NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

LA Clippers	108		Excitement	6.7 [514]		MVP	Lou Williams (LAC): +21.9%
Detroit Pistons	95		Comeback	2.9 [273]		LVP	Andre Drummond (DET): -12.3%

LA Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Lou Williams	0.22	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,0.09,0.14,0.23,0.21,0.21,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.21,0.21,0.22,0.22,0.22	0.14	0.18	0.10	12	79%	0.31	4	-0.09	9	89%	0.02
Montrezl Harrell	0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.10	0.08	-0.00	13	64%	0.18	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Austin Rivers	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.09,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.06	0.02	0.02	13	62%	0.09	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Danilo Gallinari	0.03	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.11,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.06	-0.03	0.00	13	53%	0.03	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Wesley Johnson	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.00	0.00	3	67%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sam Dekker	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
DeAndre Jordan	-0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.06	0.01	-0.01	7	29%	-0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Tyrone Wallace	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	3	0%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Avery Bradley	-0.06	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	0.00	-0.03	0.04	11	45%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tobias Harris	-0.07	0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.04,0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	-0.01	14	43%	0.03	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Reggie Bullock	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.16	0.02	0.01	11	86%	0.19	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Tolliver	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.14,0.14,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.06	0.06	0.00	6	65%	0.14	1	-0.02	5	80%	0.02
Blake Griffin	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.03,0,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.02	19	44%	0.03	1	-0.02	5	80%	-0.00
Ish Smith	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.03	-0.02	0.03	14	54%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Luke Kennard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	7	40%	0.01	1	-0.04	1	100%	0.01
Stanley Johnson	0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.02	-0.06	0.01	9	50%	-0.03	2	-0.07	2	50%	-0.01
Langston Galloway	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.07	-0.05	-0.01	7	14%	-0.12	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andre Drummond	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.16,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.08	-0.04	0.00	15	36%	-0.03	2	-0.10	3	67%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.5	2.7	22.0	14.8	27.0	3.5	27.7	124.1
league avg	25.1	2.3	28.6	15.0	27.2	2.3	32.6	134.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAC +35.4%

DET -1.3%

LAC +14.2%

LAC +6.1%

DET -4.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAC	DET	NBA	LAC	DET	NBA
this game	14.4	16.0	14.7	113.7	101.1	107.5
season	14.2	14.9		109.2	106.4
opponent	14.7	14.6		106.3	109.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAC	14.4	14.7	12.5	16.1	14.4
DET	14.4	15.3	18.8	15.9	16.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

LA Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Lou Williams	61	61	0.60	-0.10	0.71	0.13	16	-3	19	14.3	14.7	-0.41	15.4	17.2	-1.85
Wesley Johnson	34	35	0.31	0.19	0.11	0.07	8	5	3	13.4	15.0	-1.60	16.2	15.9	0.30
Sam Dekker	19	18	0.29	0.21	0.08	-0.03	11	2	9	12.8	14.9	-2.07	16.6	15.9	0.70
Austin Rivers	61	59	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.07	7	6	1	15.5	12.6	2.89	16.5	15.3	1.25
Montrezl Harrell	40	40	0.27	0.23	0.03	0.18	3	10	-7	13.4	15.2	-1.84	15.1	16.7	-1.55
Danilo Gallinari	57	55	0.25	0.25	-0.01	0.22	1	12	-11	14.3	14.6	-0.32	16.3	15.6	0.73
DeAndre Jordan	55	54	0.23	0.27	-0.03	-0.06	10	3	7	15.2	13.4	1.84	16.7	15.1	1.55
Tyrone Wallace	34	35	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.04	6	7	-1	12.6	15.5	-2.89	15.3	16.5	-1.25
Avery Bradley	54	52	0.15	0.35	-0.20	0.06	3	10	-7	15.5	13.0	2.54	16.4	15.5	0.89
Tobias Harris	60	61	-0.09	0.59	-0.69	-0.09	0	13	-13	14.8	13.8	1.06	15.8	16.5	-0.68

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Reggie Bullock	76	77	0.01	-0.51	0.51	0.06	-2	-11	9	16.1	15.7	0.46	14.8	13.0	1.78
Blake Griffin	67	69	-0.12	-0.38	0.25	-0.04	-3	-10	7	16.1	15.9	0.16	14.7	13.9	0.77
Ish Smith	58	60	-0.23	-0.27	0.05	-0.02	-7	-6	-1	16.6	15.2	1.33	15.1	13.3	1.79
Langston Galloway	36	35	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	-0.10	-6	-7	1	15.2	16.6	-1.33	13.3	15.1	-1.79
Anthony Tolliver	66	64	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.01	-10	-3	-7	16.0	16.1	-0.14	13.5	16.3	-2.79
Stanley Johnson	62	65	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.23	-9	-4	-5	16.6	15.0	1.63	14.4	14.5	-0.08
Luke Kennard	50	48	-0.51	0.01	-0.53	-0.07	-15	2	-17	15.2	17.0	-1.76	13.9	15.0	-1.02
Andre Drummond	71	72	-0.64	0.14	-0.78	-0.14	-17	4	-21	17.1	12.9	4.20	14.9	13.1	1.73

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.48,0.51,0.45,0.42,0.43,0.47,0.43,0.38,0.38,0.44,0.48,0.51,0.58,0.51,0.51,0.44,0.46,0.49,0.44,0.46,0.54,0.54,0.63,0.71,0.66,0.64,0.67,0.67,0.68,0.67,0.55,0.56,0.63,0.72,0.62,0.57,0.38,0.48,0.37,0.21,0.16,0.13,0.05,0.02,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIA 103, WAS 98	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.41,0.4,0.46,0.47,0.47,0.43,0.41,0.4,0.42,0.38,0.43,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.44,0.44,0.42,0.44,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.58,0.62,0.63,0.64,0.64,0.65,0.58,0.68,0.59,0.59,0.63,0.68,0.62,0.57,0.62,0.38,0.23,0.13,0.12,0.34,0.11,0.02,0,0,0	93.2%
IND 94, MIL 91	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.5,0.53,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.44,0.49,0.51,0.58,0.57,0.48,0.53,0.59,0.59,0.56,0.59,0.7,0.66,0.63,0.64,0.64,0.67,0.66,0.65,0.62,0.63,0.6,0.56,0.58,0.57,0.53,0.43,0.32,0.26,0.24,0.22,0.14,0.11,0.03,0,0	93.2%
BOS 79, ATL 76	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.48,0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.47,0.43,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.55,0.56,0.51,0.58,0.54,0.52,0.51,0.52,0.58,0.56,0.56,0.51,0.59,0.58,0.61,0.61,0.67,0.74,0.71,0.66,0.56,0.67,0.64,0.54,0.52,0.38,0.33,0.37,0.36,0.2,0.02,0,0,0,0.04,0	93.0%