NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Phoenix Suns	95		Excitement	8.3 [210]		MVP	Patty Mills (SAS): +25.5%
San Antonio Spurs	100		Comeback	10.4 [208]		LVP	Markieff Morris (PHX): -24.8%

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
PJ Tucker	0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.13	0.05	0.00	11	79%	0.20	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Goran Dragic	0.09	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.07,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,-0.02,0.08,0.08	0.04	0.06	0.02	12	63%	0.23	3	-0.15	3	67%	0.03
Eric Bledsoe	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,0	0.05	-0.04	0.02	11	73%	0.14	4	-0.14	4	50%	-0.06
Marcus Morris	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	6	50%	0.02	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Miles Plumlee	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.05
Gerald Green	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.14,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	0.00	0.00	18	44%	0.00	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Alex Len	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	0.00	5	40%	-0.00	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Isaiah Thomas	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.13,-0.13,-0.19,-0.19,-0.14,-0.11	-0.06	-0.06	-0.02	7	50%	0.03	4	-0.14	8	87%	0.04
Markieff Morris	-0.25	0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25	-0.17	-0.09	-0.01	13	11%	-0.25	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Patty Mills	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,0.05,0.26	0.26	0.06	0.20	0.00	11	62%	0.28	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.07
Danny Green	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14	0.14	0.13	0.02	0.01	13	67%	0.14	0	0.00	4	100%	0.03
Tiago Splitter	0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	-0.00	0.06	-0.00	7	44%	0.06	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Matt Bonner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.16,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	0.01	0.00	5	60%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cory Joseph	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.06,0,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.04	0.04	-0.00	0.06	0.02	8	50%	0.08	1	-0.03	6	50%	-0.10
Jeff Ayres	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.02	-0.00	3	50%	0.03	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Manu Ginobili	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	-0.00	4	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tim Duncan	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.01	-0.01	0.00	13	46%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	0	0%	0.00	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Boris Diaw	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.02,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	7	64%	0.07	4	-0.11	0	0%	0.00
Marco Belinelli	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.11	-0.05	-0.00	9	22%	-0.11	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Tony Parker	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.13,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.17	-0.12	-0.06	-0.01	9	39%	-0.02	5	-0.15	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.2	1.8	26.2	15.4	27.1	1.8	45.2	138.7
league avg	24.6	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAS +29.2%

PHX -6.1%

PHX -6.2%

SAS +26.0%

SAS +7.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHX	SAS	NBA	PHX	SAS	NBA
this game	12.8	15.6	15.1	92.2	100.0	104.2
season	14.4	15.4		103.7	106.9
opponent	14.9	15.0		101.1	104.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHX	14.7	12.9	13.1	10.7	12.8
SAS	15.3	14.8	17.6	15.0	15.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
PJ Tucker	54	51	0.11	-0.61	0.72	-0.24	12	-17	29	13.0	12.5	0.53	16.3	14.9	1.40
Markieff Morris	59	57	-0.04	-0.46	0.43	-0.42	13	-18	31	13.6	11.7	1.85	16.1	15.0	1.15
Alex Len	64	59	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	-0.13	3	-8	11	13.1	12.3	0.81	15.4	16.0	-0.59
Miles Plumlee	33	34	-0.11	-0.39	0.29	0.04	-5	0	-5	12.2	13.1	-0.85	15.9	15.5	0.38
Eric Bledsoe	84	82	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.32	3	-8	11	12.5	14.2	-1.75	15.9	14.2	1.72
Goran Dragic	72	69	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	-0.36	3	-8	11	12.7	13.0	-0.26	15.3	16.5	-1.19
Marcus Morris	39	38	-0.51	0.01	-0.51	0.02	-18	13	-31	12.1	13.2	-1.06	14.4	16.4	-1.99
Gerald Green	53	53	-0.61	0.11	-0.72	-0.11	-17	12	-29	13.5	12.1	1.41	15.5	15.7	-0.22
Isaiah Thomas	57	57	-0.81	0.31	-1.12	-0.25	-19	14	-33	12.1	13.6	-1.53	15.5	15.7	-0.20

