NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	90		Excitement	4.2 [1002]		MVP	Kareem Rush (CHA): +27.2%
Charlotte Bobcats	122		Comeback	2.5 [793]		LVP	Jermaine O'Neal (IND): -12.7%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Scot Pollard	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.08	0.02	0.00	3	87%	0.10	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Stephen Jackson	0.04	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.05	0.00	0.01	11	64%	0.09	2	-0.05	6	33%	-0.05
Austin Croshere	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.01	0.02	-0.01	2	60%	0.04	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.03
Metta World Peace	0.02	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.11,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.11	-0.02	0.07	18	61%	0.08	2	-0.06	8	37%	-0.03
David Harrison	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.03	2	62%	0.02	2	-0.00	4	75%	0.00
Sarunas Jasikevicius	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	2	71%	0.01	3	-0.02	3	100%	0.01
Danny Granger	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.07	0.00	-0.06	2	0%	-0.02	2	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Fred Jones	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.09	0.00	-0.06	3	0%	-0.03	2	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jamaal Tinsley	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	4	67%	0.01	4	-0.06	4	50%	-0.01
Anthony Johnson	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.11	-0.01	-0.03	3	0%	-0.03	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Jermaine O'Neal	-0.13	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.09	-0.02	0.01	14	47%	-0.03	5	-0.10	8	62%	-0.02

Charlotte Bobcats
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kareem Rush	0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.09,0.18,0.18,0.23,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.29,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27	0.27	0.34	0.07	0.13	15	100%	0.29	1	-0.02	5	100%	0.03
Emeka Okafor	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.07	0.01	0.02	14	59%	0.08	1	-0.02	6	100%	0.02
Sean May	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.07	0.01	0.03	11	65%	0.07	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Jake Voskuhl	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.06	0.00	0.01	1	100%	0.05	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01
Keith Bogans	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.06	-0.00	0.01	9	64%	0.05	1	-0.00	4	100%	0.01
Primoz Brezec	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.01	-0.01	6	50%	0.03	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.02
Matt Carroll	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.01	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Raymond Felton	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.01	0.01	0.04	13	58%	0.07	4	-0.09	5	60%	-0.02
Kevin Burleson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	-0.01	-0.02	4	25%	-0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Bernard Robinson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	0.00	0.01	3	25%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.2	1.8	31.1	15.4	26.5	2.4	31.5	136.9
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHA +19.9%

CHA +14.5%

IND -3.0%

CHA +18.3%

CHA +0.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	CHA	NBA	IND	CHA	NBA
this game	15.4	14.3	15.6	93.8	124.5	104.4
season	16.0	14.8		102.3	100.5
opponent	15.4	15.5		104.6	100.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	14.0	17.3	15.8	14.4	15.4
CHA	13.7	14.0	13.1	16.9	14.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Scot Pollard	33	34	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	-0.07	1	-33	34	14.5	15.8	-1.37	14.1	14.5	-0.31
Metta World Peace	74	73	-0.11	-0.39	0.29	0.01	-4	-28	24	14.3	19.0	-4.67	15.3	11.6	3.69
Danny Granger	15	17	-0.14	-0.36	0.21	0.32	-16	-16	0	15.0	15.4	-0.42	11.9	14.9	-2.91
Anthony Johnson	41	41	-0.15	-0.35	0.21	0.35	-17	-15	-2	17.2	14.0	3.17	13.7	14.8	-1.10
David Harrison	30	30	-0.16	-0.34	0.19	0.43	-20	-12	-8	16.1	15.0	1.08	12.6	15.1	-2.52
Sarunas Jasikevicius	33	35	-0.17	-0.33	0.15	0.38	-19	-13	-6	14.0	16.1	-2.06	13.6	14.8	-1.21
Jamaal Tinsley	37	38	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.00	-6	-26	20	13.3	16.6	-3.35	16.7	12.8	3.86
Austin Croshere	38	37	-0.32	-0.18	-0.13	0.01	-11	-21	10	17.2	14.2	2.99	15.6	13.6	2.09
Jermaine O'Neal	71	73	-0.34	-0.15	-0.19	0.04	-13	-19	6	15.0	16.4	-1.41	14.9	12.8	2.13
Fred Jones	42	45	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	0.54	-33	1	-34	17.6	13.6	4.03	12.5	15.9	-3.39
Stephen Jackson	66	67	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	0.18	-22	-10	-12	15.4	15.3	0.03	14.2	14.7	-0.48

Charlotte Bobcats
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Sean May	47	45	0.49	0.01	0.48	-0.22	24	8	16	13.0	15.6	-2.55	15.9	14.9	1.05
Raymond Felton	72	69	0.48	0.02	0.46	-0.55	35	-3	38	14.3	14.6	-0.31	16.1	13.3	2.81
Emeka Okafor	75	75	0.44	0.06	0.37	-0.24	23	9	14	15.1	11.9	3.24	15.2	15.9	-0.64
Kareem Rush	79	77	0.44	0.06	0.37	-0.33	26	6	20	15.0	11.7	3.30	15.3	15.7	-0.48
Jake Voskuhl	18	17	0.35	0.15	0.21	-0.14	17	15	2	11.7	14.9	-3.22	18.6	14.6	4.00
Keith Bogans	74	74	0.31	0.19	0.11	-0.28	20	12	8	15.2	11.6	3.60	14.6	17.7	-3.08
Bernard Robinson	31	30	0.21	0.29	-0.07	-0.32	18	14	4	12.2	15.3	-3.15	18.0	14.2	3.80
Matt Carroll	15	14	0.05	0.45	-0.41	-0.07	4	28	-24	10.9	15.0	-4.03	14.6	15.5	-0.92
Kevin Burleson	29	29	0.02	0.48	-0.46	-0.01	1	31	-30	14.4	14.3	0.09	13.4	16.2	-2.83
Primoz Brezec	50	50	-0.28	0.78	-1.06	-0.04	-8	40	-48	15.5	13.1	2.39	13.8	17.0	-3.16

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.42,0.37,0.37,0.36,0.34,0.34,0.35,0.34,0.32,0.34,0.36,0.38,0.47,0.49,0.6,0.65,0.62,0.61,0.66,0.64,0.67,0.78,0.77,0.82,0.8,0.73,0.65,0.7,0.74,0.84,0.91,0.95,0.91,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
CLE 73, ORL 102	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.47,0.46,0.39,0.35,0.37,0.35,0.39,0.36,0.38,0.35,0.38,0.42,0.45,0.54,0.58,0.66,0.71,0.69,0.71,0.69,0.73,0.75,0.82,0.88,0.89,0.83,0.86,0.8,0.81,0.87,0.88,0.92,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.8%
PHI 108, MIL 123	0.5,0.49,0.44,0.48,0.45,0.38,0.34,0.31,0.34,0.39,0.38,0.35,0.27,0.26,0.26,0.3,0.47,0.53,0.58,0.61,0.54,0.66,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.7,0.76,0.75,0.73,0.73,0.73,0.81,0.86,0.92,0.92,0.86,0.87,0.9,0.92,0.94,0.91,0.93,0.94,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1	94.4%
SAC 93, SEA 104	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.43,0.38,0.44,0.38,0.41,0.4,0.38,0.42,0.4,0.37,0.36,0.42,0.47,0.49,0.53,0.61,0.66,0.59,0.69,0.75,0.77,0.7,0.74,0.77,0.73,0.78,0.81,0.82,0.85,0.81,0.86,0.88,0.93,0.9,0.94,0.9,0.95,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.3%