NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	86		Excitement	4.3 [909]		MVP	Malik Sealy (LAC): +12.4%
Los Angeles Clippers	108		Comeback	2.1 [428]		LVP	Lorenzen Wright (LAC): -16.1%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Robert Horry	0.08	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.02	0.01	-0.05	10	62%	0.11	2	-0.03	4	50%	-0.02
Elden Campbell	0.02	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.00	14	62%	0.06	3	-0.03	4	100%	0.01
Derek Fisher	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.06	4	50%	0.02	2	0.00	2	0%	-0.01
Jerome Kersey	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.06	0.00	-0.04	3	25%	-0.02	1	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Sean Rooks	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.05	0.00	-0.02	3	30%	-0.03	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Travis Knight	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.08	-0.01	-0.06	9	45%	-0.01	3	-0.02	4	50%	-0.01
Nick Van Exel	-0.05	0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.10	-0.00	-0.06	17	48%	0.02	4	-0.06	8	87%	0.02
Kobe Bryant	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.12	-0.02	-0.04	10	27%	-0.05	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.00
Eddie Jones	-0.14	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.03	-0.02	10	20%	-0.14	0	0.00	5	60%	-0.03

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Malik Sealy	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.09	0.05	0.01	14	69%	0.15	2	-0.03	4	100%	0.01
Loy Vaught	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.08	0.02	-0.01	11	92%	0.19	5	-0.08	2	100%	0.01
Bo Outlaw	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.02	0.00	-0.02	6	64%	0.05	1	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Eric Piatkowski	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.01	0.00	8	56%	0.02	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Pooh Richardson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.03	0.01	-0.03	8	31%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rodney Rogers	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.03	16	65%	0.10	6	-0.08	5	80%	0.00
Darrick Martin	0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	6	57%	0.03	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Terry Dehere	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	50%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lamond Murray	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.09	0.00	-0.08	4	25%	-0.01	3	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lorenzen Wright	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.11	-0.04	0.01	5	40%	-0.03	5	-0.13	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	33.9	2.0	23.2	14.7	29.2	1.8	32.3	137.2
league avg	32.7	2.1	23.2	15.3	25.7	2.1	33.1	135.6

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAC +49.4%

LAL -0.6%

LAC +20.9%

LAL -19.1%

LAL -0.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	LAC	NBA	LAL	LAC	NBA
this game	14.4	14.0	15.6	86.0	104.9	104.4
season	15.3	15.8		105.8	102.9
opponent	15.1	15.7		105.8	101.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAL	15.4	17.5	13.1	12.4	14.4
LAC	15.9	14.5	13.6	12.4	14.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Derek Fisher	27	27	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	-0.03	0	-22	22	10.2	15.9	-5.73	12.8	14.4	-1.62
Travis Knight	63	66	-0.08	-0.42	0.35	-0.02	-2	-20	18	13.9	15.2	-1.30	14.2	13.7	0.44
Eddie Jones	56	57	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	0.15	-8	-14	6	16.1	12.2	3.95	14.7	13.2	1.47
Sean Rooks	39	40	-0.17	-0.33	0.17	-0.05	-4	-18	14	12.8	15.4	-2.54	13.3	14.4	-1.08
Elden Campbell	73	74	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	0.18	-18	-4	-14	14.8	13.3	1.42	14.2	13.5	0.69
Jerome Kersey	54	55	-0.37	-0.13	-0.23	0.10	-16	-6	-10	13.5	15.3	-1.81	12.9	15.3	-2.48
Nick Van Exel	66	70	-0.40	-0.10	-0.29	0.13	-18	-4	-14	15.5	12.1	3.41	14.8	12.4	2.38
Kobe Bryant	51	52	-0.48	-0.02	-0.47	0.05	-18	-4	-14	13.2	15.6	-2.44	12.9	15.2	-2.27
Robert Horry	71	74	-0.54	0.04	-0.58	0.22	-26	4	-30	15.9	10.7	5.23	14.9	11.8	3.13

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rodney Rogers	84	80	0.63	-0.13	0.77	-0.25	30	-8	38	13.9	14.4	-0.44	14.2	14.9	-0.66
Lorenzen Wright	69	66	0.46	0.04	0.43	-0.01	16	6	10	14.8	12.4	2.34	15.8	11.7	4.08
Eric Piatkowski	32	30	0.35	0.14	0.21	-0.11	16	6	10	13.8	14.1	-0.24	15.5	13.9	1.57
Bo Outlaw	70	69	0.30	0.20	0.11	-0.19	17	5	12	13.3	15.5	-2.22	14.5	14.1	0.35
Pooh Richardson	52	52	0.27	0.23	0.05	-0.19	16	6	10	12.2	15.9	-3.75	13.5	15.3	-1.73
Darrick Martin	51	48	0.23	0.27	-0.05	0.05	6	16	-10	15.9	12.2	3.75	15.3	13.5	1.73
Malik Sealy	62	61	0.14	0.35	-0.21	-0.03	6	16	-10	14.5	13.3	1.19	14.8	13.7	1.15
Lamond Murray	24	24	0.05	0.45	-0.39	-0.12	6	16	-10	13.2	14.3	-1.10	13.5	14.7	-1.20
Loy Vaught	62	61	0.04	0.46	-0.41	0.13	-3	25	-28	14.4	13.4	0.95	13.3	16.1	-2.80
Terry Dehere	9	9	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	22	-22	11.3	14.3	-2.93	7.7	15.0	-7.37

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.5,0.46,0.45,0.5,0.5,0.47,0.41,0.4,0.45,0.38,0.38,0.35,0.34,0.4,0.49,0.42,0.51,0.54,0.56,0.53,0.64,0.64,0.64,0.7,0.61,0.72,0.72,0.73,0.73,0.77,0.88,0.91,0.93,0.96,0.95,0.9,0.94,0.94,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
DEN 84, UTA 102	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.5,0.52,0.49,0.47,0.43,0.43,0.47,0.4,0.37,0.38,0.4,0.45,0.44,0.49,0.55,0.58,0.64,0.61,0.61,0.7,0.73,0.72,0.69,0.72,0.7,0.71,0.77,0.9,0.92,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.1%
PHI 78, DET 115	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.52,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.43,0.39,0.37,0.47,0.44,0.4,0.42,0.46,0.44,0.4,0.49,0.56,0.56,0.59,0.56,0.64,0.64,0.7,0.66,0.66,0.72,0.73,0.7,0.77,0.81,0.84,0.85,0.94,0.95,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.7%
MIN 90, DET 115	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.45,0.42,0.38,0.37,0.34,0.33,0.37,0.45,0.42,0.38,0.35,0.32,0.38,0.44,0.47,0.44,0.52,0.56,0.59,0.61,0.63,0.61,0.73,0.69,0.74,0.69,0.76,0.76,0.84,0.88,0.89,0.91,0.88,0.87,0.81,0.92,0.96,0.99,0.97,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.2%