inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Dallas Mavericks 99 Excitement6.3 [529] MVPRaef LaFrentz (DAL): +26.4%
Los Angeles Lakers 108 Comeback2.0 [635] LVPNick Van Exel (DAL): -16.4%


Dallas Mavericks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Raef LaFrentz0.260,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.15,0.12,0.1,0.13,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.22,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.260.210.080.031493%0.302-0.0400%0.00
Raja Bell0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.130.010.083137%0.0600.002100%0.01
Dirk Nowitzki0.030,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,0,0,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03-0.01-0.01-0.062054%0.113-0.078100%0.06
Eduardo Najera0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.000.002100%0.051-0.0300%0.00
Avery Johnson0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
Shawn Bradley-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.000.00367%0.021-0.0200%0.00
Popeye Jones-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.060.00-0.0520%-0.0100.0020%0.00
Evan Eschmeyer-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.010.0010%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Tariq Abdul-Wahad-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.02-0.020.0000%0.001-0.0400%0.00
Adrian Griffin-0.080,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.01-0.0050%-0.0800.0000%0.00
Steve Nash-0.130,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.07,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13-0.11-0.05-0.031749%-0.015-0.129100%0.05
Nick Van Exel-0.160,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16-0.11-0.05-0.001326%-0.141-0.031100%0.00

Los Angeles Lakers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Devean George0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.190.190.160.050.027100%0.221-0.037100%0.06
Derek Fisher0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.120.120.070.05-0.001167%0.161-0.042100%0.01
Jannero Pargo0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.080.010.03-0.04560%0.0810.0000%0.00
Robert Horry0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.04-0.030.06-0.011453%0.113-0.08450%-0.02
Mark Madsen0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.010.00-0.00267%0.0200.002100%0.01
Brian Shaw00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Slava Medvedenko00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Samaki Walker00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Kareem Rush00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Rick Fox0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.01-0.02-0.001457%0.074-0.0900%0.00
Kobe Bryant0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.09,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12-0.12-0.16-0.00-0.031636%-0.043-0.08771%-0.02
Shaquille O'Neal0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.16,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15-0.14-0.08-0.060.001441%-0.121-0.02633%-0.09
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game25.02.532.717.327.51.730.6137.2
league avg46.12.328.014.724.52.329.9149.2
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
LAL +39.1%
DAL -8.2%
LAL +19.1%
LAL +0.1%
DAL -0.0%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsDALLALNBADALLALNBA
this game14.414.615.599.0109.1101.6
season15.115.4108.6105.0
opponent15.115.3102.8102.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
DAL15.114.414.014.014.4
LAL14.915.013.714.814.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Eduardo Najera51510.16-0.660.82-0.047-162314.514.20.3515.413.71.70
Avery Johnson66-0.00-0.500.50-0.124-13177.214.8-7.6517.814.43.46
Evan Eschmeyer1818-0.05-0.450.40-0.050-9915.114.20.9213.814.8-0.99
Popeye Jones1516-0.06-0.440.39-0.143-121513.214.6-1.3615.514.41.09
Tariq Abdul-Wahad2929-0.09-0.410.32-0.183-121513.214.8-1.5814.614.60.00
Shawn Bradley1815-0.10-0.400.300.04-5-4-113.914.5-0.5714.314.6-0.38
Dirk Nowitzki8181-0.29-0.21-0.09-0.09-7-2-514.812.32.5214.813.80.99
Nick Van Exel6565-0.32-0.18-0.13-0.11-7-2-515.013.11.9214.115.5-1.35
Adrian Griffin5149-0.36-0.14-0.22-0.04-112-1314.514.30.1913.515.6-2.09
Raef LaFrentz5958-0.39-0.11-0.28-0.07-112-1314.713.80.9014.814.30.46
Raja Bell2627-0.47-0.03-0.43-0.29-6-3-311.815.2-3.4013.115.1-2.03
Steve Nash8180-0.530.03-0.56-0.09-156-2114.812.52.3315.112.52.55

Los Angeles Lakers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Jannero Pargo32320.57-0.070.650.3481714.414.7-0.3115.713.71.95
Devean George55550.470.030.440.2672514.314.9-0.5414.014.8-0.80
Robert Horry81810.400.100.30-0.0114-51914.913.41.4615.011.73.30
Kobe Bryant83850.330.170.170.0410-11114.614.60.0314.116.0-1.93
Kareem Rush990.260.240.010.28-110-1115.214.50.7013.614.4-0.88
Derek Fisher82820.190.31-0.11-0.0481714.315.9-1.5714.314.7-0.44
Shaquille O'Neal67670.100.40-0.29-0.1072514.614.6-0.0614.613.80.76
Rick Fox45470.090.41-0.330.0327-515.114.10.9614.414.30.04
Mark Madsen23230.080.42-0.340.20-413-1712.615.2-2.5812.015.1-3.12
Brian Shaw340.030.47-0.44-0.0327-514.014.6-0.6017.214.23.01
Slava Medvedenko330.000.50-0.500.18-615-2121.714.47.307.014.6-7.59
Samaki Walker1212-0.030.53-0.550.03-211-1316.114.41.7015.414.21.20


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.5,0.46,0.45,0.47,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.53,0.56,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.44,0.56,0.56,0.46,0.54,0.46,0.33,0.46,0.43,0.55,0.61,0.61,0.48,0.45,0.44,0.38,0.41,0.48,0.44,0.54,0.74,0.79,0.8,0.93,0.83,0.85,0.95,0.97,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
MIA 96, TOR 1070.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.52,0.49,0.57,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.52,0.6,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.44,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.51,0.41,0.39,0.42,0.41,0.48,0.61,0.58,0.52,0.52,0.45,0.52,0.56,0.44,0.52,0.58,0.7,0.79,0.83,0.85,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.97,0.99,0.99,194.4%
IND 86, SAS 990.5,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.54,0.56,0.53,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.42,0.47,0.44,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.41,0.39,0.36,0.39,0.49,0.45,0.55,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.52,0.41,0.43,0.48,0.6,0.52,0.62,0.62,0.82,0.89,0.85,0.78,0.91,0.98,0.98,1,1,1,193.6%
CHI 109, DAL 1150.5,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.48,0.53,0.48,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.6,0.55,0.57,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.45,0.46,0.51,0.47,0.46,0.49,0.39,0.44,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.32,0.44,0.44,0.6,0.41,0.66,0.78,0.75,0.87,0.92,0.87,0.94,0.99,1,1,1,1,193.4%