NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Chicago Bulls	93		Excitement	5.2 [764]		MVP	Taj Gibson (CHI): +12.5%
Atlanta Hawks	76		Comeback	1.2 [378]		LVP	Richard Hamilton (CHI): -14.3%

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Taj Gibson	0.13	0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.10	0.04	0.02	14	61%	0.13	0	0.00	3	33%	-0.02
Nate Robinson	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.07	0.04	-0.00	16	62%	0.15	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Luol Deng	0.06	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.11	-0.00	0.04	21	57%	0.06	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Marquis Teague	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.00	0.01	-0.00	2	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Vladimir Radmanovic	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marco Belinelli	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.11	0.00	-0.03	8	24%	-0.05	1	-0.02	5	60%	-0.02
Jimmy Butler	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.04	-0.05	0.03	16	46%	-0.05	3	-0.07	3	100%	0.01
Richard Hamilton	-0.14	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.13	-0.03	-0.02	14	21%	-0.12	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jeff Teague	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.04	0.02	-0.01	11	62%	0.11	2	-0.04	4	100%	0.02
Mike Scott	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
John Jenkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	-0.01	-0.00	3	62%	0.04	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Anthony Tolliver	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	0.02	2	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Korver	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.04	0.00	0.05	6	77%	0.04	2	-0.05	1	100%	0.01
Anthony Morrow	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.05	0.00	-0.03	3	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
DeShawn Stevenson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.06	-0.00	-0.01	6	17%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Josh Smith	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	-0.01	0.05	16	54%	0.02	4	-0.09	3	0%	-0.05
Al Horford	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	18	39%	-0.06	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Ivan Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.08	-0.06	-0.03	8	38%	-0.04	3	-0.07	5	40%	-0.06
Jannero Pargo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.11	-0.01	-0.00	6	0%	-0.10	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.4	2.4	27.2	14.8	23.5	1.8	26.8	119.0
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.5	14.0	26.8	2.3	33.1	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHI +14.5%

CHI +3.4%

CHI +12.0%

CHI +21.5%

ATL -1.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHI	ATL	NBA	CHI	ATL	NBA
this game	17.9	15.3	15.4	106.9	87.4	104.1
season	16.6	15.1		101.7	102.6
opponent	15.5	15.2		102.8	102.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHI	16.6	17.5	17.9	19.8	17.9
ATL	14.7	14.5	16.4	15.5	15.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Nate Robinson	75	75	0.63	-0.13	0.77	-0.16	27	-10	37	17.6	19.2	-1.62	15.0	17.0	-2.03
Luol Deng	83	83	0.58	-0.08	0.67	-0.03	21	-4	25	17.8	18.0	-0.16	15.2	15.7	-0.52
Taj Gibson	83	83	0.56	-0.06	0.61	-0.03	20	-3	23	17.4	26.5	-9.07	15.3	15.2	0.00
Richard Hamilton	41	42	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.01	15	2	13	17.4	18.2	-0.78	15.8	14.8	1.03
Jimmy Butler	84	82	0.37	0.13	0.23	-0.01	13	4	9	18.0	12.3	5.71	14.9	21.0	-6.10
Marco Belinelli	49	50	0.18	0.32	-0.13	0.01	6	11	-5	17.9	17.8	0.02	15.4	15.1	0.30
Marquis Teague	12	12	-0.13	0.63	-0.77	0.16	-10	27	-37	19.2	17.6	1.62	17.0	15.0	2.03
Vladimir Radmanovic	8	8	-0.14	0.64	-0.78	0.07	-7	24	-31	22.2	17.4	4.84	15.5	15.2	0.27

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Anthony Morrow	7	6	0.08	-0.58	0.67	-0.00	3	-20	23	13.4	15.4	-1.98	19.2	17.8	1.41
Mike Scott	3	3	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.00	0	-17	17	9.3	15.5	-6.13	21.0	17.7	3.26
Anthony Tolliver	21	20	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.10	1	-18	19	18.4	14.3	4.12	18.4	17.7	0.71
Ivan Johnson	39	39	-0.17	-0.33	0.15	-0.12	-2	-15	13	17.4	13.5	3.82	18.5	17.4	1.11
John Jenkins	37	36	-0.21	-0.29	0.07	-0.04	-6	-11	5	15.4	15.1	0.27	20.9	15.7	5.28
Jannero Pargo	24	24	-0.21	-0.29	0.07	-0.07	-5	-12	7	15.6	15.1	0.46	20.1	17.0	3.08
Al Horford	73	73	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	0.07	-11	-6	-5	15.4	14.4	1.07	17.7	18.6	-0.94
DeShawn Stevenson	36	36	-0.37	-0.13	-0.23	0.04	-14	-3	-11	14.4	15.9	-1.47	15.2	19.7	-4.53
Jeff Teague	59	60	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	0.07	-15	-2	-13	15.0	15.7	-0.68	17.0	19.8	-2.79
Kyle Korver	68	69	-0.38	-0.12	-0.27	0.08	-16	-1	-15	14.6	17.7	-3.18	17.7	18.6	-0.96
Josh Smith	68	69	-0.53	0.03	-0.57	0.05	-20	3	-23	14.5	18.0	-3.51	17.2	20.3	-3.13

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.5,0.45,0.45,0.49,0.4,0.37,0.37,0.39,0.4,0.36,0.34,0.35,0.3,0.34,0.4,0.44,0.49,0.44,0.47,0.41,0.51,0.49,0.41,0.5,0.54,0.43,0.31,0.3,0.24,0.28,0.32,0.34,0.34,0.37,0.28,0.15,0.15,0.18,0.11,0.12,0.04,0.01,0,0.01,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
IND 104, LAL 92	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.5,0.47,0.39,0.39,0.47,0.42,0.4,0.43,0.42,0.42,0.47,0.46,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.52,0.43,0.36,0.3,0.36,0.32,0.32,0.3,0.24,0.27,0.29,0.13,0.16,0.1,0.17,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0,0,0	94.7%
ATL 105, IND 99	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.43,0.43,0.44,0.42,0.45,0.43,0.4,0.38,0.34,0.43,0.4,0.44,0.41,0.42,0.44,0.42,0.49,0.53,0.49,0.42,0.39,0.49,0.37,0.4,0.36,0.33,0.33,0.29,0.25,0.31,0.23,0.26,0.15,0.13,0.16,0.1,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.09,0	93.9%
SAC 129, CLE 110	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.36,0.35,0.34,0.29,0.3,0.29,0.33,0.28,0.32,0.28,0.32,0.42,0.46,0.47,0.53,0.39,0.41,0.44,0.49,0.44,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.4,0.31,0.24,0.24,0.23,0.26,0.25,0.3,0.2,0.21,0.22,0.15,0.12,0.04,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	93.9%