NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Jersey Nets	87		Excitement	9.1 [102]		MVP	Andre Iguodala (PHI): +23.2%
Philadelphia 76ers	91		Comeback	5.8 [440]		LVP	Samuel Dalembert (PHI): -35.6%

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Sean Williams	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Vince Carter	0.00	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.04,0	0.02	-0.01	0.01	25	48%	0.02	1	-0.02	6	100%	0.04
Marcus Williams	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.01	-0.00	4	75%	0.11	2	-0.11	0	0%	0.00
Trenton Hassell	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nenad Krstic	-0.06	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	0.01	-0.06	0.01	9	64%	0.09	3	-0.15	4	50%	-0.03
Devin Harris	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	0.00	-0.11	-0.00	13	47%	0.01	2	-0.11	4	75%	-0.01
DeSagana Diop	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.07	-0.04	-0.01	3	25%	-0.02	2	-0.08	2	100%	0.01
Bostjan Nachbar	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.08	-0.05	-0.00	6	17%	-0.09	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Josh Boone	-0.15	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.15	0.00	-0.16	0.00	5	64%	-0.09	2	-0.06	4	75%	0.01
Richard Jefferson	-0.28	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.2,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.28	-0.11	-0.16	0.00	15	31%	-0.23	1	-0.05	5	100%	0.03

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Andre Iguodala	0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.15,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.23	0.23	0.08	0.16	0.01	17	61%	0.31	3	-0.07	12	83%	0.04
Lou Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.07	0.09	-0.00	6	79%	0.20	2	-0.04	7	86%	0.02
Jason Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rodney Carney	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andre Miller	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.05,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.03	-0.06	0.02	17	55%	0.02	2	-0.06	4	75%	0.01
Reggie Evans	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.09	-0.00	-0.02	2	17%	-0.03	3	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Thaddeus Young	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.18,-0.18	-0.18	-0.04	-0.15	-0.00	8	37%	-0.16	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Willie Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.06,-0.07,-0.1,-0.12,-0.14,-0.17,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.16,-0.2,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21	-0.21	-0.14	-0.07	0.01	17	24%	-0.21	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.02
Samuel Dalembert	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.26,-0.36	-0.36	-0.09	-0.26	0.01	11	39%	-0.26	3	-0.09	6	50%	-0.18

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.2	1.8	29.3	15.6	26.3	2.4	40.6	140.3
league avg	27.9	2.4	30.0	16.2	26.6	2.4	33.3	140.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHI +3.5%

NJN -2.5%

PHI +22.8%

PHI +21.0%

PHI +5.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NJN	PHI	NBA	NJN	PHI	NBA
this game	17.4	14.1	15.4	96.7	97.8	105.7
season	15.4	15.2		101.8	104.0
opponent	16.2	15.5		104.2	107.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NJN	17.6	17.8	14.1	20.2	17.4
PHI	13.8	11.8	17.8	13.1	14.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Josh Boone	49	51	0.16	-0.66	0.81	-0.23	13	-17	30	15.8	19.4	-3.57	16.7	11.0	5.67
Sean Williams	12	12	0.07	-0.57	0.63	0.01	2	-6	8	19.0	17.2	1.82	11.2	14.5	-3.28
Trenton Hassell	4	4	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	-0.00	0	-4	4	11.5	17.7	-6.20	13.7	14.1	-0.37
Nenad Krstic	64	68	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.21	4	-8	12	15.5	22.1	-6.60	14.7	12.4	2.28
Richard Jefferson	84	84	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.35	-1	-3	2	17.4	17.5	-0.08	14.3	12.0	2.33
DeSagana Diop	27	27	-0.39	-0.11	-0.29	-0.07	-11	7	-18	21.7	15.6	6.06	11.1	15.3	-4.22
Devin Harris	73	75	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.34	-2	-2	0	16.4	21.7	-5.28	14.9	10.8	4.06
Marcus Williams	28	28	-0.47	-0.03	-0.43	-0.26	-7	3	-10	21.3	15.7	5.61	11.2	15.4	-4.14
Bostjan Nachbar	32	33	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.17	-11	7	-18	20.3	15.8	4.48	11.5	15.6	-4.11
Vince Carter	77	83	-0.50	-0.00	-0.49	-0.29	-7	3	-10	17.0	20.2	-3.19	14.5	10.6	3.93

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Lou Williams	45	44	0.90	-0.40	1.30	0.46	15	-11	26	12.3	15.8	-3.57	19.3	15.6	3.67
Thaddeus Young	53	52	0.61	-0.11	0.72	0.29	11	-7	18	12.8	15.8	-3.06	18.0	16.7	1.32
Andre Iguodala	88	84	0.57	-0.07	0.63	0.36	7	-3	10	14.3	10.6	3.71	17.0	23.0	-5.98
Samuel Dalembert	86	83	0.39	0.11	0.29	0.25	5	-1	6	14.2	12.4	1.82	17.1	21.0	-3.88
Andre Miller	76	75	0.33	0.17	0.17	0.36	-1	5	-6	15.0	10.3	4.67	17.4	17.4	0.03
Rodney Carney	24	24	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.10	6	-2	8	10.3	15.4	-5.09	20.8	16.2	4.59
Reggie Evans	31	30	0.08	0.42	-0.35	0.11	-1	5	-6	16.7	12.8	3.85	16.5	17.9	-1.43
Jason Smith	13	12	-0.25	0.75	-1.01	0.01	-9	13	-22	11.9	14.5	-2.54	18.9	17.2	1.72
Willie Green	49	46	-0.40	0.90	-1.31	-0.02	-13	17	-30	16.1	11.9	4.22	14.7	20.2	-5.49

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.58,0.6,0.51,0.6,0.62,0.56,0.62,0.53,0.53,0.56,0.64,0.7,0.67,0.7,0.71,0.69,0.64,0.55,0.61,0.48,0.41,0.25,0.27,0.29,0.18,0.22,0.26,0.25,0.33,0.42,0.41,0.6,0.53,0.68,0.78,0.78,0.73,1
Game		Similarity Score
VAN 81, ATL 84	0.5,0.49,0.53,0.54,0.55,0.5,0.54,0.55,0.55,0.59,0.57,0.58,0.64,0.65,0.65,0.64,0.6,0.56,0.54,0.54,0.56,0.66,0.58,0.61,0.61,0.67,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.58,0.52,0.42,0.34,0.22,0.27,0.32,0.36,0.26,0.33,0.33,0.29,0.32,0.47,0.66,0.6,0.39,0.72,0.68,0.92,1	91.8%
ATL 101, WAS 109	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.46,0.48,0.54,0.63,0.66,0.61,0.57,0.6,0.54,0.48,0.47,0.53,0.6,0.56,0.58,0.66,0.63,0.66,0.66,0.67,0.7,0.73,0.71,0.69,0.69,0.61,0.7,0.68,0.52,0.35,0.23,0.33,0.32,0.34,0.34,0.38,0.29,0.42,0.47,0.59,0.34,0.67,0.79,0.86,0.96,1	91.4%
OKC 112, CHI 114	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.52,0.5,0.46,0.53,0.57,0.6,0.57,0.66,0.66,0.65,0.66,0.62,0.71,0.73,0.69,0.68,0.71,0.71,0.67,0.75,0.7,0.73,0.66,0.69,0.56,0.58,0.39,0.48,0.32,0.19,0.2,0.17,0.32,0.34,0.31,0.21,0.2,0.37,0.41,0.65,0.67,0.69,0.79,0.78,0.58,1	91.2%