inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Sacramento Kings 103 Excitement7.2 [372] MVPDirk Nowitzki (DAL): +40.8%
Dallas Mavericks 107 Comeback10.0 [307] LVPIsaiah Thomas (SAC): -15.3%


Sacramento Kings
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Rudy Gay0.150,0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.16,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.08,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.150.170.010.041671%0.303-0.151788%0.09
Jason Thompson0.100,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.10.010.06-0.04757%0.1010.0000%0.00
Jimmer Fredette0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.040.010.00487%0.071-0.0200%0.00
Quincy Acy0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.000.01480%0.061-0.022100%0.02
Aaron Gray0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.00-0.002100%0.041-0.0200%0.00
Carl Landry-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.02-0.020.002100%0.041-0.0500%0.00
Ben McLemore-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.01-0.010.00450%-0.011-0.0200%0.00
Marcus Thornton-0.030,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.030.01-0.030.01950%-0.011-0.0200%0.00
Derrick Williams-0.080,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.02,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.06-0.020.00631%-0.041-0.04475%0.00
Isaiah Thomas-0.150,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,0.04,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.03,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.15-0.05-0.12-0.022145%-0.063-0.1000%0.00

Dallas Mavericks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Dirk Nowitzki0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.18,0.15,0.12,0.22,0.22,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.33,0.33,0.410.410.210.210.011969%0.431-0.0311100%0.10
Monta Ellis0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.19,0.19,0.290.290.140.160.011069%0.2900.00989%0.07
Brandan Wright0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.130.130.050.08-0.00659%0.1300.00540%-0.05
Jose Calderon0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.080.08-0.010.07-0.011447%0.101-0.02250%-0.02
Samuel Dalembert0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.040.000.01475%0.0400.0000%0.00
Devin Harris0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.00-0.01-0.01741%0.0000.003100%0.01
Shane Larkin0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.020.00-0.0010%-0.0100.0000%0.00
DeJuan Blair0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.05,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.05-0.010.01537%-0.051-0.02667%-0.01
Jae Crowder0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.02-0.030.02837%-0.0700.0000%0.00
Vince Carter0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.04-0.03-0.00633%-0.051-0.0200%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game25.02.530.416.427.42.442.3146.4
league avg24.72.329.616.026.92.333.4136.7
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
DAL +14.0%
DAL +16.9%
SAC -18.4%
DAL +37.3%
DAL +0.2%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsSACDALNBASACDALNBA
this game16.515.515.1114.4118.9105.2
season15.415.3104.5109.0
opponent15.014.7107.0107.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
SAC16.117.415.317.416.5
DAL14.015.416.016.915.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Sacramento Kings
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Aaron Gray43430.35-0.851.200.099-132216.116.9-0.8515.015.9-0.94
Marcus Thornton6364-0.09-0.410.33-0.235-91416.516.50.0415.116.3-1.21
Jason Thompson3737-0.10-0.400.29-0.4311-152615.917.0-1.1015.415.6-0.23
Jimmer Fredette1212-0.14-0.360.210.00-51-616.016.6-0.5913.915.7-1.81
Carl Landry2223-0.22-0.280.06-0.07-51-616.616.50.1117.314.92.44
Rudy Gay6968-0.23-0.270.04-0.385-91416.516.7-0.2015.017.1-2.18
Derrick Williams4142-0.25-0.250.00-0.01-84-1216.916.20.7616.214.81.40
Isaiah Thomas7879-0.38-0.12-0.25-0.411-5616.616.00.5915.614.90.66
Ben McLemore2726-0.43-0.07-0.37-0.11-117-1816.516.5-0.0416.315.11.21
Quincy Acy5856-1.010.51-1.51-0.36-2218-4017.015.71.3315.515.40.08

Dallas Mavericks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Brandan Wright48470.67-0.170.840.467-31015.915.10.7817.016.01.07
Monta Ellis75770.500.000.500.3840414.918.6-3.7316.516.40.15
Dirk Nowitzki65630.490.010.470.258-41215.814.80.9516.317.0-0.70
Vince Carter46460.470.030.440.248-41215.615.40.1617.915.02.87
Jose Calderon64630.320.180.150.35-15-615.715.00.7416.716.00.78
Devin Harris32320.200.30-0.110.026-2816.115.10.9916.516.50.03
Jae Crowder57600.150.35-0.210.23-37-1015.116.1-0.9515.518.4-2.88
Shane Larkin98-0.020.52-0.530.01-15-616.915.31.5614.416.7-2.34
DeJuan Blair2524-0.070.57-0.65-0.02-26-814.915.7-0.8416.316.6-0.24
Samuel Dalembert2930-0.200.70-0.89-0.02-610-1615.415.5-0.1616.116.7-0.67


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.54,0.54,0.56,0.57,0.57,0.61,0.63,0.62,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.55,0.6,0.69,0.72,0.7,0.71,0.72,0.67,0.64,0.63,0.57,0.46,0.42,0.3,0.27,0.26,0.15,0.11,0.12,0.23,0.15,0.26,0.34,0.25,0.25,0.37,0.47,0.58,0.61,0.61,0.63,0.86,0.85,1
GameSimilarity Score
LAC 106, CLE 1110.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.57,0.52,0.55,0.59,0.6,0.67,0.69,0.71,0.68,0.68,0.71,0.66,0.65,0.58,0.63,0.62,0.62,0.69,0.67,0.54,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.51,0.42,0.42,0.29,0.22,0.19,0.17,0.16,0.15,0.19,0.22,0.26,0.38,0.53,0.53,0.71,0.67,0.61,0.71,0.84,0.85,192.3%
MEM 80, DEN 870.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.6,0.58,0.57,0.53,0.55,0.51,0.55,0.6,0.63,0.62,0.58,0.55,0.58,0.56,0.56,0.64,0.64,0.66,0.7,0.59,0.5,0.45,0.4,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.29,0.32,0.21,0.21,0.19,0.15,0.19,0.26,0.38,0.42,0.42,0.53,0.65,0.66,0.53,0.45,0.67,0.91,191.8%
PHX 95, SAS 1000.5,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.5,0.56,0.58,0.57,0.55,0.61,0.65,0.62,0.71,0.72,0.7,0.66,0.67,0.69,0.78,0.8,0.81,0.73,0.78,0.75,0.8,0.67,0.72,0.66,0.51,0.39,0.36,0.29,0.26,0.35,0.17,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.19,0.22,0.29,0.37,0.41,0.46,0.47,0.62,0.64,0.78,0.73,191.0%