NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Chicago Bulls	109		Excitement	6.6 [546]		MVP	Zach LaVine (CHI): +22.1%
Dallas Mavericks	115		Comeback	2.1 [752]		LVP	Kris Dunn (CHI): -14.8%

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Zach LaVine	0.22	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.17,0.17,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.19,0.17,0.21,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.23,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22	0.20	0.04	0.02	15	89%	0.31	5	-0.09	8	87%	0.03
Jabari Parker	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.12,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.00	0.00	14	65%	0.12	1	-0.02	3	67%	-0.01
Justin Holiday	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.12	0.03	0.08	9	76%	0.09	1	-0.02	3	67%	0.01
Chandler Hutchison	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.01	0.02	-0.01	2	50%	0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Bobby Portis	0.03	0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.02	0.01	9	57%	0.08	2	-0.05	3	67%	-0.01
Antonio Blakeney	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	0.00	0.01	2	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.00
Robin Lopez	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.02	-0.04	0.00	2	50%	-0.01	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Wendell Carter Jr.	-0.12	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12	-0.10	-0.03	-0.01	7	29%	-0.05	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Cameron Payne	-0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.05	-0.08	0.02	7	43%	-0.07	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Kris Dunn	-0.15	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.13	-0.05	-0.02	13	35%	-0.05	4	-0.10	0	0%	0.00

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dwight Powell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.08	0.10	0.02	6	67%	0.16	0	0.00	6	100%	0.05
Maxi Kleber	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.08	0.04	-0.01	9	67%	0.12	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Wesley Matthews	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.08	0.01	0.00	15	59%	0.12	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.03
DeAndre Jordan	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.07	-0.01	0.01	11	75%	0.14	3	-0.09	2	100%	0.02
Jalen Brunson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	-0.02	7	43%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
J.J. Barea	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.06	0.04	-0.01	11	36%	0.01	1	-0.02	3	67%	-0.00
Luka Doncic	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01	-0.01	0.05	-0.03	0.03	14	63%	0.05	3	-0.06	2	100%	0.00
Ryan Broekhoff	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dorian Finney-Smith	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.01	-0.04	0.00	8	67%	0.07	3	-0.10	2	100%	0.00
Dennis Smith Jr.	0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.14	-0.04	-0.05	11	29%	-0.05	4	-0.08	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.1	1.8	29.2	14.6	31.7	1.8	32.3	136.5
league avg	25.3	2.2	27.8	14.6	27.6	2.2	31.9	132.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DAL +6.2%

DAL +13.1%

DAL +21.9%

DAL +8.6%

DAL +0.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHI	DAL	NBA	CHI	DAL	NBA
this game	13.2	15.9	14.3	110.1	116.2	109.3
season	14.6	14.7		104.2	108.5
opponent	14.1	14.3		109.7	112.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHI	14.4	14.0	12.5	12.0	13.2
DAL	16.3	16.6	14.1	16.8	15.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Antonio Blakeney	12	12	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.17	6	-12	18	9.2	13.7	-4.56	12.6	16.4	-3.80
Kris Dunn	57	58	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	0.04	-2	-4	2	13.6	12.5	1.08	17.7	13.4	4.28
Wendell Carter Jr.	63	63	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	-0.17	5	-11	16	12.9	13.6	-0.73	17.2	13.6	3.58
Zach LaVine	73	74	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.03	-4	-2	-2	13.6	12.0	1.64	16.8	13.3	3.48
Robin Lopez	22	21	-0.18	-0.32	0.15	-0.00	-6	0	-6	13.7	13.0	0.71	12.3	16.9	-4.61
Bobby Portis	61	63	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.25	-1	-5	4	13.5	12.6	0.92	16.2	15.5	0.70
Chandler Hutchison	38	39	-0.32	-0.18	-0.15	-0.21	-4	-2	-2	12.9	13.3	-0.36	14.5	16.8	-2.28
Cameron Payne	42	41	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.36	-4	-2	-2	12.5	13.6	-1.08	13.4	17.7	-4.28
Jabari Parker	51	49	-0.52	0.02	-0.55	-0.20	-11	5	-16	12.8	13.5	-0.68	16.1	15.7	0.36
Justin Holiday	76	75	-0.53	0.03	-0.56	-0.26	-9	3	-12	13.5	12.1	1.41	15.9	16.0	-0.11

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
J.J. Barea	37	38	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.18	7	-1	8	15.4	16.3	-0.91	12.9	13.3	-0.41
Maxi Kleber	39	40	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.26	4	2	2	17.2	15.1	2.16	12.4	13.7	-1.21
Dorian Finney-Smith	83	79	0.36	0.14	0.23	0.30	2	4	-2	16.0	15.7	0.28	13.3	12.5	0.84
Dwight Powell	36	35	0.36	0.14	0.21	0.30	2	4	-2	15.9	16.0	-0.09	11.8	13.9	-2.08
Luka Doncic	75	75	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.16	5	1	4	15.3	17.9	-2.64	13.1	13.3	-0.21
Jalen Brunson	28	29	0.29	0.21	0.08	0.17	4	2	2	18.1	15.1	3.05	12.8	13.3	-0.49
Wesley Matthews	67	69	0.27	0.23	0.03	0.00	9	-3	12	14.6	18.6	-3.95	13.5	12.4	1.11
DeAndre Jordan	63	64	0.14	0.36	-0.21	0.03	4	2	2	16.0	15.9	0.09	13.9	11.8	2.08
Dennis Smith Jr.	62	61	0.11	0.39	-0.28	0.14	-1	7	-8	16.3	15.4	0.91	13.3	12.9	0.41
Ryan Broekhoff	5	5	-0.11	0.61	-0.72	0.07	-6	12	-18	19.4	15.7	3.67	14.4	13.1	1.29

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.48,0.53,0.48,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.6,0.55,0.57,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.45,0.46,0.51,0.47,0.46,0.49,0.39,0.44,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.32,0.44,0.44,0.6,0.41,0.66,0.78,0.75,0.87,0.92,0.87,0.94,0.99,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
IND 86, SAS 99	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.54,0.56,0.53,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.42,0.47,0.44,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.41,0.39,0.36,0.39,0.49,0.45,0.55,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.52,0.41,0.43,0.48,0.6,0.52,0.62,0.62,0.82,0.89,0.85,0.78,0.91,0.98,0.98,1,1,1,1	93.8%
DEN 82, POR 94	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.42,0.39,0.38,0.38,0.47,0.43,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.39,0.41,0.44,0.46,0.46,0.5,0.57,0.63,0.49,0.48,0.58,0.45,0.32,0.41,0.41,0.52,0.52,0.74,0.82,0.79,0.79,0.85,0.89,0.97,0.97,0.98,1,1,1,1	93.6%
DAL 99, LAL 108	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.5,0.46,0.45,0.47,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.53,0.56,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.44,0.56,0.56,0.46,0.54,0.46,0.33,0.46,0.43,0.55,0.61,0.61,0.48,0.45,0.44,0.38,0.41,0.48,0.44,0.54,0.74,0.79,0.8,0.93,0.83,0.85,0.95,0.97,1,1,1,1	93.4%