inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Denver Nuggets 112 Excitement6.7 [490] MVPAndre Miller (DEN): +22.8%
Miami Heat 105 Comeback3.2 [208] LVPEarl Boykins (DEN): -13.5%


Denver Nuggets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Andre Miller0.230,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.21,0.22,0.22,0.23,0.230.200.060.031574%0.241-0.029100%0.06
Reggie Evans0.150,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.150.060.090.00480%0.1500.002100%0.02
Marcus Camby0.060,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.050.020.00965%0.112-0.05560%-0.02
Eduardo Najera0.050,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.020.030.00367%0.0500.0000%0.00
Carmelo Anthony0.040,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.03-0.02-0.032655%0.144-0.09887%0.02
Linas Kleiza0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.01-0.00-0.00350%0.0100.0000%0.00
Yakhouba Diawara-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.010.010.00433%-0.0000.001100%0.01
J.R. Smith-0.010,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.010.01-0.01-0.00947%0.021-0.021100%0.00
DerMarr Johnson-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.07-0.00-0.0130%-0.041-0.0200%0.00
Joe Smith-0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.05-0.02-0.0020%-0.051-0.0200%0.00
Earl Boykins-0.130,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.15,-0.18,-0.21,-0.21,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.13,-0.13-0.12-0.010.001132%-0.043-0.103100%0.01

Miami Heat
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Udonis Haslem0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.020.03-0.001152%0.091-0.0410%-0.03
Antoine Walker0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.040.040.07-0.020.011665%0.123-0.08250%-0.01
Dwyane Wade0,0,0,0.01,0,0.02,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.040.040.11-0.030.042163%0.186-0.141794%0.06
Gary Payton0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.02-0.040.01-0.05433%0.031-0.0210%-0.02
Jason Kapono00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Dorell Wright0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.06,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.02-0.040.001157%0.082-0.091100%0.00
Alonzo Mourning0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.01-0.020.01556%0.032-0.06683%0.01
James Posey0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12-0.12-0.02-0.060.04950%-0.052-0.0700%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game24.32.730.814.627.81.834.5136.5
league avg28.72.429.915.926.52.434.0141.5
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
DEN +2.9%
DEN +8.8%
DEN +13.0%
DEN +18.6%
DEN +6.6%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsDENMIANBADENMIANBA
this game14.315.315.4113.1109.4104.5
season14.016.0105.8102.4
opponent15.615.3104.3104.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
DEN12.316.113.015.714.3
MIA16.513.915.814.915.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Denver Nuggets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Andre Miller77730.67-0.170.850.1219-123113.816.0-2.1815.614.21.47
Reggie Evans35310.460.040.420.3443115.613.52.0714.915.5-0.62
Yakhouba Diawara31290.400.100.310.2070714.414.20.1815.115.4-0.27
Carmelo Anthony85840.390.110.280.0711-41514.015.6-1.6115.513.71.76
Earl Boykins48460.340.160.180.40-29-1115.413.22.1214.216.3-2.10
Joe Smith29290.250.250.000.2507-715.014.01.0414.715.5-0.81
Eduardo Najera57550.240.26-0.02-0.0811-41512.916.1-3.1415.914.51.32
Marcus Camby70690.110.39-0.270.0625-314.014.9-0.9515.514.80.66
J.R. Smith37370.090.41-0.33-0.0961513.015.0-2.0616.414.61.81
DerMarr Johnson1415-0.190.69-0.890.13-1118-2916.114.02.1113.315.7-2.32
Linas Kleiza1212-0.260.76-1.020.09-1219-3118.413.74.7314.115.5-1.38

Miami Heat
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Jason Kapono44-0.01-0.480.47-0.041-8911.215.5-4.2217.514.13.37
James Posey5658-0.19-0.310.13-0.366-131914.316.7-2.3715.013.21.74
Alonzo Mourning5857-0.24-0.260.020.08-114-1516.213.92.3613.415.5-2.15
Gary Payton4042-0.24-0.260.010.08-114-1516.514.42.1113.314.9-1.61
Antoine Walker7982-0.30-0.20-0.09-0.18-4-3-115.215.8-0.5714.314.00.32
Dorell Wright7073-0.39-0.11-0.28-0.483-101314.617.1-2.5015.211.63.59
Dwyane Wade9093-0.520.02-0.53-0.28-81-915.314.70.6714.117.5-3.45
Udonis Haslem8386-0.610.11-0.73-0.29-114-1515.513.81.7614.115.6-1.56


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.44,0.34,0.29,0.28,0.33,0.33,0.34,0.36,0.35,0.42,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.58,0.58,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.41,0.49,0.58,0.65,0.7,0.67,0.76,0.71,0.74,0.62,0.69,0.63,0.6,0.64,0.54,0.52,0.48,0.43,0.16,0.17,0.08,0.06,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0
GameSimilarity Score
LAC 108, DET 950.5,0.49,0.54,0.48,0.51,0.45,0.42,0.43,0.47,0.43,0.38,0.38,0.44,0.48,0.51,0.58,0.51,0.51,0.44,0.46,0.49,0.44,0.46,0.54,0.54,0.63,0.71,0.66,0.64,0.67,0.67,0.68,0.67,0.55,0.56,0.63,0.72,0.62,0.57,0.38,0.48,0.37,0.21,0.16,0.13,0.05,0.02,0,0,092.1%
DAL 106, SAC 990.5,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.52,0.53,0.49,0.43,0.45,0.4,0.4,0.45,0.4,0.52,0.53,0.45,0.51,0.53,0.44,0.47,0.47,0.48,0.44,0.44,0.39,0.49,0.52,0.57,0.61,0.7,0.73,0.68,0.59,0.62,0.52,0.63,0.6,0.66,0.57,0.41,0.33,0.12,0.1,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,092.0%
ORL 103, UTA 940.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.42,0.41,0.4,0.38,0.33,0.37,0.35,0.37,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.47,0.47,0.53,0.45,0.49,0.56,0.61,0.51,0.46,0.54,0.54,0.6,0.69,0.67,0.61,0.61,0.62,0.65,0.59,0.52,0.47,0.6,0.54,0.48,0.53,0.43,0.42,0.31,0.29,0.1,0.19,0.15,0.04,0.01,091.7%