NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Sacramento Kings	129		Excitement	4.8 [887]		MVP	De'Aaron Fox (SAC): +27.7%
Cleveland Cavaliers	110		Comeback	1.2 [868]		LVP	Cedi Osman (CLE): -9.7%

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
De'Aaron Fox	0.28	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.25,0.25,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.26,0.27,0.27,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28	0.26	0.04	0.02	16	86%	0.29	1	-0.01	3	67%	0.01
Buddy Hield	0.20	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.19,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.15	0.04	-0.00	17	69%	0.22	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Marvin Bagley III	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.12	0.04	0.05	9	94%	0.14	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Nemanja Bjelica	0.10	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.09	0.01	0.00	8	81%	0.12	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Willie Cauley-Stein	0.06	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.00	0.00	5	83%	0.06	1	-0.00	2	0%	-0.04
Bogdan Bogdanovic	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	18	42%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Yogi Ferrell	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	2	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Troy Williams	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kosta Koufos	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.01	0.01	0.03	5	60%	-0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Justin Jackson	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	0.02	-0.01	0.05	7	50%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Iman Shumpert	-0.06	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	8	37%	-0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Frank Mason	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.02	-0.02	2	0%	-0.02	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Alec Burks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.10	0.01	0.00	14	69%	0.14	2	-0.04	4	75%	-0.01
Larry Nance Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.06	0.02	-0.00	5	79%	0.11	1	-0.03	4	75%	0.00
Collin Sexton	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.14,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.00	0.00	-0.08	16	61%	0.16	5	-0.07	6	83%	0.01
Jordan Clarkson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.19,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.13	-0.02	0.04	19	67%	0.13	2	-0.06	1	0%	-0.01
Rodney Hood	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	-0.00	0.00	3	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Channing Frye	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.08	0.00	0.08	2	150%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ante Zizic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jalen Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tristan Thompson	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	-0.00	-0.01	3	67%	0.03	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Jaron Blossomgame	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.03	-0.02	0.01	3	33%	-0.02	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Cedi Osman	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.08	-0.01	0.00	13	36%	-0.03	2	-0.07	2	50%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.1	2.0	27.2	14.6	26.2	1.6	26.3	124.1
league avg	25.3	2.2	27.8	14.6	27.6	2.2	31.9	132.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAC +28.1%

CLE -9.6%

SAC +7.7%

SAC +22.3%

SAC +1.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAC	CLE	NBA	SAC	CLE	NBA
this game	13.9	15.4	14.3	130.3	112.2	109.3
season	13.3	15.5		109.2	106.3
opponent	13.9	14.3		116.5	110.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAC	13.2	14.4	12.6	15.5	13.9
CLE	15.6	13.3	16.2	16.5	15.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Nemanja Bjelica	63	62	0.73	-0.23	0.96	-0.30	35	-16	51	13.1	15.3	-2.27	16.1	14.0	2.15
De'Aaron Fox	59	59	0.71	-0.21	0.91	-0.20	31	-12	43	13.3	14.8	-1.57	16.5	13.6	2.89
Iman Shumpert	50	49	0.41	0.09	0.32	-0.09	17	2	15	12.9	14.9	-2.08	15.6	15.2	0.39
Buddy Hield	70	67	0.34	0.16	0.17	-0.07	14	5	9	13.5	14.9	-1.38	15.6	14.9	0.66
Willie Cauley-Stein	55	55	0.27	0.23	0.05	-0.25	18	1	17	13.2	14.7	-1.47	16.5	14.0	2.50
Justin Jackson	46	45	0.11	0.39	-0.28	0.02	3	16	-13	15.1	12.8	2.24	14.6	16.0	-1.48
Bogdan Bogdanovic	44	45	0.10	0.40	-0.31	0.01	3	16	-13	15.5	12.6	2.98	15.0	15.6	-0.62
Marvin Bagley III	49	49	0.05	0.45	-0.40	0.23	-6	25	-31	15.1	12.7	2.44	14.8	15.9	-1.16
Yogi Ferrell	6	6	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.03	-1	20	-21	11.3	14.1	-2.72	14.7	15.4	-0.74
Kosta Koufos	31	30	-0.05	0.55	-0.61	0.21	-9	28	-37	14.8	13.5	1.29	12.7	16.5	-3.88
Frank Mason	15	14	-0.06	0.56	-0.62	0.06	-4	23	-27	13.0	14.0	-1.05	15.4	15.4	-0.00
Troy Williams	7	9	-0.10	0.60	-0.70	0.08	-6	25	-31	16.4	13.7	2.73	11.3	15.8	-4.43

