NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Boston Celtics	79		Excitement	6.2 [449]		MVP	Ray Allen (BOS): +24.4%
Atlanta Hawks	76		Comeback	3.3 [251]		LVP	Josh Smith (ATL): -23.5%

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ray Allen	0.24	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.24	0.12	0.15	0.03	9	83%	0.29	2	-0.05	5	100%	0.07
Brandon Bass	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.01	0.03	0.01	7	57%	0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Mickael Pietrus	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	-0.00	0.01	8	50%	0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Greg Stiemsma	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	3	67%	0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Garnett	-0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.02,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.04	0.02	-0.01	17	44%	0.04	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.02
Avery Bradley	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Keyon Dooling	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Rajon Rondo	-0.11	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11	-0.14	-0.03	-0.06	14	33%	0.03	4	-0.14	2	100%	0.01
Paul Pierce	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.15,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.12	-0.02	-0.01	14	38%	-0.02	4	-0.11	6	83%	0.01

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Zaza Pachulia	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07	0.07	0.07	0.06	0.06	7	70%	0.15	2	-0.08	9	89%	0.01
Tracy McGrady	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.01	-0.01	4	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Joe Johnson	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.09,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.05,0,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.06	0.04	17	66%	0.25	7	-0.22	4	75%	-0.00
Jerry Stackhouse	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	-0.00	-0.00	4	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ivan Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kirk Hinrich	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.03	-0.06	0.02	7	56%	0.02	3	-0.12	2	100%	0.01
Jeff Teague	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.13	-0.13	-0.10	-0.05	-0.02	13	31%	-0.07	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Jason Collins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.10	-0.05	0.00	1	0%	-0.08	2	-0.07	4	0%	-0.09
Josh Smith	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.09,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.23	-0.23	-0.16	-0.06	0.01	20	25%	-0.21	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.2	2.5	26.3	16.0	34.3	1.0	41.0	144.3
league avg	25.5	2.3	29.8	14.2	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BOS +24.7%

BOS +9.9%

ATL -0.9%

BOS +12.9%

BOS +3.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BOS	ATL	NBA	BOS	ATL	NBA
this game	15.6	15.8	15.6	86.8	82.6	102.8
season	15.5	15.7		99.4	102.5
opponent	15.9	16.2		99.5	97.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BOS	15.8	14.3	15.9	16.5	15.6
ATL	14.2	17.6	16.1	15.5	15.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mickael Pietrus	53	53	0.61	-0.11	0.71	0.43	6	-3	9	15.9	15.3	0.53	15.4	16.4	-1.01
Kevin Garnett	70	70	0.57	-0.07	0.63	0.48	3	0	3	16.0	14.3	1.71	15.5	17.0	-1.48
Ray Allen	71	73	0.46	0.04	0.43	0.32	5	-2	7	15.1	17.7	-2.69	15.7	16.3	-0.55
Brandon Bass	70	70	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.10	12	-9	21	15.4	16.5	-1.14	17.0	12.0	4.97
Rajon Rondo	75	77	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.33	3	0	3	14.8	19.7	-4.98	15.7	16.3	-0.53
Paul Pierce	54	56	0.10	0.40	-0.29	0.28	-6	9	-15	15.4	15.9	-0.50	15.2	16.7	-1.52
Avery Bradley	16	15	0.08	0.42	-0.34	0.08	0	3	-3	19.7	14.8	4.98	16.3	15.7	0.53
Keyon Dooling	10	10	-0.04	0.54	-0.59	0.04	-3	6	-9	18.1	15.3	2.75	15.7	15.8	-0.14
Greg Stiemsma	36	36	-0.15	0.65	-0.79	-0.00	-5	8	-13	15.9	15.5	0.35	16.0	15.7	0.33

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Josh Smith	74	73	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.34	6	-9	15	15.0	19.3	-4.36	15.7	15.6	0.05
Jason Collins	18	18	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	0.08	-9	6	-15	17.4	15.4	1.94	15.8	15.6	0.16
Ivan Johnson	18	16	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.13	-3	0	-3	16.9	15.6	1.32	15.8	15.6	0.20
Jeff Teague	81	80	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	-0.31	2	-5	7	15.3	19.5	-4.12	15.4	17.7	-2.36
Kirk Hinrich	71	69	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.43	5	-8	13	15.4	17.3	-1.95	16.1	14.1	2.05
Joe Johnson	70	70	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	-0.27	-1	-2	1	15.4	17.1	-1.72	15.5	16.2	-0.77
Jerry Stackhouse	27	27	-0.31	-0.19	-0.13	-0.08	-8	5	-13	18.7	14.6	4.13	15.8	15.6	0.18
Tracy McGrady	27	27	-0.35	-0.15	-0.19	-0.14	-7	4	-11	16.6	15.5	1.14	15.6	15.7	-0.13
Zaza Pachulia	74	75	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.43	0	-3	3	16.0	14.9	1.10	15.6	16.0	-0.43

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.48,0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.47,0.43,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.55,0.56,0.51,0.58,0.54,0.52,0.51,0.52,0.58,0.56,0.56,0.51,0.59,0.58,0.61,0.61,0.67,0.74,0.71,0.66,0.56,0.67,0.64,0.54,0.52,0.38,0.33,0.37,0.36,0.2,0.02,0,0,0,0.04,0
Game		Similarity Score
DET 102, MIL 94	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.59,0.57,0.57,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.58,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.42,0.48,0.52,0.61,0.61,0.54,0.51,0.57,0.52,0.55,0.67,0.7,0.77,0.71,0.72,0.63,0.63,0.72,0.5,0.57,0.38,0.33,0.23,0.26,0.22,0.22,0.14,0.03,0,0,0	93.7%
POR 87, CHI 78	0.5,0.51,0.5,0.55,0.55,0.54,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.6,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.6,0.47,0.45,0.34,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.53,0.58,0.58,0.6,0.58,0.59,0.64,0.67,0.71,0.62,0.69,0.67,0.64,0.58,0.57,0.48,0.37,0.32,0.26,0.19,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.03,0,0	93.5%
UTA 101, BKN 89	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.4,0.46,0.49,0.54,0.56,0.56,0.62,0.67,0.63,0.54,0.54,0.49,0.51,0.56,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.64,0.7,0.74,0.75,0.65,0.7,0.63,0.56,0.5,0.34,0.38,0.29,0.32,0.17,0.05,0.13,0.04,0.11,0.01,0,0	93.3%