NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Detroit Pistons	100		Excitement	7.9 [258]		MVP	Kevin Garnett (MIN): +44.7%
Minnesota Timberwolves	102		Comeback	6.8 [270]		LVP	Jerry Stackhouse (DET): -32.9%

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Grant Hill	0.34	0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.08,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.14,0.15,0.13,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.34	0.06	0.27	-0.00	18	67%	0.44	3	-0.10	18	94%	0.16
Terry Mills	0.14	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.14	0.02	0.11	-0.01	6	64%	0.16	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Jerome Williams	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.05	0.05	-0.01	6	69%	0.10	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.02
John Crotty	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.01	0.00	1	150%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lindsey Hunter	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04	0.02	0.01	-0.01	8	50%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Michael Curry	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	-0.00	2	100%	0.11	2	-0.10	2	100%	0.03
Eric Montross	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mikki Moore	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	4	50%	0.00	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Christian Laettner	-0.14	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.05	-0.08	0.00	11	46%	-0.05	2	-0.09	4	100%	0.02
Jerry Stackhouse	-0.33	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.23,-0.23,-0.25,-0.27,-0.27,-0.33,-0.33,-0.33,-0.33,-0.33	-0.20	-0.13	0.01	15	25%	-0.33	0	0.00	10	60%	-0.05

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kevin Garnett	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.06,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.45	0.45	0.01	0.43	-0.01	14	58%	0.48	1	-0.04	15	87%	0.11
Terrell Brandon	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.04	0.01	-0.01	15	52%	0.06	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Tom Hammonds	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.02	0.03	-0.01	3	62%	0.05	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Joe Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.12,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.02	-0.00	5	67%	0.05	2	-0.04	5	40%	-0.07
Bobby Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	-0.01	-0.00	3	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
William Avery	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sam Mitchell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	8	50%	0.02	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Anthony Peeler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	-0.00	-0.01	11	44%	-0.01	1	-0.02	3	67%	-0.00
Wally Szczerbiak	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.03	-0.00	9	48%	-0.04	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.04
Rasho Nesterovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	4	25%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Malik Sealy	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.08	-0.04	-0.01	10	42%	-0.06	2	-0.05	6	83%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.5	2.3	28.5	15.4	30.4	2.5	51.2	155.8
league avg	26.0	2.2	28.8	16.5	26.3	2.2	33.7	137.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIN +11.1%

MIN +3.4%

MIN +18.0%

MIN +16.3%

MIN +1.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DET	MIN	NBA	DET	MIN	NBA
this game	15.5	16.8	15.2	113.6	113.3	101.7
season	14.1	15.1		104.2	103.5
opponent	15.7	15.3		101.1	103.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DET	15.0	17.4	16.8	13.4	15.5
MIN	15.7	18.6	16.7	16.6	16.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Terry Mills	41	40	0.34	-0.84	1.17	0.13	7	-9	16	15.4	15.7	-0.29	15.9	17.5	-1.67
John Crotty	27	29	0.32	-0.82	1.15	0.15	6	-8	14	15.5	15.6	-0.04	16.3	17.0	-0.67
Eric Montross	1	3	0.11	-0.61	0.72	0.05	2	-4	6	7.0	15.6	-8.64	9.7	17.0	-7.38
Christian Laettner	60	60	0.10	-0.60	0.70	0.01	3	-5	8	16.4	13.7	2.63	16.3	17.8	-1.55
Mikki Moore	18	21	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.17	-3	1	-4	15.5	15.6	-0.06	19.6	15.9	3.68
Grant Hill	71	73	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.46	3	-5	8	15.3	16.5	-1.15	17.2	15.0	2.22
Michael Curry	40	40	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.26	-6	4	-10	15.3	15.7	-0.36	16.7	16.9	-0.14
Jerome Williams	48	49	-0.66	0.16	-0.82	-0.57	-3	1	-4	15.0	16.2	-1.25	17.9	15.4	2.50
Jerry Stackhouse	73	74	-0.81	0.31	-1.13	-0.49	-11	9	-20	15.8	14.5	1.30	16.1	20.1	-4.04
Lindsey Hunter	61	61	-0.82	0.32	-1.15	-0.59	-8	6	-14	15.6	15.5	0.04	17.0	16.3	0.67

