NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Minnesota Timberwolves	90		Excitement	4.7 [895]		MVP	Anthony Tolliver (DET): +17.5%
Detroit Pistons	115		Comeback	2.4 [814]		LVP	Ricky Rubio (MIN): -14.3%

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Shabazz Muhammad	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.01	0.00	7	75%	0.11	0	0.00	6	67%	-0.01
Andrew Wiggins	0.04	0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.02	0.00	-0.02	19	50%	0.07	2	-0.03	4	100%	0.02
Karl-Anthony Towns	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.06	-0.02	0.00	17	61%	0.09	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.00
Tyus Jones	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	5	50%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gorgui Dieng	-0.01	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	5	60%	0.01	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Nemanja Bjelica	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	0.02	6	42%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tayshaun Prince	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	3	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Damjan Rudez	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	5	30%	-0.04	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Zach LaVine	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.14	-0.01	-0.08	8	20%	-0.06	2	-0.02	4	50%	-0.00
Ricky Rubio	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.15	-0.04	-0.04	11	36%	-0.05	5	-0.09	3	100%	0.02

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Anthony Tolliver	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.15,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.17	0.04	0.04	7	107%	0.18	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ersan Ilyasova	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.05	0.02	-0.01	6	71%	0.11	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Andre Drummond	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.05	0.03	-0.00	14	66%	0.15	4	-0.08	7	14%	-0.08
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.10	0.01	0.06	17	54%	0.05	0	0.00	7	86%	0.01
Reggie Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.06	-0.00	0.04	14	66%	0.07	3	-0.05	1	100%	0.00
Reggie Bullock	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Darrun Hilliard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	67%	0.00	0	0.00	4	100%	0.00
Joel Anthony	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Stanley Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.05	0.00	-0.04	9	28%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Aron Baynes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.05	0.00	-0.03	4	25%	-0.01	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Morris	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.07	0.01	-0.01	5	50%	0.03	4	-0.08	6	100%	0.04
Brandon Jennings	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.08	-0.02	-0.03	9	37%	-0.01	3	-0.06	1	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.0	2.6	26.3	15.7	27.3	2.4	28.3	127.7
league avg	24.5	2.3	29.5	15.8	26.7	2.3	33.5	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DET +49.1%

MIN -2.0%

DET +10.6%

MIN -6.3%

MIN -1.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIN	DET	NBA	MIN	DET	NBA
this game	15.2	13.3	14.9	90.0	112.7	105.1
season	14.8	15.0		104.8	104.9
opponent	15.1	15.0		105.0	108.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIN	14.5	15.9	15.4	15.0	15.2
DET	14.8	14.1	13.4	11.2	13.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Gorgui Dieng	45	45	-0.02	-0.48	0.47	-0.08	2	-27	29	15.8	14.7	1.03	14.2	12.6	1.53
Tyus Jones	26	28	-0.02	-0.48	0.47	-0.02	0	-25	25	13.8	15.7	-1.95	14.9	12.7	2.11
Tayshaun Prince	53	53	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	0.20	-10	-15	5	15.3	15.1	0.28	12.8	13.9	-1.18
Nemanja Bjelica	52	55	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	0.01	-6	-19	13	14.4	16.0	-1.60	14.0	12.5	1.55
Shabazz Muhammad	46	49	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.07	-4	-21	17	14.4	15.9	-1.44	14.1	12.6	1.46
Damjan Rudez	21	22	-0.21	-0.29	0.07	0.02	-8	-17	9	14.0	15.5	-1.59	11.2	13.9	-2.73
Zach LaVine	52	53	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	0.31	-22	-3	-19	15.1	15.3	-0.20	13.2	13.4	-0.16
Ricky Rubio	59	59	-0.41	-0.09	-0.31	0.27	-23	-2	-21	15.7	14.5	1.18	12.5	14.4	-1.85
Andrew Wiggins	74	74	-0.48	-0.02	-0.47	0.25	-25	0	-25	15.7	13.8	1.95	12.7	14.9	-2.11
Karl-Anthony Towns	72	72	-0.58	0.08	-0.66	0.27	-29	4	-33	15.8	13.6	2.28	13.5	12.9	0.60

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope	76	76	0.58	-0.08	0.66	-0.27	29	-4	33	13.6	12.6	0.95	15.7	13.6	2.14
Anthony Tolliver	32	33	0.37	0.13	0.25	-0.39	26	-1	27	13.2	13.4	-0.15	16.8	14.4	2.36
Reggie Jackson	58	58	0.34	0.16	0.19	-0.27	21	4	17	13.0	13.7	-0.67	15.2	15.3	-0.13
Andre Drummond	65	65	0.25	0.25	0.00	-0.22	16	9	7	13.1	13.8	-0.72	15.1	15.4	-0.29
Aron Baynes	28	27	0.25	0.25	-0.00	-0.01	9	16	-7	14.5	12.9	1.57	16.5	14.7	1.79
Stanley Johnson	47	44	0.23	0.27	-0.05	0.05	6	19	-13	13.7	13.0	0.74	15.2	15.2	-0.05
Marcus Morris	73	72	0.20	0.30	-0.11	-0.30	17	8	9	12.9	14.4	-1.48	15.1	15.5	-0.45
Brandon Jennings	44	42	0.16	0.34	-0.19	0.04	4	21	-17	13.7	13.0	0.67	15.3	15.2	0.13
Ersan Ilyasova	61	59	0.13	0.37	-0.25	0.16	-1	26	-27	13.6	12.9	0.74	14.8	15.8	-0.97
Reggie Bullock	8	8	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	27	-29	12.5	13.4	-0.89	11.6	15.5	-3.90
Darrun Hilliard	9	8	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	25	-25	11.7	13.5	-1.82	11.6	15.5	-3.90
Joel Anthony	9	8	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	25	-25	11.7	13.5	-1.82	11.6	15.5	-3.90

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.46,0.45,0.42,0.38,0.37,0.34,0.33,0.37,0.45,0.42,0.38,0.35,0.32,0.38,0.44,0.47,0.44,0.52,0.56,0.59,0.61,0.63,0.61,0.73,0.69,0.74,0.69,0.76,0.76,0.84,0.88,0.89,0.91,0.88,0.87,0.81,0.92,0.96,0.99,0.97,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
PHI 108, MIL 123	0.5,0.49,0.44,0.48,0.45,0.38,0.34,0.31,0.34,0.39,0.38,0.35,0.27,0.26,0.26,0.3,0.47,0.53,0.58,0.61,0.54,0.66,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.7,0.76,0.75,0.73,0.73,0.73,0.81,0.86,0.92,0.92,0.86,0.87,0.9,0.92,0.94,0.91,0.93,0.94,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1	95.2%
LAL 86, LAC 108	0.5,0.51,0.5,0.46,0.45,0.5,0.5,0.47,0.41,0.4,0.45,0.38,0.38,0.35,0.34,0.4,0.49,0.42,0.51,0.54,0.56,0.53,0.64,0.64,0.64,0.7,0.61,0.72,0.72,0.73,0.73,0.77,0.88,0.91,0.93,0.96,0.95,0.9,0.94,0.94,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.2%
BOS 96, IND 103	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.48,0.51,0.46,0.4,0.41,0.41,0.41,0.55,0.45,0.42,0.35,0.38,0.34,0.38,0.46,0.44,0.44,0.56,0.54,0.61,0.67,0.7,0.75,0.71,0.66,0.73,0.7,0.76,0.84,0.85,0.84,0.91,0.95,0.96,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.8%