inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Miami Heat 103 Excitement6.8 [442] MVPA.J. Price (WAS): +27.5%
Washington Wizards 98 Comeback2.6 [341] LVPCartier Martin (WAS): -9.3%


Miami Heat
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Ray Allen0.230,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,-0.03,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.01,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.230.060.15-0.021853%0.291-0.06786%0.04
Shane Battier0.150,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.150.130.01-0.01894%0.191-0.0400%0.00
Rashard Lewis0.050,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.020.040.011453%0.112-0.064100%0.02
James Jones0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.010.040.00350%0.0500.0000%0.00
Chris Andersen-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.030.01-0.01357%0.053-0.078100%0.04
Mike Miller-0.020,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.04,0.04,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.020.02-0.030.027100%0.146-0.1700%0.00
Mario Chalmers-0.030,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.13,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.070.01-0.031446%0.024-0.0500%0.00
Norris Cole-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.060.02-0.00557%0.074-0.10450%-0.02
Joel Anthony-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.03-0.01-0.00333%-0.011-0.0300%0.00

Washington Wizards
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
A.J. Price0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.13,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.21,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.27,0.270.270.180.110.011288%0.322-0.042100%0.02
Nene0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.010.010.011054%0.051-0.03425%-0.06
Emeka Okafor0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.01-0.00-0.00657%0.052-0.042100%0.01
Chris Singleton0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.02-0.000.0010%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Martell Webster0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.00-0.020.00755%0.022-0.04875%0.00
Jan Vesely0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.02-0.000.0010%-0.0200.0000%0.00
John Wall0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.04-0.00-0.011844%0.022-0.053100%0.02
Kevin Seraphin0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.02-0.000.01850%0.032-0.07250%-0.00
Garrett Temple0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.09-0.02-0.041040%0.054-0.1200%0.00
Cartier Martin0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.090.02-0.070.04757%-0.031-0.0700%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game25.41.828.115.523.42.534.5131.2
league avg24.82.329.514.026.82.333.1134.3
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
MIA +31.5%
MIA +12.4%
MIA +22.2%
WAS -15.9%
WAS -0.2%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsMIAWASNBAMIAWASNBA
this game16.613.115.4106.2101.0104.1
season15.715.1110.298.8
opponent15.715.9101.2102.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
MIA14.219.017.616.016.6
WAS13.513.113.712.113.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Miami Heat
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Chris Andersen54540.65-0.150.790.3510-51515.517.9-2.3713.612.51.06
Rashard Lewis76760.58-0.080.670.4450516.218.0-1.8613.212.60.68
Ray Allen66660.51-0.010.520.336-1716.616.50.0613.113.2-0.13
Mario Chalmers62610.340.160.180.176-1716.816.30.5212.414.3-1.91
James Jones35350.290.210.080.2323-116.416.7-0.2514.812.12.65
Shane Battier59590.260.240.020.1150516.317.0-0.6312.214.5-2.30
Norris Cole41420.090.41-0.330.23-510-1516.716.50.2514.112.31.79
Mike Miller4949-0.070.57-0.64-0.1014-317.215.91.3312.813.4-0.58
Joel Anthony4343-0.150.65-0.790.00-510-1517.915.52.3712.513.6-1.06

Washington Wizards
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Emeka Okafor43430.02-0.520.540.11-3-2-112.913.3-0.3916.916.30.62
John Wall84830.02-0.520.54-0.187-121912.715.5-2.8116.119.3-3.15
Chris Singleton20200.01-0.510.530.010-5513.513.00.5616.216.7-0.43
Martell Webster51500.01-0.510.520.04-1-4313.113.2-0.0917.915.22.75
Nene4947-0.19-0.310.13-0.04-50-512.713.5-0.8717.615.62.00
Kevin Seraphin3941-0.33-0.17-0.16-0.423-81113.412.90.5115.617.3-1.69
A.J. Price6363-0.44-0.06-0.37-0.41-1-4313.412.60.7516.616.6-0.09
Garrett Temple6665-0.510.01-0.52-0.13-138-2113.412.41.0015.419.0-3.55
Jan Vesely4141-0.520.02-0.54-0.37-50-513.612.70.9217.016.30.63
Cartier Martin2932-0.590.09-0.68-0.38-72-912.613.3-0.7917.216.30.85


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.45,0.41,0.4,0.46,0.47,0.47,0.43,0.41,0.4,0.42,0.38,0.43,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.44,0.44,0.42,0.44,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.58,0.62,0.63,0.64,0.64,0.65,0.58,0.68,0.59,0.59,0.63,0.68,0.62,0.57,0.62,0.38,0.23,0.13,0.12,0.34,0.11,0.02,0,0,0
GameSimilarity Score
LAC 108, DET 950.5,0.49,0.54,0.48,0.51,0.45,0.42,0.43,0.47,0.43,0.38,0.38,0.44,0.48,0.51,0.58,0.51,0.51,0.44,0.46,0.49,0.44,0.46,0.54,0.54,0.63,0.71,0.66,0.64,0.67,0.67,0.68,0.67,0.55,0.56,0.63,0.72,0.62,0.57,0.38,0.48,0.37,0.21,0.16,0.13,0.05,0.02,0,0,093.2%
IND 94, MIL 910.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.5,0.53,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.44,0.49,0.51,0.58,0.57,0.48,0.53,0.59,0.59,0.56,0.59,0.7,0.66,0.63,0.64,0.64,0.67,0.66,0.65,0.62,0.63,0.6,0.56,0.58,0.57,0.53,0.43,0.32,0.26,0.24,0.22,0.14,0.11,0.03,0,093.1%
HOU 93, LAL 890.5,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.52,0.57,0.58,0.49,0.47,0.39,0.4,0.36,0.44,0.46,0.45,0.42,0.36,0.38,0.39,0.44,0.47,0.48,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.5,0.55,0.64,0.75,0.67,0.58,0.58,0.62,0.65,0.66,0.67,0.72,0.7,0.72,0.48,0.29,0.15,0.22,0.2,0.33,0.19,0.16,0.11,0.08,092.4%