NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Detroit Pistons	102		Excitement	6.3 [546]		MVP	Jon Barry (DET): +21.3%
Milwaukee Bucks	94		Comeback	3.6 [168]		LVP	Greg Anthony (MIL): -19.7%

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jon Barry	0.21	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21	0.14	0.10	0.04	7	100%	0.21	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chucky Atkins	0.17	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.08,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.14,0.14,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.09	0.06	-0.02	13	68%	0.19	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.02
Jerry Stackhouse	0.03	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.18,-0.09,-0.09,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.01	0.03	0.01	16	62%	0.16	4	-0.14	8	100%	0.05
Corliss Williamson	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.03	0.01	0.02	11	61%	0.06	1	-0.05	6	83%	0.03
Victor Alexander	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	3	37%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Clifford Robinson	-0.04	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	0.01	0.03	15	40%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Damon Jones	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	2	17%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Michael Curry	-0.06	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.03	-0.02	0.02	5	50%	-0.01	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Ben Wallace	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.08	-0.03	0.00	7	33%	-0.09	1	-0.03	4	0%	-0.08

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ervin Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.05	0.04	0.00	4	78%	0.09	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Anthony Mason	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.09	0.01	0.02	9	84%	0.12	2	-0.04	1	100%	0.00
Glenn Robinson	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	-0.03	-0.03	14	52%	0.02	1	-0.02	3	67%	0.00
Michael Redd	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0	-0.00	0.03	0.02	0.05	8	56%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Darvin Ham	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Joel Przybilla	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Sam Cassell	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.09	-0.05	-0.03	19	37%	-0.08	1	-0.03	3	100%	0.01
Ray Allen	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.06,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.06	-0.05	0.01	22	44%	-0.03	3	-0.09	1	100%	0.01
Greg Anthony	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.1,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2	-0.20	-0.09	-0.11	-0.00	11	36%	-0.09	3	-0.11	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.2	1.5	24.4	15.7	23.7	1.8	31.4	122.6
league avg	46.4	2.2	28.5	14.6	24.5	2.3	30.0	149.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DET +47.0%

MIL -4.5%

DET +3.9%

MIL -0.1%

DET +3.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DET	MIL	NBA	DET	MIL	NBA
this game	16.8	15.7	15.6	114.6	106.8	102.3
season	15.7	15.3		101.9	104.7
opponent	16.0	15.8		105.1	99.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DET	14.8	17.5	19.9	15.3	16.8
MIL	14.0	13.8	15.2	20.6	15.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jon Barry	46	46	0.78	-0.28	1.05	0.34	15	-7	22	16.2	17.5	-1.27	16.5	14.9	1.57
Corliss Williamson	52	51	0.71	-0.21	0.92	0.30	14	-6	20	16.3	17.5	-1.11	16.4	14.8	1.53
Jerry Stackhouse	73	73	0.42	0.08	0.33	0.27	5	3	2	16.9	16.3	0.61	16.0	14.6	1.36
Chucky Atkins	64	65	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.30	2	6	-4	17.5	14.9	2.63	15.8	15.4	0.45
Clifford Robinson	66	67	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.17	2	6	-4	17.3	15.3	2.03	15.2	17.3	-2.11
Damon Jones	25	23	0.14	0.36	-0.22	-0.04	6	2	4	14.9	17.5	-2.63	15.4	15.8	-0.45
Ben Wallace	69	66	0.09	0.41	-0.31	0.06	1	7	-6	16.8	16.8	0.01	15.6	16.1	-0.48
Victor Alexander	16	15	0.08	0.42	-0.33	-0.00	3	5	-2	16.3	16.9	-0.61	14.6	16.0	-1.36
Michael Curry	34	34	-0.31	0.81	-1.12	-0.08	-8	16	-24	17.3	16.5	0.83	15.0	16.2	-1.23

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Joel Przybilla	28	31	0.23	-0.73	0.97	-0.03	9	-17	26	14.3	16.4	-2.11	18.7	15.8	2.87
Glenn Robinson	74	75	-0.13	-0.37	0.23	-0.22	3	-11	14	14.7	21.3	-6.61	16.6	17.9	-1.24
Sam Cassell	62	62	-0.17	-0.33	0.15	-0.03	-5	-3	-2	16.1	14.9	1.20	17.1	16.0	1.11
Darvin Ham	26	26	-0.31	-0.19	-0.13	-0.23	-3	-5	2	16.9	15.2	1.70	16.3	17.0	-0.71
Ervin Johnson	42	40	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	-0.13	-7	-1	-6	15.8	15.7	0.07	16.2	17.3	-1.02
Greg Anthony	34	33	-0.36	-0.14	-0.23	-0.28	-3	-5	2	15.9	15.6	0.20	16.7	16.9	-0.23
Michael Redd	32	31	-0.44	-0.06	-0.39	-0.18	-9	1	-10	16.5	15.3	1.21	15.9	17.3	-1.44
Ray Allen	67	71	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.18	-10	2	-12	16.1	14.4	1.77	16.8	16.9	-0.17
Anthony Mason	75	76	-0.50	0.00	-0.51	-0.06	-15	7	-22	15.8	15.2	0.58	16.9	16.2	0.68

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.59,0.57,0.57,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.58,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.42,0.48,0.52,0.61,0.61,0.54,0.51,0.57,0.52,0.55,0.67,0.7,0.77,0.71,0.72,0.63,0.63,0.72,0.5,0.57,0.38,0.33,0.23,0.26,0.22,0.22,0.14,0.03,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
POR 87, CHI 78	0.5,0.51,0.5,0.55,0.55,0.54,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.6,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.6,0.47,0.45,0.34,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.53,0.58,0.58,0.6,0.58,0.59,0.64,0.67,0.71,0.62,0.69,0.67,0.64,0.58,0.57,0.48,0.37,0.32,0.26,0.19,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.03,0,0	93.9%
BOS 79, ATL 76	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.48,0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.47,0.43,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.55,0.56,0.51,0.58,0.54,0.52,0.51,0.52,0.58,0.56,0.56,0.51,0.59,0.58,0.61,0.61,0.67,0.74,0.71,0.66,0.56,0.67,0.64,0.54,0.52,0.38,0.33,0.37,0.36,0.2,0.02,0,0,0,0.04,0	93.7%
POR 100, CHI 89	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.45,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.56,0.57,0.56,0.62,0.53,0.56,0.58,0.61,0.64,0.64,0.61,0.59,0.56,0.54,0.71,0.69,0.67,0.7,0.61,0.74,0.74,0.65,0.59,0.6,0.75,0.54,0.48,0.38,0.39,0.37,0.26,0.29,0.33,0.14,0.03,0,0,0	92.9%