6	5	17.7	17.7	-0.05	16.4	14.6	1.87
Vladimir Radmanovic	28	30	-0.06	-0.44	0.39	-0.08	1	-8	9	16.5	18.3	-1.82	14.0	15.3	-1.34
Dontell Jefferson	26	27	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	0.04	-5	-2	-3	16.2	18.3	-2.09	14.0	15.2	-1.17
Raymond Felton	76	76	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.29	-1	-6	5	17.6	18.7	-1.11	14.8	15.2	-0.35
Boris Diaw	66	67	-0.39	-0.11	-0.27	-0.27	-4	-3	-1	17.3	19.0	-1.73	15.1	14.2	0.89
Emeka Okafor	59	59	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.33	-5	-2	-3	18.6	15.8	2.80	15.5	13.6	1.89
Gerald Wallace	67	67	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	-0.23	-10	3	-13	18.7	14.7	3.99	14.7	15.3	-0.62
D.J. Augustin	74	75	-0.57	0.07	-0.63	-0.33	-8	1	-9	18.4	14.1	4.24	15.2	13.0	2.20

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ben Gordon	78	76	0.70	-0.20	0.91	0.35	12	-5	17	15.1	13.3	1.80	18.3	13.9	4.39
Joakim Noah	72	71	0.66	-0.16	0.82	0.28	13	-6	19	14.9	14.5	0.47	18.1	15.9	2.19
Brad Miller	29	31	0.58	-0.08	0.65	0.40	6	1	5	17.9	13.4	4.51	18.7	17.2	1.50
Derrick Rose	75	74	0.46	0.04	0.43	0.26	7	0	7	15.0	13.9	1.10	18.2	15.2	2.96
John Salmons	66	66	0.36	0.14	0.21	0.24	4	3	1	14.7	15.2	-0.43	17.3	19.0	-1.73
Tyrus Thomas	61	59	0.10	0.40	-0.29	-0.01	4	3	1	14.1	16.5	-2.35	17.9	17.4	0.49
Kirk Hinrich	40	40	-0.02	0.52	-0.55	0.03	-2	9	-11	13.8	15.7	-1.82	16.7	18.5	-1.75
Linton Johnson	18	17	-0.16	0.66	-0.81	-0.01	-5	12	-17	13.8	15.1	-1.35	14.5	18.5	-3.94
Aaron Gray	6	6	-0.18	0.68	-0.87	-0.07	-4	11	-15	12.7	15.0	-2.35	12.8	18.1	-5.23

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.52,0.56,0.6,0.61,0.67,0.67,0.69,0.68,0.65,0.66,0.62,0.62,0.67,0.67,0.65,0.71,0.69,0.69,0.67,0.64,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.52,0.39,0.42,0.48,0.41,0.44,0.48,0.44,0.3,0.38,0.33,0.33,0.37,0.41,0.46,0.67,0.86,0.96,0.99,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
NOH 67, DEN 76	0.5,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.56,0.49,0.49,0.57,0.61,0.6,0.58,0.64,0.68,0.7,0.64,0.64,0.67,0.65,0.68,0.66,0.69,0.67,0.61,0.59,0.54,0.51,0.57,0.51,0.55,0.48,0.42,0.48,0.34,0.41,0.44,0.56,0.46,0.34,0.44,0.38,0.28,0.41,0.66,0.6,0.8,0.78,0.95,1,1	93.2%
POR 104, ORL 111	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.62,0.64,0.63,0.59,0.62,0.66,0.65,0.6,0.56,0.65,0.6,0.66,0.73,0.75,0.7,0.7,0.7,0.69,0.67,0.69,0.67,0.51,0.58,0.45,0.36,0.39,0.38,0.32,0.45,0.52,0.48,0.37,0.28,0.26,0.3,0.38,0.43,0.37,0.41,0.6,0.78,0.89,0.97,1,1,1	92.9%
PHI 98, WAS 105	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.6,0.61,0.63,0.63,0.64,0.69,0.65,0.66,0.6,0.65,0.62,0.64,0.68,0.69,0.71,0.63,0.68,0.78,0.69,0.64,0.59,0.54,0.55,0.46,0.36,0.36,0.39,0.42,0.41,0.38,0.37,0.3,0.21,0.22,0.3,0.38,0.38,0.42,0.41,0.59,0.67,0.85,0.9,0.94,0.92,1	92.8%