inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Brooklyn Nets 104 Excitement7.4 [410] MVPDeMarre Carroll (BKN): +17.4%
Miami Heat 92 Comeback3.5 [248] LVPJosh Richardson (MIA): -26.9%


Brooklyn Nets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
DeMarre Carroll0.170,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.08,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.170.070.10-0.00579%0.211-0.04475%0.01
Ed Davis0.140,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.140.060.07-0.01490%0.182-0.04250%-0.02
Jarrett Allen0.090,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.070.020.00865%0.0900.00475%-0.01
Shabazz Napier0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.030.030.00560%0.0600.0000%0.00
Spencer Dinwiddie0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.040.030.020.011257%0.102-0.064100%0.01
D'Angelo Russell0.020,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.06,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.04,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02-0.050.05-0.022245%0.083-0.0600%0.00
Allen Crabbe0.010,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.01-0.01-0.01844%0.0100.002100%0.01
Joe Harris-0.040,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.02-0.010.011046%0.021-0.06475%-0.01
Rondae Hollis-Jefferson-0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.05,-0.07,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.06-0.02-0.00942%-0.012-0.06667%0.00
Jared Dudley-0.100,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.08-0.03-0.0050%-0.1000.0000%0.00

Miami Heat
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Duncan Robinson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.010.03-0.00350%0.0500.0000%0.00
Justise Winslow0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.05-0.010.00771%0.071-0.0200%0.00
Wayne Ellington0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.030.00-0.00847%0.0300.003100%0.02
Bam Adebayo0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.03-0.010.02-0.02650%0.051-0.0200%0.00
Rodney McGruder0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.02-0.01-0.01-0.051454%0.073-0.0500%0.00
Hassan Whiteside0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.13,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,0.02,0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.050.03-0.012144%0.063-0.07650%-0.08
Dwyane Wade0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.080.02-0.01828%-0.031-0.02250%-0.02
Derrick Jones Jr.0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.080.01-0.01625%-0.012-0.0500%0.00
James Johnson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.05-0.02-0.01725%-0.0700.002100%0.01
Josh Richardson0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.15,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.25,-0.27,-0.27-0.27-0.16-0.110.002034%-0.153-0.11757%-0.05
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game26.81.828.814.024.01.835.2132.5
league avg25.32.227.814.627.62.231.9132.8
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
BKN +49.2%
BKN +9.4%
MIA -9.1%
BKN +0.5%
BKN +0.0%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsBKNMIANBABKNMIANBA
this game13.614.914.3103.091.1109.3
season14.314.8108.6106.3
opponent14.314.0106.7109.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
BKN11.715.311.716.213.6
MIA15.415.314.913.814.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Brooklyn Nets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Rondae Hollis-Jefferson53540.77-0.271.050.2717-52213.314.0-0.6415.114.60.48
Spencer Dinwiddie62620.66-0.160.820.1318-62413.613.7-0.1614.914.80.12
Allen Crabbe63620.57-0.070.640.0418-62412.914.9-2.0915.114.50.63
DeMarre Carroll32340.340.160.180.2539-613.213.9-0.6715.014.80.24
Jarrett Allen65630.310.190.13-0.1315-31813.613.60.0115.214.40.76
Joe Harris59590.190.31-0.11-0.10102814.113.01.1414.615.2-0.55
Ed Davis36380.190.31-0.130.27-315-1813.613.6-0.0114.415.2-0.76
D'Angelo Russell6767-0.120.62-0.74-0.12012-1214.412.12.3414.815.1-0.33
Shabazz Napier2121-0.150.65-0.810.17-1123-3412.813.9-1.1113.915.1-1.28
Jared Dudley4745-0.260.76-1.03-0.06-719-2614.113.20.8715.014.70.27

Miami Heat
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Justise Winslow34330.07-0.570.65-0.2511-233415.514.50.9915.013.01.97
Derrick Jones Jr.4040-0.11-0.390.280.13-8-4-414.515.1-0.6612.014.7-2.64
Duncan Robinson2626-0.13-0.370.24-0.10-1-111015.814.51.2612.414.1-1.70
Bam Adebayo3533-0.21-0.290.07-0.15-2-10814.615.0-0.3713.213.8-0.60
Dwyane Wade2930-0.24-0.260.020.08-11-1-1014.115.2-1.0813.213.8-0.58
James Johnson4847-0.25-0.250.00-0.16-3-9614.415.3-0.8314.612.81.78
Rodney McGruder7676-0.27-0.23-0.040.08-120-1214.815.0-0.2213.713.40.27
Hassan Whiteside6668-0.29-0.21-0.070.01-10-2-815.014.60.3713.813.20.60
Wayne Ellington6969-0.34-0.15-0.19-0.14-7-5-215.014.60.4513.813.20.62
Josh Richardson8283-0.730.23-0.96-0.23-175-2215.014.50.4213.713.60.11


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.45,0.42,0.38,0.39,0.38,0.38,0.39,0.33,0.31,0.33,0.36,0.35,0.38,0.45,0.49,0.62,0.63,0.66,0.64,0.61,0.64,0.67,0.64,0.54,0.6,0.64,0.58,0.61,0.55,0.62,0.56,0.69,0.76,0.71,0.68,0.62,0.57,0.49,0.24,0.15,0.14,0.21,0.22,0.1,0.02,0.02,0,0
GameSimilarity Score
TOR 85, CHI 790.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.43,0.47,0.43,0.4,0.37,0.44,0.37,0.42,0.51,0.53,0.6,0.58,0.68,0.66,0.61,0.66,0.61,0.61,0.67,0.77,0.69,0.64,0.64,0.64,0.71,0.75,0.76,0.66,0.77,0.72,0.7,0.57,0.52,0.33,0.28,0.17,0.12,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.05,0.08,092.3%
DEN 112, MIA 1050.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.44,0.34,0.29,0.28,0.33,0.33,0.34,0.36,0.35,0.42,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.58,0.58,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.41,0.49,0.58,0.65,0.7,0.67,0.76,0.71,0.74,0.62,0.69,0.63,0.6,0.64,0.54,0.52,0.48,0.43,0.16,0.17,0.08,0.06,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,090.9%
CLE 106, CHI 970.5,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.49,0.44,0.42,0.36,0.32,0.28,0.3,0.35,0.34,0.37,0.38,0.42,0.49,0.44,0.56,0.61,0.65,0.71,0.64,0.56,0.64,0.54,0.62,0.63,0.58,0.7,0.76,0.74,0.72,0.73,0.8,0.63,0.63,0.62,0.48,0.29,0.17,0.07,0.04,0.02,0.07,0.03,0.15,0.23,0.03,090.9%