NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	110		Excitement	10.7 [59]		MVP	Willie Cauley-Stein (SAC): +30.1%
Sacramento Kings	111		Comeback	13.9 [102]		LVP	Darren Collison (IND): -35.6%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Doug McDermott	0.27	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.2,0.25,0.25,0.31,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27	0.11	0.15	-0.01	8	74%	0.27	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Thaddeus Young	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,-0.01,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.07	0.01	-0.00	8	74%	0.14	2	-0.06	3	67%	-0.01
Aaron Holiday	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.01	4	62%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Cory Joseph	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.00	6	58%	0.06	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Myles Turner	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,-0.01,-0.01	0.02	-0.07	-0.04	10	61%	-0.01	2	-0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Tyreke Evans	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.03	-0.04	-0.01	12	50%	0.02	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Bojan Bogdanovic	-0.12	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.22,0.17,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,-0.12	0.08	-0.18	0.02	19	61%	-0.03	3	-0.09	6	83%	0.01
Domantas Sabonis	-0.28	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.16,-0.18,-0.13,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.28,-0.28	-0.15	-0.13	-0.00	7	43%	0.02	7	-0.29	0	0%	0.00
Darren Collison	-0.36	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.12,-0.36	-0.09	-0.28	-0.01	8	58%	0.19	6	-0.55	3	100%	0.03

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Willie Cauley-Stein	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.06,0.3	0.30	-0.00	0.29	-0.01	13	57%	0.39	3	-0.08	4	25%	-0.05
Troy Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.09	0.06	-0.00	6	75%	0.14	0	0.00	4	25%	-0.08
Bogdan Bogdanovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.23,0.23,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.10	0.04	0.00	12	74%	0.23	3	-0.10	3	100%	0.02
Iman Shumpert	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.03	0.04	0.00	6	67%	0.10	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Nemanja Bjelica	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	0.01	12	54%	0.02	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Buddy Hield	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.14,0.14,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.02	-0.05	0.01	16	50%	-0.00	2	-0.03	4	100%	0.03
Justin Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.00	-0.10	-0.00	7	50%	-0.03	1	-0.06	2	0%	-0.07
De'Aaron Fox	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.18,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.16,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.17,-0.17,-0.21	-0.21	-0.15	-0.07	-0.01	16	38%	-0.04	6	-0.17	7	100%	0.05
Kosta Koufos	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.13,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25	-0.25	-0.09	-0.16	0.00	3	0%	-0.11	2	-0.14	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.4	2.4	26.6	15.3	27.6	2.3	33.5	132.0
league avg	25.3	2.2	27.8	14.6	27.6	2.2	31.9	132.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND -3.0%

SAC +3.0%

SAC +10.8%

SAC +47.0%

IND -7.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	SAC	NBA	IND	SAC	NBA
this game	14.7	12.5	14.3	103.8	104.7	109.3
season	14.5	13.3		108.4	109.2
opponent	14.3	14.6		110.5	105.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	14.3	15.3	12.9	16.7	14.7
SAC	13.9	12.3	11.0	12.8	12.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tyreke Evans	69	66	0.11	-0.61	0.72	-0.21	11	-12	23	14.0	16.1	-2.11	12.0	13.1	-1.10
Myles Turner	73	70	0.10	-0.60	0.71	-0.16	9	-10	19	14.5	15.2	-0.64	12.1	13.1	-1.02
Darren Collison	74	76	0.03	-0.53	0.57	-0.35	13	-14	27	14.9	14.2	0.74	12.2	13.1	-0.89
Aaron Holiday	14	15	-0.26	-0.24	-0.03	0.06	-11	10	-21	14.9	14.7	0.25	13.8	12.2	1.56
Bojan Bogdanovic	82	83	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.47	4	-5	9	15.0	13.7	1.35	12.1	13.9	-1.80
Doug McDermott	46	46	-0.36	-0.14	-0.21	-0.00	-12	11	-23	15.2	14.3	0.82	13.5	11.7	1.76
Thaddeus Young	57	59	-0.47	-0.03	-0.45	-0.44	-1	0	-1	14.1	15.4	-1.26	11.9	13.1	-1.16
Domantas Sabonis	52	53	-0.50	0.00	-0.51	-0.33	-6	5	-11	14.5	14.9	-0.45	13.2	11.8	1.42
Cory Joseph	63	62	-0.80	0.30	-1.10	-0.45	-12	11	-23	15.4	13.7	1.74	13.0	11.8	1.18

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Bogdan Bogdanovic	68	68	0.78	-0.28	1.06	0.57	7	-6	13	12.5	12.4	0.11	15.0	14.3	0.69
Buddy Hield	75	73	0.53	-0.03	0.55	0.44	3	-2	5	12.9	11.5	1.38	15.3	13.4	1.86
Iman Shumpert	64	64	0.50	-0.00	0.50	0.68	-6	7	-13	11.5	13.9	-2.43	14.9	14.4	0.58
Willie Cauley-Stein	75	76	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.54	-4	5	-9	11.8	14.1	-2.36	14.6	14.9	-0.31
De'Aaron Fox	82	84	0.40	0.10	0.29	0.48	-3	4	-7	11.8	14.7	-2.96	14.5	15.3	-0.77
Kosta Koufos	32	31	0.09	0.41	-0.33	-0.06	5	-4	9	14.2	11.7	2.43	15.0	14.6	0.41
Justin Jackson	52	54	0.05	0.45	-0.39	-0.24	10	-9	19	13.4	11.5	1.92	14.8	14.7	0.11
Troy Williams	35	33	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	-0.13	3	-2	5	14.6	11.4	3.23	14.0	15.0	-1.07
Nemanja Bjelica	47	47	-0.22	0.72	-0.94	0.07	-10	11	-21	11.5	13.2	-1.75	13.8	15.4	-1.58

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.5,0.51,0.41,0.41,0.43,0.43,0.4,0.36,0.4,0.48,0.44,0.47,0.53,0.56,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.54,0.51,0.44,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.48,0.36,0.39,0.39,0.42,0.38,0.52,0.44,0.44,0.42,0.43,0.53,0.62,0.47,0.53,0.29,0.28,0.25,0.21,0.23,0.17,1
Game		Similarity Score
CHA 99, CLE 100	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.52,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.47,0.44,0.42,0.48,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.61,0.59,0.54,0.56,0.49,0.44,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.46,0.39,0.36,0.33,0.29,0.35,0.38,0.48,0.3,0.36,0.54,0.57,0.62,0.57,0.37,0.45,0.34,0.46,0.32,0.15,0.33,0.42,1	92.0%
TOR 110, LAC 111	0.5,0.51,0.45,0.43,0.35,0.44,0.39,0.36,0.36,0.41,0.37,0.35,0.4,0.37,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.58,0.66,0.61,0.66,0.59,0.64,0.5,0.6,0.6,0.55,0.45,0.42,0.35,0.38,0.46,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.58,0.52,0.33,0.57,0.37,0.31,0.24,0.33,0.25,0.22,0.15,0.28,1	91.7%
NYK 84, IND 88	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.43,0.41,0.38,0.41,0.43,0.43,0.45,0.42,0.47,0.5,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.61,0.52,0.56,0.54,0.58,0.51,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.48,0.45,0.48,0.45,0.56,0.52,0.4,0.3,0.26,0.3,0.38,0.27,0.46,0.3,0.29,0.38,0.45,0.29,0.29,1	90.8%