NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Golden State Warriors	128		Excitement	8.3 [278]		MVP	Kevin Durant (GSW): +51.7%
Toronto Raptors	131		Comeback	1.3 [910]		LVP	Andre Iguodala (GSW): -19.6%

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kevin Durant	0.52	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.16,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.21,0.16,0.16,0.19,0.13,0.47,0.47,0.53,0.61,0.52,0.52	0.31	0.24	0.04	31	69%	0.61	1	-0.09	12	92%	0.03
Jonas Jerebko	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.19,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.1,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06	0.10	-0.01	0.02	13	74%	0.18	3	-0.11	1	100%	0.01
Kevon Looney	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	-0.00	0.04	-0.00	7	44%	0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Damian Jones	0.00	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	1	100%	0.02	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Jacob Evans	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Quinn Cook	-0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	9	44%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Damion Lee	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.00	-0.03	-0.00	7	50%	-0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Shaun Livingston	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.02	-0.02	0.01	5	31%	-0.06	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Jordan Bell	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	-0.00	3	0%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Klay Thompson	-0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.12,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.11,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	0.00	-0.17	-0.02	20	55%	0.02	4	-0.17	2	100%	0.01
Andre Iguodala	-0.20	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.13,-0.2	-0.07	-0.14	-0.01	7	43%	-0.02	3	-0.18	0	0%	0.00

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kawhi Leonard	0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.12,0.16,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.19,0.23,0.23,0.25,0.23,0.26,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.38,0.36,0.36,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.32	0.32	0.22	0.09	-0.00	24	69%	0.33	1	-0.02	6	100%	0.03
Danny Green	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.25,0.25,0.25	0.25	0.08	0.17	-0.01	10	65%	0.25	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Pascal Siakam	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.24,0.24,0.16,0.2,0.21	0.21	0.23	0.02	0.04	10	93%	0.23	1	-0.02	8	87%	0.02
Delon Wright	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.20	0.08	0.11	-0.00	3	100%	0.20	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Jonas Valanciunas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.08	-0.02	0.00	5	86%	0.08	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.02
Serge Ibaka	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.06	-0.00	-0.01	13	67%	0.15	3	-0.09	4	75%	-0.02
Kyle Lowry	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.06	0.02	-0.03	14	36%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
CJ Miles	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.06	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Fred VanVleet	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.09	0.00	-0.02	3	0%	-0.03	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
OG Anunoby	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.08	-0.03	-0.00	7	36%	-0.04	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	28.2	2.6	29.3	15.8	28.1	2.7	31.0	2.7	17.6	157.9
league avg	25.3	2.2	27.8	14.6	27.6	2.2	31.9	3.3	15.6	132.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

TOR +37.7%

TOR +5.5%

GSW -24.1%

TOR +32.5%

GSW -1.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	GSW	TOR	NBA	GSW	TOR	NBA
this game	14.3	15.6	14.3	120.8	122.4	109.3
season	13.4	14.3		114.5	111.5
opponent	14.5	15.0		105.9	108.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
GSW	14.2	13.4	14.7	16.0	12.3	14.3
TOR	14.6	13.8	16.6	17.5	16.1	15.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Shaun Livingston	35	34	0.18	-0.68	0.87	-0.11	10	-13	23	13.3	14.8	-1.45	15.6	15.6	0.03
Kevon Looney	54	54	0.18	-0.68	0.85	-0.35	18	-21	39	13.3	15.3	-2.09	16.3	14.8	1.43
Jonas Jerebko	66	66	0.05	-0.55	0.59	-0.31	12	-15	27	13.6	15.4	-1.87	15.7	15.3	0.41
Jacob Evans	1	1	0.00	-0.50	0.51	0.00	0	-3	3	0.0	14.4	-14.42	20.0	15.5	4.47
Damion Lee	37	37	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	-0.27	8	-11	19	14.1	14.4	-0.27	15.3	15.7	-0.46
Jordan Bell	30	31	-0.28	-0.22	-0.07	-0.25	-1	-2	1	14.9	14.0	0.91	14.6	16.0	-1.39
Quinn Cook	42	43	-0.29	-0.21	-0.09	-0.03	-9	6	-15	15.2	13.7	1.58	15.0	16.0	-0.95
Damian Jones	22	22	-0.39	-0.11	-0.27	0.20	-20	17	-37	15.9	13.9	2.05	15.2	15.7	-0.43
Kevin Durant	84	86	-0.56	0.06	-0.61	-0.41	-5	2	-7	14.2	14.6	-0.45	15.6	15.6	-0.00
Klay Thompson	88	88	-0.68	0.18	-0.85	-0.24	-15	12	-27	14.7	12.3	2.35	15.8	14.5	1.33
Andre Iguodala	71	73	-0.68	0.18	-0.85	-0.29	-13	10	-23	14.8	13.3	1.45	15.6	15.6	-0.03