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Malik Sealy	60	59	0.94	-0.44	1.37	0.50	15	-13	28	16.4	17.6	-1.25	15.4	15.8	-0.32
Terrell Brandon	71	70	0.81	-0.31	1.11	0.48	11	-9	20	16.7	17.2	-0.45	15.9	14.0	1.94
Kevin Garnett	73	73	0.60	-0.10	0.71	0.49	4	-2	6	16.3	18.9	-2.64	15.6	15.4	0.18
Anthony Peeler	46	46	0.44	0.06	0.37	0.49	-2	4	-6	17.3	16.3	1.03	14.9	16.2	-1.28
Rasho Nesterovic	60	58	0.12	0.38	-0.25	0.12	0	2	-2	16.6	17.1	-0.50	16.2	14.3	1.84
Joe Smith	33	32	0.08	0.42	-0.34	0.05	1	1	0	15.9	17.3	-1.36	16.0	15.3	0.71
Tom Hammonds	12	10	-0.01	0.51	-0.51	0.02	-1	3	-4	21.5	16.1	5.42	15.3	15.6	-0.28
William Avery	1	0	-0.01	0.51	-0.53	-0.01	0	2	-2	2.0	17.0	-14.97	0.0	15.5	-15.55
Wally Szczerbiak	39	38	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	-0.25	7	-5	12	16.1	17.3	-1.19	15.6	15.5	0.11
Sam Mitchell	37	36	-0.13	0.63	-0.76	0.34	-16	18	-34	18.1	15.9	2.13	15.0	15.9	-0.88
Bobby Jackson	18	18	-0.29	0.79	-1.09	-0.03	-9	11	-20	18.0	16.5	1.50	14.0	15.9	-1.94

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.6,0.64,0.63,0.66,0.67,0.65,0.65,0.67,0.7,0.66,0.64,0.64,0.6,0.64,0.71,0.7,0.69,0.71,0.69,0.79,0.7,0.54,0.6,0.66,0.55,0.61,0.55,0.52,0.41,0.41,0.37,0.44,0.48,0.3,0.22,0.21,0.2,0.18,0.21,0.46,0.54,0.81,0.93,0.91,0.96,1
Game		Similarity Score
CHA 106, CHI 113	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.52,0.56,0.6,0.61,0.67,0.67,0.69,0.68,0.65,0.66,0.62,0.62,0.67,0.67,0.65,0.71,0.69,0.69,0.67,0.64,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.52,0.39,0.42,0.48,0.41,0.44,0.48,0.44,0.3,0.38,0.33,0.33,0.37,0.41,0.46,0.67,0.86,0.96,0.99,1,1	91.9%
MIN 88, UTA 93	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.53,0.55,0.54,0.55,0.47,0.51,0.55,0.62,0.67,0.7,0.68,0.66,0.62,0.64,0.73,0.73,0.68,0.79,0.76,0.79,0.77,0.7,0.63,0.55,0.43,0.45,0.45,0.52,0.52,0.35,0.34,0.28,0.23,0.29,0.26,0.3,0.33,0.17,0.19,0.31,0.54,0.66,0.81,0.88,0.91,0.92,1	91.2%
PHI 84, MEM 92	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.61,0.56,0.61,0.55,0.6,0.63,0.6,0.62,0.66,0.62,0.64,0.66,0.65,0.72,0.72,0.75,0.71,0.72,0.77,0.7,0.67,0.74,0.77,0.78,0.73,0.67,0.68,0.52,0.45,0.56,0.4,0.44,0.38,0.3,0.29,0.38,0.37,0.24,0.29,0.61,0.85,0.97,0.99,0.99,1	91.2%