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jordan Clarkson	63	65	0.07	-0.57	0.65	-0.28	12	-31	43	13.6	18.5	-4.91	14.4	12.8	1.62
Channing Frye	7	8	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.06	2	-21	23	14.7	15.4	-0.69	14.4	13.8	0.53
Ante Zizic	9	9	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.06	2	-21	23	16.0	15.3	0.71	13.6	13.9	-0.37
Jalen Jones	9	9	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.06	2	-21	23	16.0	15.3	0.71	13.6	13.9	-0.37
Rodney Hood	30	29	-0.13	-0.37	0.23	0.13	-9	-10	1	16.1	15.0	1.02	14.2	13.7	0.50
Alec Burks	79	79	-0.14	-0.36	0.23	-0.08	-2	-17	15	14.6	18.5	-3.93	14.3	12.2	2.05
Jaron Blossomgame	34	35	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.13	-2	-17	15	14.1	16.0	-1.90	14.2	13.7	0.53
Tristan Thompson	60	60	-0.42	-0.08	-0.35	0.31	-25	6	-31	16.4	13.8	2.60	13.0	15.3	-2.26
Cedi Osman	67	69	-0.48	-0.02	-0.45	0.17	-22	3	-25	15.7	14.6	1.14	13.4	15.0	-1.55
Collin Sexton	70	71	-0.59	0.09	-0.69	0.23	-28	9	-37	16.2	13.2	2.95	13.6	14.6	-0.95
Larry Nance Jr.	62	61	-0.62	0.12	-0.73	0.12	-25	6	-31	16.0	14.2	1.79	14.1	13.5	0.67

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.36,0.35,0.34,0.29,0.3,0.29,0.33,0.28,0.32,0.28,0.32,0.42,0.46,0.47,0.53,0.39,0.41,0.44,0.49,0.44,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.4,0.31,0.24,0.24,0.23,0.26,0.25,0.3,0.2,0.21,0.22,0.15,0.12,0.04,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
CLE 118, ORL 94	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.43,0.39,0.37,0.38,0.36,0.35,0.35,0.38,0.4,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.49,0.4,0.41,0.44,0.44,0.42,0.41,0.46,0.5,0.48,0.37,0.33,0.3,0.3,0.18,0.22,0.21,0.24,0.1,0.15,0.22,0.13,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	93.9%
CHI 93, ATL 76	0.5,0.51,0.5,0.45,0.45,0.49,0.4,0.37,0.37,0.39,0.4,0.36,0.34,0.35,0.3,0.34,0.4,0.44,0.49,0.44,0.47,0.41,0.51,0.49,0.41,0.5,0.54,0.43,0.31,0.3,0.24,0.28,0.32,0.34,0.34,0.37,0.28,0.15,0.15,0.18,0.11,0.12,0.04,0.01,0,0.01,0,0,0,0	93.9%
SAS 109, DAL 100	0.5,0.49,0.44,0.43,0.48,0.44,0.34,0.35,0.33,0.33,0.3,0.37,0.36,0.34,0.4,0.42,0.47,0.56,0.61,0.52,0.39,0.44,0.49,0.54,0.53,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.33,0.24,0.36,0.26,0.2,0.16,0.18,0.17,0.28,0.1,0.05,0.02,0.08,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.02,0.01,0,0,0.01,0	93.9%