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Danny Green	78	75	0.78	-0.28	1.05	0.31	16	-13	29	15.5	15.8	-0.26	14.7	13.2	1.49
Serge Ibaka	73	71	0.73	-0.23	0.96	0.26	16	-13	29	15.3	16.1	-0.72	15.0	12.9	2.09
Kyle Lowry	82	81	0.63	-0.13	0.75	0.39	8	-5	13	15.4	16.1	-0.72	14.7	12.8	1.89
Pascal Siakam	85	83	0.61	-0.11	0.72	0.41	7	-4	11	15.8	14.5	1.29	14.3	14.1	0.19
Kawhi Leonard	89	86	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.36	3	0	3	16.2	12.4	3.82	14.2	14.5	-0.27
Delon Wright	24	25	0.03	0.47	-0.45	-0.00	1	2	-1	15.7	15.5	0.18	13.6	14.5	-0.84
CJ Miles	8	8	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.03	-1	4	-5	11.1	15.9	-4.80	15.6	14.2	1.45
OG Anunoby	33	35	-0.21	0.71	-0.93	0.05	-9	12	-21	14.5	16.0	-1.48	13.4	14.7	-1.28
Jonas Valanciunas	33	34	-0.23	0.73	-0.97	0.15	-13	16	-29	15.9	15.4	0.53	13.3	14.8	-1.50
Fred VanVleet	30	32	-0.27	0.77	-1.04	0.11	-13	16	-29	15.9	15.4	0.46	12.8	14.9	-2.11

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.63,0.7,0.68,0.68,0.75,0.76,0.74,0.73,0.75,0.76,0.8,0.79,0.79,0.82,0.84,0.84,0.82,0.8,0.79,0.75,0.75,0.71,0.77,0.85,0.91,0.9,0.87,0.85,0.79,0.89,0.86,0.91,0.81,0.84,0.92,0.8,0.63,0.64,0.76,0.86,0.93,0.92,0.89,0.91,0.54,0.75,0.63,0.77,0.96,1
Game		Similarity Score
SEA 100, MIN 105	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.6,0.63,0.65,0.69,0.68,0.72,0.72,0.73,0.78,0.78,0.75,0.79,0.73,0.71,0.75,0.73,0.76,0.83,0.81,0.84,0.83,0.88,0.91,0.92,0.93,0.92,0.94,0.92,0.94,0.97,0.95,0.96,0.94,0.98,0.97,0.96,0.93,0.95,0.93,0.86,0.88,0.73,0.81,0.78,0.85,0.84,0.54,0.61,0.72,0.85,0.91,1	90.1%
LAC 111, OKC 117	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.5,0.52,0.56,0.57,0.59,0.65,0.69,0.68,0.64,0.65,0.56,0.62,0.69,0.65,0.67,0.74,0.75,0.71,0.72,0.8,0.8,0.78,0.76,0.77,0.78,0.7,0.76,0.71,0.71,0.82,0.77,0.78,0.71,0.78,0.74,0.66,0.86,0.81,0.64,0.84,0.88,0.87,0.89,0.84,0.85,0.54,0.68,0.64,0.77,0.92,1	89.7%
NOH 91, LAC 100	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.53,0.57,0.58,0.55,0.53,0.61,0.69,0.71,0.73,0.78,0.79,0.76,0.79,0.83,0.85,0.82,0.84,0.86,0.86,0.87,0.92,0.91,0.95,0.94,0.92,0.95,0.96,0.94,0.95,0.96,0.94,0.86,0.79,0.62,0.7,0.75,0.79,0.76,0.87,0.84,0.9,0.93,0.89,0.8,0.74,0.46,0.73,0.79,0.98,1,1	89.6%