inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Miami Heat 113 Excitement4.5 [941] MVPMichael Kidd-Gilchrist (CHA): +10.8%
Charlotte Hornets 125 Comeback1.3 [846] LVPGoran Dragic (MIA): -14.1%


Miami Heat
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Dwyane Wade0.100,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0,0,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.16-0.000.051083%0.121-0.023100%0.01
Bam Adebayo0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.060.000.02580%0.0500.0000%0.00
Hassan Whiteside0.050,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.05,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.060.010.021162%0.092-0.044100%0.01
Kelly Olynyk0.040,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.07-0.010.02678%0.092-0.05683%0.02
Rodney McGruder-0.020,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.020.01-0.020.021350%0.001-0.0300%0.00
Derrick Jones Jr.-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.00-0.00425%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Tyler Johnson-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.050.07-0.010.11771%-0.002-0.04333%-0.01
Justise Winslow-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.06-0.00-0.01733%-0.032-0.031100%0.00
Josh Richardson-0.070,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.070.01-0.030.061348%-0.071-0.01580%-0.02
Goran Dragic-0.140,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14-0.11-0.030.001137%-0.034-0.112100%0.01

Charlotte Hornets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.110.110.080.02-0.01964%0.1100.004100%0.01
Malik Monk0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.100.170.010.081091%0.101-0.002100%0.00
Tony Parker0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.070.090.010.031563%0.102-0.03887%0.01
Nicolas Batum0,0,0,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.09-0.000.031083%0.154-0.09475%0.00
Kemba Walker0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.070.020.041459%0.081-0.02475%-0.00
Willy Hernangomez0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.010.01-0.02567%0.062-0.032100%0.00
Jeremy Lamb0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.03-0.010.01658%0.0200.0000%0.00
Cody Zeller0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.02-0.010.01673%0.073-0.063100%0.01
Dwayne Bacon00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Miles Bridges0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.05-0.00-0.0120%-0.0400.0020%-0.03
Marvin Williams0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.05-0.01-0.00425%-0.031-0.0300%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game26.42.430.415.328.41.628.6133.2
league avg25.32.227.814.627.62.231.9132.8
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
CHA +44.7%
MIA -3.8%
CHA +3.0%
CHA +5.8%
CHA +0.2%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsMIACHANBAMIACHANBA
this game14.514.414.3113.0126.3109.3
season14.814.6106.3110.4
opponent14.314.3111.6106.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
MIA14.415.814.513.314.5
CHA15.013.012.717.414.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Miami Heat
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Josh Richardson59590.01-0.510.51-0.145-172214.115.1-1.0815.313.22.11
Derrick Jones Jr.1111-0.09-0.410.33-0.06-1-111018.114.14.0210.315.0-4.68
Bam Adebayo3129-0.10-0.400.31-0.100-121215.014.30.7117.413.24.21
Kelly Olynyk4747-0.11-0.390.28-0.02-3-9614.114.9-0.8013.115.7-2.57
Justise Winslow6361-0.30-0.20-0.10-0.12-6-6013.116.9-3.7815.512.72.80
Tyler Johnson5151-0.32-0.18-0.13-0.08-8-4-414.714.30.3215.513.32.22
Goran Dragic5453-0.33-0.17-0.15-0.00-11-1-1015.413.51.9512.616.5-3.86
Hassan Whiteside6061-0.39-0.11-0.28-0.07-11-1-1014.814.00.7713.515.9-2.33
Dwyane Wade5251-0.42-0.08-0.34-0.01-142-1613.715.4-1.6614.913.91.05
Rodney McGruder7272-0.46-0.04-0.42-0.14-11-1-1015.212.92.3014.115.3-1.24

Charlotte Hornets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Tony Parker51530.54-0.040.57-0.0219-72613.515.4-1.9115.113.91.16
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist54530.51-0.010.51-0.0519-72614.814.00.8813.815.3-1.41
Willy Hernangomez39370.420.080.340.0114-21615.613.71.9512.915.5-2.57
Nicolas Batum67680.350.150.210.1866013.716.0-2.2715.312.82.54
Kemba Walker73740.220.28-0.050.19111-1014.215.1-0.9214.614.30.22
Malik Monk47480.180.32-0.140.15111-1016.312.73.5513.515.4-1.94
Miles Bridges31320.170.33-0.160.0357-216.213.62.5614.714.40.26
Jeremy Lamb42400.110.39-0.290.05210-814.514.40.0314.014.8-0.81
Marvin Williams38400.020.48-0.460.05-113-1412.515.6-3.1415.613.81.86
Dwayne Bacon110.000.50-0.500.00012-1227.014.312.6915.014.50.49
Cody Zeller5254-0.010.51-0.530.16-618-2413.715.2-1.4414.914.00.94


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.56,0.6,0.63,0.6,0.56,0.49,0.53,0.63,0.55,0.55,0.54,0.53,0.53,0.6,0.67,0.67,0.72,0.75,0.78,0.79,0.7,0.78,0.78,0.77,0.74,0.64,0.76,0.61,0.68,0.72,0.78,0.91,0.94,0.98,0.99,0.97,0.99,0.96,0.96,0.99,0.95,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
WAS 93, MEM 1070.5,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.49,0.59,0.65,0.63,0.66,0.66,0.63,0.58,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.71,0.72,0.7,0.74,0.69,0.69,0.7,0.75,0.81,0.77,0.67,0.7,0.7,0.68,0.69,0.84,0.9,0.96,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,194.7%
HOU 99, OKC 1160.5,0.51,0.48,0.55,0.6,0.62,0.58,0.62,0.61,0.59,0.63,0.67,0.68,0.63,0.55,0.56,0.6,0.58,0.67,0.77,0.71,0.76,0.76,0.77,0.8,0.8,0.74,0.77,0.7,0.68,0.73,0.74,0.8,0.76,0.79,0.88,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,194.6%
LAC 82, SAS 910.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.57,0.63,0.61,0.63,0.63,0.57,0.47,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.61,0.66,0.71,0.71,0.76,0.72,0.75,0.75,0.74,0.69,0.72,0.7,0.76,0.74,0.8,0.84,0.85,0.9,0.91,0.96,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,194.6%