inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Cleveland Cavaliers 73 Excitement3.7 [1088] MVPTony Battie (ORL): +10.0%
Orlando Magic 102 Comeback2.0 [864] LVPEric Snow (CLE): -10.8%


Cleveland Cavaliers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Zydrunas Ilgauskas0.020,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.07-0.010.03872%0.052-0.02250%-0.01
Anderson Varejao0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.000.00175%0.0200.00250%0.00
Sasha Pavlovic0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.050.00-0.05333%0.022-0.0200%0.00
Alan Henderson0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.030.00-0.03333%0.0010.0000%0.00
Ira Newble0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
Stephen Graham0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
Damon Jones-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.030.00-0.02425%-0.0000.0000%0.00
LeBron James-0.000,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.050.01-0.042250%0.115-0.11683%0.01
Ronald Murray-0.020,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.00-0.000.011242%-0.0200.00771%-0.01
Donyell Marshall-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.090.00-0.02525%-0.032-0.0320%-0.01
Drew Gooden-0.090,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.10-0.01-0.031331%-0.062-0.033100%0.01
Eric Snow-0.110,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.11-0.01-0.0267%-0.1110.00250%-0.01

Orlando Magic
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Tony Battie0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.100.120.000.03687%0.1000.003100%0.01
Hedo Turkoglu0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.090.050.03-0.00582%0.111-0.021100%0.00
Keyon Dooling0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.070.070.010.01672%0.091-0.02683%-0.01
Darko Milicic0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.070.020.01-0.04769%0.092-0.02250%0.00
Bo Outlaw0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.050.01-0.01967%0.091-0.0300%0.00
Carlos Arroyo0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.120.000.061271%0.0600.0000%0.00
DeShawn Stevenson0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.010.010.01650%0.0200.0000%0.00
Stacey Augmon0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.020.000.011100%0.0100.0000%0.00
Trevor Ariza0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.000.000.00075%0.0010.00475%0.00
Jameer Nelson0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.040.00-0.00837%-0.011-0.0200%0.00
Grant Hill0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.080.00-0.02617%-0.051-0.0200%0.00
Dwight Howard0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.090.00-0.02744%-0.004-0.07450%-0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game26.43.626.816.026.02.531.6132.9
league avg33.92.429.514.726.72.434.0144.9
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
ORL +58.6%
CLE -6.1%
CLE -6.3%
ORL +2.5%
ORL +1.4%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsCLEORLNBACLEORLNBA
this game17.816.515.686.9121.4104.4
season16.216.4105.6104.4
opponent15.715.5105.9103.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
CLE14.821.317.018.817.8
ORL15.814.017.319.116.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Ira Newble550.00-0.500.500.09-3-262313.618.1-4.4811.216.8-5.61
Alan Henderson99-0.00-0.500.500.26-9-201118.617.70.8414.016.8-2.77
Stephen Graham99-0.00-0.500.500.26-9-201118.617.70.8414.016.8-2.77
Zydrunas Ilgauskas4547-0.13-0.370.24-0.04-3-262317.018.7-1.7417.715.02.69
Sasha Pavlovic2020-0.18-0.320.150.32-17-12-518.717.51.1713.517.4-3.91
Drew Gooden5557-0.21-0.290.080.14-12-17517.718.1-0.4016.815.90.87
Ronald Murray5959-0.24-0.260.03-0.03-7-221517.219.2-1.9817.713.73.98
Anderson Varejao2523-0.27-0.23-0.040.17-15-14-117.817.8-0.0113.717.5-3.83
Eric Snow5758-0.28-0.22-0.070.19-16-13-318.017.30.7016.616.20.36
Damon Jones3534-0.32-0.18-0.150.17-17-12-518.217.60.6216.316.6-0.31
Donyell Marshall3432-0.39-0.11-0.280.17-19-10-918.917.11.8516.916.20.75
LeBron James6767-0.48-0.02-0.460.05-18-11-717.917.50.4217.014.22.81

Orlando Magic
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Carlos Arroyo47460.52-0.020.55-0.5035-64116.416.5-0.0720.015.24.79
Keyon Dooling47460.52-0.020.55-0.5035-64116.416.5-0.0720.015.24.79
Bo Outlaw38380.460.040.42-0.041712516.016.8-0.8219.616.33.28
Darko Milicic32320.440.060.37-0.212271513.518.3-4.7619.217.02.18
Stacey Augmon29300.410.090.32-0.061613317.515.91.5920.416.44.03
Hedo Turkoglu34320.220.28-0.05-0.251613317.016.10.8818.217.50.71
Tony Battie54540.060.44-0.38-0.15722-1518.213.34.8916.719.9-3.20
Dwight Howard44440.040.46-0.41-0.311217-516.916.00.8116.719.0-2.37
Trevor Ariza550.000.50-0.50-0.09326-2311.216.8-5.6113.618.1-4.48
DeShawn Stevenson3738-0.020.52-0.540.15-635-4116.516.40.0715.220.0-4.79
Jameer Nelson3738-0.020.52-0.550.15-635-4116.516.40.0715.220.0-4.79
Grant Hill1617-0.130.63-0.760.04-635-4115.116.8-1.6713.618.9-5.22


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.47,0.46,0.39,0.35,0.37,0.35,0.39,0.36,0.38,0.35,0.38,0.42,0.45,0.54,0.58,0.66,0.71,0.69,0.71,0.69,0.73,0.75,0.82,0.88,0.89,0.83,0.86,0.8,0.81,0.87,0.88,0.92,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
UTA 86, PHX 1080.5,0.49,0.48,0.47,0.45,0.46,0.47,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.4,0.36,0.32,0.35,0.36,0.42,0.51,0.56,0.63,0.68,0.66,0.71,0.69,0.73,0.73,0.8,0.81,0.82,0.87,0.89,0.84,0.82,0.9,0.93,0.96,0.94,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,195.8%
NYK 71, HOU 860.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.44,0.4,0.37,0.35,0.31,0.31,0.32,0.3,0.38,0.47,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.66,0.68,0.66,0.69,0.69,0.75,0.82,0.81,0.88,0.92,0.91,0.91,0.91,0.9,0.92,0.93,0.91,0.91,0.94,0.95,0.96,0.94,0.88,0.9,0.95,0.98,1,1,1,1,195.5%
POR 88, LAL 1060.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.5,0.5,0.49,0.47,0.43,0.37,0.37,0.38,0.34,0.4,0.42,0.47,0.51,0.56,0.56,0.61,0.59,0.64,0.67,0.69,0.67,0.75,0.74,0.8,0.85,0.83,0.84,0.79,0.88,0.84,0.89,0.92,0.96,0.96,0.94,0.97,0.95,0.96,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,195.5%