NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	108		Excitement	5.9 [690]		MVP	Brook Lopez (MIL): +21.0%
Milwaukee Bucks	123		Comeback	3.3 [690]		LVP	Ben Simmons (PHI): -10.0%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
JJ Redick	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.05	-0.02	-0.01	13	63%	0.13	3	-0.09	4	100%	0.02
Amir Johnson	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	0	100%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
T.J. McConnell	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	0.00	0.01	1	100%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Furkan Korkmaz	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Landry Shamet	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	4	37%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Dario Saric	-0.01	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.06	-0.03	0.04	11	62%	0.00	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Mike Muscala	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.02	-0.02	0.02	6	62%	0.01	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.00
Markelle Fultz	-0.05	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	6	42%	-0.01	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Joel Embiid	-0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	0.03	-0.04	0.04	24	49%	0.02	2	-0.07	13	77%	-0.01
Robert Covington	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.01	-0.02	10	36%	-0.02	3	-0.07	2	50%	-0.01
Ben Simmons	-0.10	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.02	-0.02	15	39%	-0.03	3	-0.07	6	33%	-0.03

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Brook Lopez	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.2,0.2,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21	0.21	0.19	0.02	-0.00	13	75%	0.21	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Khris Middleton	0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.17,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.08,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.06	0.00	0.02	18	54%	0.08	2	-0.04	10	100%	0.04
Tony Snell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.07	-0.00	0.04	5	80%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Donte DiVincenzo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.01	-0.00	4	62%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Eric Bledsoe	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.03	0.02	-0.01	18	45%	0.02	2	-0.02	4	100%	0.01
Giannis Antetokounmpo	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.04	-0.03	0.03	24	56%	0.09	5	-0.11	9	89%	0.00
Malcolm Brogdon	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.06	0.02	-0.03	12	33%	-0.00	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.01
Ersan Ilyasova	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.01	2	50%	-0.00	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
John Henson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	4	25%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.5	3.5	32.3	14.7	29.1	2.7	42.0	152.8
league avg	25.3	2.2	27.8	14.6	27.6	2.2	31.9	132.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIL +15.8%

MIL +11.6%

MIL +6.6%

MIL +17.2%

PHI -1.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	MIL	NBA	PHI	MIL	NBA
this game	13.4	12.5	14.3	97.3	110.8	109.3
season	14.0	13.5		110.9	112.4
opponent	14.3	14.1		104.0	108.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHI	14.1	12.7	13.5	13.5	13.4
MIL	12.6	12.1	11.8	13.7	12.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Furkan Korkmaz	14	13	0.07	-0.57	0.64	-0.02	3	-18	21	11.3	13.8	-2.47	16.4	12.0	4.39
Landry Shamet	18	17	-0.03	-0.47	0.43	0.08	-4	-11	7	17.9	12.6	5.31	11.1	12.8	-1.71
JJ Redick	76	77	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.20	5	-20	25	12.5	15.4	-2.90	12.7	12.1	0.64
Amir Johnson	16	17	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	0.06	-6	-9	3	11.9	13.7	-1.83	13.1	12.4	0.72
Joel Embiid	83	82	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.22	3	-18	21	13.6	12.9	0.69	12.6	12.1	0.50
T.J. McConnell	11	10	-0.18	-0.32	0.15	0.03	-7	-8	1	15.3	13.2	2.03	12.6	12.5	0.10
Mike Muscala	41	39	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	0.07	-10	-5	-5	15.7	12.1	3.55	11.4	13.1	-1.69
Markelle Fultz	59	58	-0.24	-0.26	0.03	-0.03	-7	-8	1	15.4	11.2	4.16	12.4	12.6	-0.12
Ben Simmons	89	88	-0.39	-0.11	-0.29	-0.10	-10	-5	-5	12.5	17.1	-4.61	12.7	11.9	0.80
Dario Saric	79	82	-0.53	0.03	-0.56	-0.06	-16	1	-17	12.3	16.2	-3.90	12.5	12.4	0.17
Robert Covington	69	72	-0.67	0.17	-0.84	0.09	-26	11	-37	13.1	14.1	-1.01	12.0	13.4	-1.40

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tony Snell	39	40	0.53	-0.03	0.56	-0.08	21	-6	27	12.2	12.7	-0.54	13.8	13.2	0.64
Brook Lopez	76	75	0.44	0.06	0.37	0.14	10	5	5	12.7	12.0	0.70	13.4	13.5	-0.13
Eric Bledsoe	79	76	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.08	12	3	9	12.8	11.8	1.02	12.7	14.9	-2.19
Khris Middleton	80	79	0.42	0.08	0.34	-0.02	15	0	15	12.2	13.2	-0.91	13.2	14.0	-0.78
Giannis Antetokounmpo	85	85	0.35	0.15	0.19	0.02	11	4	7	12.7	12.0	0.66	13.2	14.3	-1.18
Donte DiVincenzo	43	44	0.16	0.34	-0.17	0.08	3	12	-9	12.3	12.6	-0.25	14.7	12.6	2.02
John Henson	36	36	0.09	0.41	-0.32	-0.11	7	8	-1	11.7	12.9	-1.16	13.1	13.6	-0.53
Ersan Ilyasova	36	38	0.09	0.41	-0.33	0.03	2	13	-11	11.9	12.8	-0.83	14.3	13.0	1.29
Malcolm Brogdon	81	82	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	0.17	-6	21	-27	13.0	11.3	1.65	13.5	13.2	0.36

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.44,0.48,0.45,0.38,0.34,0.31,0.34,0.39,0.38,0.35,0.27,0.26,0.26,0.3,0.47,0.53,0.58,0.61,0.54,0.66,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.7,0.76,0.75,0.73,0.73,0.73,0.81,0.86,0.92,0.92,0.86,0.87,0.9,0.92,0.94,0.91,0.93,0.94,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIN 90, DET 115	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.45,0.42,0.38,0.37,0.34,0.33,0.37,0.45,0.42,0.38,0.35,0.32,0.38,0.44,0.47,0.44,0.52,0.56,0.59,0.61,0.63,0.61,0.73,0.69,0.74,0.69,0.76,0.76,0.84,0.88,0.89,0.91,0.88,0.87,0.81,0.92,0.96,0.99,0.97,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.2%
IND 90, CHA 122	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.42,0.37,0.37,0.36,0.34,0.34,0.35,0.34,0.32,0.34,0.36,0.38,0.47,0.49,0.6,0.65,0.62,0.61,0.66,0.64,0.67,0.78,0.77,0.82,0.8,0.73,0.65,0.7,0.74,0.84,0.91,0.95,0.91,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.4%
BOS 101, MIA 109	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.43,0.44,0.38,0.37,0.41,0.37,0.31,0.33,0.27,0.3,0.3,0.31,0.31,0.49,0.47,0.44,0.47,0.59,0.64,0.69,0.67,0.73,0.81,0.75,0.72,0.7,0.84,0.82,0.74,0.86,0.8,0.84,0.82,0.92,0.97,0.97,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1	94.0%