NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Houston Rockets	74		Excitement	5.4 [699]		MVP	Chris Mills (NYK): +18.2%
New York Knicks	92		Comeback	1.5 [445]		LVP	Allan Houston (NYK): -25.0%

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Eddie Johnson	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.05	0.01	-0.01	6	77%	0.11	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.01
Matt Bullard	0.02	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	3	83%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Mario Elie	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Othella Harrington	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	3	37%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Charles Jones	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rodrick Rhodes	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	1	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Willis	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.05	-0.00	-0.04	10	38%	-0.01	1	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02
Hakeem Olajuwon	-0.03	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.05,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	-0.00	13	48%	0.01	1	-0.04	1	100%	0.01
Brent Price	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	0.01	-0.00	4	40%	0.01	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.03
Clyde Drexler	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.06,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.08	-0.01	-0.04	13	50%	-0.00	4	-0.05	6	83%	0.03
Matt Maloney	-0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.09	-0.01	-0.04	8	33%	-0.01	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.00
Charles Barkley	-0.22	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.1,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.19,-0.19,-0.17,-0.19,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22	-0.17	-0.05	0.00	13	25%	-0.15	3	-0.07	2	50%	-0.01

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chris Mills	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.10	0.08	0.00	6	100%	0.21	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
John Starks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0,0.08,0.05,0.07,0.12,0.11,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.16	0.03	0.04	15	80%	0.21	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Charlie Ward	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.00	0.05	-0.02	13	54%	0.11	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Chris Dudley	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.01	-0.01	6	50%	0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Brooks Thompson	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Bowie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Terry Cummings	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Larry Johnson	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	15	48%	0.01	1	-0.03	3	100%	0.02
Chris Childs	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Charles Oakley	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.08	0.03	-0.02	13	37%	0.02	2	-0.05	1	0%	-0.03
Allan Houston	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.1,-0.12,-0.17,-0.17,-0.23,-0.23,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25	-0.25	-0.17	-0.08	-0.00	13	32%	-0.12	5	-0.13	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.0	2.8	28.4	18.4	25.6	2.8	30.2	129.1
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NYK +47.0%

HOU -11.4%

NYK +25.4%

HOU -5.8%

HOU -5.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	HOU	NYK	NBA	HOU	NYK	NBA
this game	16.3	15.3	15.6	82.2	100.0	102.5
season	15.7	15.7		104.5	100.4
opponent	16.3	15.2		98.6	105.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
HOU	15.6	15.9	15.9	18.0	16.3
NYK	16.3	15.4	15.4	14.1	15.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mario Elie	22	23	0.15	-0.65	0.80	0.03	4	-22	26	16.0	16.5	-0.52	15.5	15.2	0.28
Othella Harrington	4	5	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.00	0	-18	18	17.7	16.3	1.47	13.6	15.4	-1.81
Charles Jones	4	5	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.00	0	-18	18	17.7	16.3	1.47	13.6	15.4	-1.81
Rodrick Rhodes	4	5	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.00	0	-18	18	17.7	16.3	1.47	13.6	15.4	-1.81
Matt Bullard	38	39	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.04	-1	-17	16	15.3	17.1	-1.78	16.1	14.8	1.28
Matt Maloney	51	52	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	0.11	-7	-11	4	16.1	16.6	-0.48	15.3	15.3	0.07
Charles Barkley	45	47	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	0.01	-8	-10	2	16.5	16.2	0.38	16.1	14.5	1.57
Hakeem Olajuwon	65	66	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	0.14	-13	-5	-8	16.6	15.6	1.09	15.0	16.2	-1.17
Brent Price	39	40	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.08	-11	-7	-4	16.6	16.1	0.48	15.3	15.3	-0.07
Eddie Johnson	43	42	-0.47	-0.03	-0.43	0.06	-18	0	-18	16.8	15.9	0.90	15.2	15.4	-0.23
Kevin Willis	62	61	-0.53	0.03	-0.56	-0.09	-15	-3	-12	15.7	17.7	-2.04	15.4	15.2	0.13
Clyde Drexler	73	75	-0.61	0.11	-0.73	0.00	-21	3	-24	16.6	15.1	1.59	15.1	16.5	-1.42

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Charlie Ward	73	72	0.69	-0.19	0.88	0.01	23	-5	28	15.0	16.5	-1.46	16.3	16.7	-0.40
Larry Johnson	67	67	0.53	-0.03	0.55	-0.00	18	0	18	15.0	16.2	-1.16	16.3	16.5	-0.18
John Starks	53	51	0.50	0.00	0.49	-0.00	17	1	16	14.8	16.1	-1.28	16.9	15.6	1.38
Charles Oakley	72	70	0.35	0.15	0.19	0.14	7	11	-4	15.8	13.6	2.19	15.9	17.9	-2.06
Chris Mills	50	47	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.04	10	8	2	16.0	14.5	1.41	16.3	16.4	-0.14
Chris Dudley	64	63	0.17	0.33	-0.17	-0.16	11	7	4	15.1	15.7	-0.62	16.3	16.3	0.02
Terry Cummings	7	8	0.07	0.43	-0.36	-0.05	4	14	-10	15.4	15.3	0.12	18.1	16.2	1.95
Allan Houston	51	51	0.06	0.44	-0.38	-0.06	4	14	-10	15.4	15.2	0.22	16.0	16.7	-0.70
Brooks Thompson	4	3	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.03	1	17	-16	12.7	15.4	-2.68	19.3	16.2	3.09
Anthony Bowie	4	3	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.03	1	17	-16	12.7	15.4	-2.68	19.3	16.2	3.09
Chris Childs	15	15	-0.19	0.69	-0.88	-0.01	-6	24	-30	17.5	14.9	2.57	16.1	16.4	-0.25

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.5,0.5,0.54,0.57,0.61,0.55,0.55,0.47,0.49,0.54,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.44,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.49,0.56,0.54,0.5,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.45,0.55,0.56,0.45,0.59,0.56,0.41,0.48,0.54,0.74,0.82,0.89,0.9,0.89,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
DAL 105, SAC 116	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.6,0.54,0.55,0.59,0.61,0.57,0.63,0.6,0.58,0.57,0.6,0.49,0.44,0.47,0.42,0.46,0.53,0.52,0.46,0.44,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.37,0.42,0.45,0.55,0.48,0.45,0.41,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.54,0.7,0.75,0.83,0.81,0.92,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	94.3%
NYK 109, ATL 114	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.54,0.56,0.58,0.59,0.55,0.51,0.55,0.49,0.57,0.56,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.56,0.59,0.58,0.64,0.61,0.5,0.46,0.41,0.36,0.45,0.48,0.55,0.59,0.66,0.59,0.6,0.6,0.66,0.7,0.78,0.94,0.93,0.9,0.97,0.98,0.97,1,1,1,1	94.3%
MIA 96, TOR 107	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.52,0.49,0.57,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.52,0.6,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.44,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.51,0.41,0.39,0.42,0.41,0.48,0.61,0.58,0.52,0.52,0.45,0.52,0.56,0.44,0.52,0.58,0.7,0.79,0.83,0.85,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.97,0.99,0.99,1	94.0%