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Cory Joseph	50	54	0.71	-0.21	0.92	0.36	12	-7	19	15.4	15.8	-0.38	11.6	14.1	-2.43
Matt Bonner	20	19	0.69	-0.19	0.87	0.33	12	-7	19	17.2	15.2	1.96	12.5	12.9	-0.38
Patty Mills	63	63	0.51	-0.01	0.51	0.33	6	-1	7	14.6	17.4	-2.73	11.5	14.8	-3.25
Jeff Ayres	29	30	0.47	0.03	0.43	0.03	15	-10	25	16.3	15.4	0.91	12.5	12.9	-0.36
Danny Green	73	73	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.31	-1	6	-7	16.1	14.4	1.73	12.6	13.1	-0.49
Manu Ginobili	21	22	0.25	0.25	-0.00	-0.07	11	-6	17	15.3	15.7	-0.38	14.1	12.4	1.72
Kyle Anderson	7	8	0.14	0.35	-0.21	-0.03	6	-1	7	14.0	15.8	-1.75	10.7	13.0	-2.21
Marco Belinelli	49	52	0.14	0.36	-0.22	0.40	-9	14	-23	15.6	15.7	-0.15	13.0	12.6	0.43
Tiago Splitter	64	65	0.05	0.45	-0.40	0.46	-14	19	-33	16.0	15.0	0.98	13.1	12.3	0.75
Boris Diaw	32	33	-0.15	0.65	-0.79	-0.21	2	3	-1	14.6	16.1	-1.48	12.3	13.0	-0.71
Tim Duncan	49	50	-0.28	0.78	-1.06	-0.10	-6	11	-17	15.3	16.0	-0.72	14.2	11.4	2.82
Tony Parker	43	46	-0.30	0.80	-1.11	-0.04	-9	14	-23	16.5	15.0	1.55	14.2	11.6	2.63

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.5,0.56,0.58,0.57,0.55,0.61,0.65,0.62,0.71,0.72,0.7,0.66,0.67,0.69,0.78,0.8,0.81,0.73,0.78,0.75,0.8,0.67,0.72,0.66,0.51,0.39,0.36,0.29,0.26,0.35,0.17,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.19,0.22,0.29,0.37,0.41,0.46,0.47,0.62,0.64,0.78,0.73,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIL 111, WAS 116	0.5,0.49,0.5,0.52,0.46,0.43,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.57,0.58,0.64,0.7,0.79,0.74,0.73,0.75,0.82,0.82,0.79,0.82,0.82,0.77,0.78,0.73,0.63,0.55,0.55,0.39,0.39,0.35,0.37,0.35,0.27,0.19,0.18,0.15,0.13,0.12,0.14,0.19,0.27,0.35,0.34,0.47,0.43,0.57,0.77,1	91.3%
SAC 103, DAL 107	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.54,0.54,0.56,0.57,0.57,0.61,0.63,0.62,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.55,0.6,0.69,0.72,0.7,0.71,0.72,0.67,0.64,0.63,0.57,0.46,0.42,0.3,0.27,0.26,0.15,0.11,0.12,0.23,0.15,0.26,0.34,0.25,0.25,0.37,0.47,0.58,0.61,0.61,0.63,0.86,0.85,1	91.0%
OKC 112, CHI 114	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.52,0.5,0.46,0.53,0.57,0.6,0.57,0.66,0.66,0.65,0.66,0.62,0.71,0.73,0.69,0.68,0.71,0.71,0.67,0.75,0.7,0.73,0.66,0.69,0.56,0.58,0.39,0.48,0.32,0.19,0.2,0.17,0.32,0.34,0.31,0.21,0.2,0.37,0.41,0.65,0.67,0.69,0.79,0.78,0.58,1	90.5%