NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Boston Celtics	124		Excitement	4.8 [900]		MVP	Nikola Mirotic (NOP): +20.9%
New Orleans Pelicans	107		Comeback	1.1 [759]		LVP	Jrue Holiday (NOP): -11.9%

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Al Horford	0.15	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.09,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.13,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.11	0.03	-0.01	15	65%	0.18	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.00
Marcus Morris	0.15	0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.17,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.10	0.03	-0.02	14	68%	0.16	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Terry Rozier	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.07	0.01	-0.01	12	58%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Aron Baynes	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.00	0.00	4	58%	0.03	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Semi Ojeleye	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.01	2	75%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jayson Tatum	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.11	-0.00	0.09	14	62%	0.02	1	-0.01	4	100%	0.01
Robert Williams III	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Guerschon Yabusele	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kyrie Irving	-0.01	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.12,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.00	22	58%	0.12	6	-0.12	1	100%	0.01
Marcus Smart	-0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.00	-0.01	0.00	8	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Gordon Hayward	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.05	0.00	-0.02	5	50%	0.02	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

New Orleans Pelicans
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Nikola Mirotic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.2,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21	0.21	0.21	0.02	0.02	15	76%	0.21	0	0.00	3	100%	0.02
Wesley Johnson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	-0.00	0.01	6	58%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Solomon Hill	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.03	2	50%	0.02	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Darius Miller	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.03	-0.00	0.02	11	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cheick Diallo	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ian Clark	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Julius Randle	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.01	0.03	8	58%	0.04	3	-0.06	10	90%	0.01
Frank Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Tim Frazier	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Davis	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.07,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.01	0.02	19	54%	0.08	5	-0.11	12	92%	0.04
E'Twaun Moore	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	0.00	-0.00	7	36%	-0.01	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Jrue Holiday	0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.09	-0.01	0.02	8	65%	0.02	8	-0.14	4	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.0	1.7	24.9	14.5	28.3	1.8	28.2	127.4
league avg	25.3	2.2	27.8	14.6	27.6	2.2	31.9	132.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BOS +35.1%

NOP -11.0%

BOS +9.0%

BOS +15.4%

BOS +1.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BOS	NOP	NBA	BOS	NOP	NBA
this game	15.6	13.2	14.3	124.0	107.0	109.3
season	13.9	13.4		109.9	110.2
opponent	14.2	14.7		111.5	106.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BOS	12.6	16.4	15.4	19.0	15.6
NOP	11.9	14.9	13.4	12.8	13.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jayson Tatum	73	74	0.64	-0.14	0.78	-0.21	29	-12	41	15.4	16.4	-1.00	13.0	13.5	-0.46
Kyrie Irving	66	68	0.55	-0.05	0.60	-0.15	24	-7	31	15.4	16.1	-0.63	13.4	12.6	0.79
Marcus Smart	84	83	0.37	0.13	0.23	0.01	12	5	7	15.9	14.4	1.43	13.0	14.0	-1.01
Al Horford	68	70	0.36	0.14	0.21	0.03	11	6	5	15.1	16.7	-1.59	13.0	13.6	-0.68
Aron Baynes	40	40	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.07	5	12	-7	16.4	15.1	1.35	14.0	12.6	1.44
Terry Rozier	39	38	0.18	0.32	-0.14	0.04	5	12	-7	15.3	15.9	-0.54	13.0	13.3	-0.26
Marcus Morris	66	65	0.15	0.34	-0.19	-0.11	9	8	1	15.2	16.6	-1.44	12.4	14.5	-2.04
Gordon Hayward	46	45	0.06	0.44	-0.38	0.29	-8	25	-33	17.0	14.5	2.48	13.6	12.8	0.84
Semi Ojeleye	11	11	0.01	0.49	-0.48	0.07	-2	19	-21	16.0	15.6	0.40	15.2	12.9	2.27
Robert Williams III	4	3	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.09	3	14	-11	16.2	15.6	0.64	9.0	13.3	-4.29
Guerschon Yabusele	3	3	-0.03	0.53	-0.57	0.06	-3	20	-23	13.7	15.7	-2.03	15.7	13.1	2.58

New Orleans Pelicans
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tim Frazier	9	9	0.07	-0.57	0.65	0.04	1	-18	19	11.7	13.3	-1.64	18.4	15.4	3.08
Cheick Diallo	5	5	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.06	-2	-15	13	11.4	13.3	-1.85	17.8	15.5	2.27
Solomon Hill	40	39	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.12	0	-17	17	13.1	13.2	-0.02	17.1	14.7	2.31
E'Twaun Moore	55	56	-0.14	-0.36	0.21	0.00	-5	-12	7	12.9	13.5	-0.56	14.7	16.8	-2.10
Ian Clark	3	2	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	0.10	-9	-8	-1	17.0	13.0	3.96	6.5	15.8	-9.33
Julius Randle	43	43	-0.22	-0.28	0.05	-0.16	-2	-15	13	13.3	13.1	0.17	15.4	15.8	-0.47
Frank Jackson	12	12	-0.23	-0.27	0.05	0.07	-10	-7	-3	16.8	12.7	4.17	15.9	15.6	0.31
Jrue Holiday	78	80	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.20	-2	-15	13	12.7	15.0	-2.30	15.7	15.4	0.30
Darius Miller	59	59	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	0.01	-10	-7	-3	14.0	12.0	2.05	16.8	14.0	2.82
Nikola Mirotic	78	78	-0.36	-0.14	-0.23	-0.01	-12	-5	-7	13.1	13.5	-0.38	15.8	15.0	0.76
Anthony Davis	78	77	-0.38	-0.12	-0.27	-0.03	-12	-5	-7	13.2	13.1	0.09	15.5	16.3	-0.81
Wesley Johnson	40	40	-0.40	-0.10	-0.31	0.24	-22	5	-27	12.4	13.6	-1.18	13.5	17.0	-3.53

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.42,0.41,0.4,0.31,0.28,0.28,0.31,0.35,0.32,0.25,0.21,0.2,0.2,0.11,0.2,0.24,0.19,0.18,0.19,0.15,0.16,0.25,0.23,0.25,0.15,0.24,0.21,0.16,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.13,0.07,0.08,0.17,0.12,0.08,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.01,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
UTA 97, DEN 91	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.48,0.44,0.35,0.29,0.3,0.31,0.31,0.32,0.29,0.25,0.21,0.2,0.19,0.21,0.2,0.22,0.19,0.17,0.12,0.15,0.18,0.2,0.2,0.23,0.22,0.17,0.16,0.11,0.15,0.08,0.06,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.04,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0	95.6%
TOR 99, WAS 93	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.4,0.36,0.37,0.35,0.28,0.28,0.31,0.31,0.29,0.28,0.22,0.2,0.17,0.21,0.24,0.2,0.12,0.08,0.19,0.21,0.16,0.18,0.16,0.18,0.22,0.22,0.27,0.21,0.1,0.09,0.13,0.11,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.1,0.17,0.12,0.17,0.15,0.07,0.05,0.1,0.01,0,0	94.9%
CHA 108, DET 96	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.39,0.36,0.35,0.33,0.37,0.37,0.32,0.29,0.28,0.32,0.28,0.25,0.25,0.2,0.22,0.23,0.2,0.22,0.17,0.16,0.2,0.23,0.18,0.17,0.12,0.05,0.09,0.07,0.08,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.08,0.04,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0	94.8%