NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Toronto Raptors	110		Excitement	9.3 [105]		MVP	Eric Piatkowski (LAC): +33.7%
Los Angeles Clippers	111		Comeback	13.2 [109]		LVP	Voshon Lenard (TOR): -15.9%

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Morris Peterson	0.16	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.19,0.19,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.2,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.09	0.07	-0.01	12	74%	0.22	2	-0.06	3	100%	0.02
Rafer Alston	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.04	0.05	0.00	5	90%	0.15	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Jerome Williams	0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.05	0.06	-0.02	9	52%	0.10	3	-0.07	3	100%	0.02
Michael Bradley	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jelani McCoy	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Antonio Davis	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.07,0.08,0.09,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	14	65%	0.14	5	-0.15	6	100%	0.03
Alvin Williams	-0.06	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,-0.06	0.04	-0.08	0.01	8	60%	-0.06	0	0.00	4	75%	0.01
Vince Carter	-0.07	0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.14,0.19,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.17,0.17,0.17,-0.07	0.11	-0.16	0.02	18	65%	-0.05	1	-0.03	7	86%	0.01
Voshon Lenard	-0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.18,-0.11,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.11	-0.05	0.00	7	35%	-0.06	3	-0.10	3	67%	-0.01

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Eric Piatkowski	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.2,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.34,0.34	0.34	0.07	0.26	-0.01	7	83%	0.37	2	-0.04	4	100%	0.07
Lamar Odom	0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0.06	0.06	0.02	0.04	0.01	20	57%	0.28	3	-0.23	4	50%	-0.02
Cherokee Parks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.02	0.01	7	56%	0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Tremaine Fowlkes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.02	0.00	2	67%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Marko Jaric	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.04	-0.02	0.00	9	59%	0.02	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Andre Miller	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	0.01	7	50%	0.01	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.02
Corey Maggette	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	8	55%	0.02	2	-0.05	4	75%	-0.00
Sean Rooks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	-0.01	-0.02	9	50%	0.01	3	-0.06	2	100%	0.02
Melvin Ely	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.05	0.00	6	64%	0.03	2	-0.09	2	50%	-0.01
Chris Wilcox	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.04	-0.05	-0.00	6	50%	0.02	2	-0.10	2	50%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.1	1.5	30.9	15.8	25.8	1.8	37.3	136.1
league avg	46.1	2.3	28.0	14.7	24.5	2.3	29.9	149.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAC +42.4%

TOR -13.0%

LAC +33.3%

TOR -22.0%

LAC +9.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	TOR	LAC	NBA	TOR	LAC	NBA
this game	15.3	15.0	15.5	114.6	118.1	101.6
season	16.2	15.4		98.8	100.2
opponent	15.4	15.3		104.3	105.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
TOR	16.4	14.0	14.0	17.1	15.3
LAC	14.3	12.1	17.4	17.1	15.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Morris Peterson	69	66	0.23	-0.73	0.96	0.08	5	-6	11	15.5	14.7	0.79	14.7	15.8	-1.11
Michael Bradley	27	26	-0.06	-0.44	0.37	0.08	-5	4	-9	16.1	14.9	1.22	15.1	15.0	0.05
Alvin Williams	63	63	-0.18	-0.32	0.15	-0.47	10	-11	21	14.9	15.9	-1.02	15.5	14.1	1.36
Jelani McCoy	12	12	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	0.02	-8	7	-15	14.9	15.3	-0.40	13.7	15.2	-1.48
Rafer Alston	29	28	-0.24	-0.26	0.01	-0.01	-8	7	-15	16.2	14.9	1.29	14.9	15.1	-0.16
Antonio Davis	84	82	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.49	7	-8	15	15.3	14.9	0.40	15.2	13.7	1.48
Jerome Williams	66	66	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.52	5	-6	11	15.1	15.6	-0.53	15.2	14.7	0.42
Vince Carter	79	77	-0.54	0.04	-0.57	-0.65	4	-5	9	14.6	18.2	-3.53	15.0	15.4	-0.38
Voshon Lenard	51	50	-0.84	0.34	-1.18	-0.40	-15	14	-29	15.6	14.9	0.72	14.9	15.2	-0.30

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Marko Jaric	47	50	1.09	-0.59	1.68	0.59	17	-16	33	14.9	15.1	-0.21	14.8	15.8	-1.07
Eric Piatkowski	35	39	0.61	-0.11	0.72	0.23	13	-12	25	14.3	15.5	-1.21	15.7	15.0	0.75
Melvin Ely	40	42	0.44	0.06	0.38	-0.06	17	-16	33	14.3	15.6	-1.25	15.4	15.2	0.20
Lamar Odom	71	71	0.44	0.06	0.37	0.58	-5	6	-11	15.3	14.2	1.09	15.7	14.0	1.77
Tremaine Fowlkes	19	21	0.21	0.29	-0.09	0.06	5	-4	9	15.1	15.0	0.01	13.4	15.8	-2.36
Andre Miller	68	68	0.17	0.33	-0.15	0.53	-12	13	-25	15.5	13.8	1.65	15.4	15.0	0.38
Chris Wilcox	41	43	0.07	0.43	-0.35	-0.13	7	-6	13	14.6	15.4	-0.81	15.8	14.8	0.98
Sean Rooks	54	54	0.06	0.44	-0.38	0.53	-16	17	-33	15.6	14.3	1.25	15.2	15.4	-0.20
Corey Maggette	43	42	-0.29	0.79	-1.08	0.00	-10	11	-21	14.7	15.3	-0.59	15.2	15.4	-0.19
Cherokee Parks	52	50	-0.30	0.80	-1.09	0.03	-11	12	-23	15.3	14.7	0.59	15.0	15.5	-0.52

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.45,0.43,0.35,0.44,0.39,0.36,0.36,0.41,0.37,0.35,0.4,0.37,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.58,0.66,0.61,0.66,0.59,0.64,0.5,0.6,0.6,0.55,0.45,0.42,0.35,0.38,0.46,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.58,0.52,0.33,0.57,0.37,0.31,0.24,0.33,0.25,0.22,0.15,0.28,1
Game		Similarity Score
IND 110, SAC 111	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.5,0.51,0.41,0.41,0.43,0.43,0.4,0.36,0.4,0.48,0.44,0.47,0.53,0.56,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.54,0.51,0.44,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.48,0.36,0.39,0.39,0.42,0.38,0.52,0.44,0.44,0.42,0.43,0.53,0.62,0.47,0.53,0.29,0.28,0.25,0.21,0.23,0.17,1	91.7%
CLE 88, DET 89	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.45,0.43,0.4,0.35,0.35,0.4,0.35,0.4,0.38,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.52,0.48,0.54,0.46,0.49,0.46,0.5,0.57,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.45,0.53,0.48,0.56,0.63,0.64,0.62,0.57,0.62,0.48,0.37,0.31,0.35,0.39,0.24,0.21,0.33,0.42,1	90.5%
PHI 100, DEN 101	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.43,0.41,0.44,0.45,0.47,0.45,0.37,0.34,0.38,0.37,0.44,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.54,0.56,0.56,0.61,0.64,0.7,0.66,0.72,0.64,0.64,0.52,0.48,0.45,0.41,0.41,0.52,0.48,0.66,0.62,0.57,0.38,0.32,0.31,0.24,0.22,0.19,0.11,0.02,0.04,1	90.5%