NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Miami Heat	96		Excitement	6.2 [576]		MVP	Kris Humphries (TOR): +20.9%
Toronto Raptors	107		Comeback	1.9 [727]		LVP	Dwyane Wade (MIA): -22.5%

Miami Heat
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Daequan Cook	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.16,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12	0.08	0.04	-0.01	13	57%	0.12	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Chris Quinn	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.03	0.06	-0.02	10	52%	0.11	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Udonis Haslem	0.04	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.01	0.02	-0.01	8	62%	0.06	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Shawn Marion	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.05	-0.00	0.03	5	73%	0.02	1	-0.01	1	100%	-0.00
Joel Anthony	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mark Blount	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mario Chalmers	-0.04	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.01	-0.02	0.01	5	50%	-0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Yakhouba Diawara	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	3	25%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Michael Beasley	-0.16	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.19,-0.19,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.10	-0.05	0.00	14	39%	-0.04	4	-0.12	5	100%	0.03
Dwyane Wade	-0.22	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,0,-0.05,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.14,-0.17,-0.2,-0.21,-0.21,-0.22,-0.21,-0.23,-0.22,-0.22	-0.09	-0.10	0.03	31	44%	-0.12	4	-0.11	4	75%	-0.00

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kris Humphries	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21	0.21	0.12	0.09	0.00	6	82%	0.21	0	0.00	5	80%	0.02
Chris Bosh	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.11,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.03	0.07	-0.01	15	60%	0.18	4	-0.06	15	87%	0.03
Jamario Moon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.05	0.05	-0.01	4	62%	0.11	0	0.00	5	80%	0.01
Jason Kapono	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.00	0.00	8	62%	0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Parker	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.05	0.00	0.03	5	83%	0.08	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Will Solomon	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.01	0.01	0.04	9	68%	0.06	4	-0.08	4	75%	0.00
Andrea Bargnani	0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	0.01	12	50%	0.01	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Roko Leni Ukic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.07	-0.03	0.00	3	0%	-0.05	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Jermaine O'Neal	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.12	-0.01	-0.03	14	35%	-0.06	3	-0.04	3	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.6	2.6	28.4	16.4	26.5	2.6	37.0	138.1
league avg	26.4	2.4	30.1	16.5	27.1	2.4	33.3	140.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

TOR +30.1%

TOR +21.5%

TOR +17.9%

MIA -14.5%

MIA -5.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIA	TOR	NBA	MIA	TOR	NBA
this game	16.7	14.1	15.5	103.2	113.8	106.4
season	16.0	15.1		105.9	105.0
opponent	15.6	15.7		108.0	105.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIA	16.5	17.0	16.9	16.4	16.7
TOR	15.5	14.3	13.8	12.9	14.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Miami Heat
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mark Blount	4	5	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	0.04	-3	-8	5	21.2	16.5	4.74	17.8	13.9	3.90
Mario Chalmers	49	50	-0.09	-0.41	0.33	0.00	-3	-8	5	15.1	18.5	-3.48	13.6	14.7	-1.04
Yakhouba Diawara	14	13	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.05	-3	-8	5	20.0	16.1	3.87	16.0	13.8	2.20
Joel Anthony	22	22	-0.20	-0.30	0.11	-0.08	-4	-7	3	18.7	16.1	2.58	14.4	14.0	0.34
Shawn Marion	69	70	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.07	-5	-6	1	15.9	18.9	-2.97	14.0	14.4	-0.36
Michael Beasley	50	50	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.16	-5	-6	1	17.3	16.0	1.28	14.8	13.3	1.57
Udonis Haslem	75	76	-0.31	-0.19	-0.13	-0.08	-8	-3	-5	15.9	20.3	-4.42	13.5	16.5	-2.96
Dwyane Wade	79	81	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.13	-8	-3	-5	16.1	20.0	-3.87	13.8	16.0	-2.20
Chris Quinn	44	44	-0.41	-0.09	-0.33	-0.18	-8	-3	-5	18.5	15.1	3.48	14.7	13.6	1.04
Daequan Cook	59	59	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.19	-8	-3	-5	17.2	15.9	1.21	13.9	14.4	-0.51

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jermaine O'Neal	66	68	0.41	0.09	0.31	0.14	9	2	7	14.5	13.1	1.47	16.1	18.4	-2.31
Jamario Moon	37	35	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.14	9	2	7	12.4	15.2	-2.81	19.2	15.2	3.99
Roko Leni Ukic	28	26	0.38	0.12	0.27	0.09	10	1	9	12.8	14.7	-1.88	19.8	15.5	4.35
Kris Humphries	30	28	0.38	0.12	0.27	0.12	9	2	7	14.7	13.8	0.82	19.1	15.7	3.38
Chris Bosh	82	81	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.12	7	4	3	14.0	15.2	-1.22	16.4	19.1	-2.73
Jason Kapono	36	35	0.30	0.20	0.11	0.24	2	9	-7	14.0	14.2	-0.13	17.4	16.3	1.15
Anthony Parker	65	64	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.03	6	5	1	14.1	14.2	-0.15	15.7	19.0	-3.28
Will Solomon	67	67	0.12	0.38	-0.27	0.03	3	8	-5	14.5	13.2	1.24	15.5	19.8	-4.35
Andrea Bargnani	59	61	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	-0.03	0	11	-11	14.9	12.7	2.22	16.0	18.0	-2.01

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.52,0.49,0.57,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.52,0.6,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.44,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.51,0.41,0.39,0.42,0.41,0.48,0.61,0.58,0.52,0.52,0.45,0.52,0.56,0.44,0.52,0.58,0.7,0.79,0.83,0.85,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.97,0.99,0.99,1
Game		Similarity Score
DAL 99, LAL 108	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.5,0.46,0.45,0.47,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.53,0.56,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.44,0.56,0.56,0.46,0.54,0.46,0.33,0.46,0.43,0.55,0.61,0.61,0.48,0.45,0.44,0.38,0.41,0.48,0.44,0.54,0.74,0.79,0.8,0.93,0.83,0.85,0.95,0.97,1,1,1,1	94.4%
HOU 74, NYK 92	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.5,0.5,0.54,0.57,0.61,0.55,0.55,0.47,0.49,0.54,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.44,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.49,0.56,0.54,0.5,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.45,0.55,0.56,0.45,0.59,0.56,0.41,0.48,0.54,0.74,0.82,0.89,0.9,0.89,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.0%
DAL 105, SAC 116	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.6,0.54,0.55,0.59,0.61,0.57,0.63,0.6,0.58,0.57,0.6,0.49,0.44,0.47,0.42,0.46,0.53,0.52,0.46,0.44,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.37,0.42,0.45,0.55,0.48,0.45,0.41,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.54,0.7,0.75,0.83,0.81,0.92,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	93.9%