NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Phoenix Suns	91		Excitement	3.4 [1141]		MVP	Nikola Jokic (DEN): +25.2%
Denver Nuggets	119		Comeback	1.0 [1256]		LVP	Devin Booker (PHX): -5.6%

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Isaiah Canaan	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.09	0.00	0.02	8	79%	0.09	2	-0.01	3	67%	-0.00
Ryan Anderson	0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.02	-0.00	-0.06	11	36%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mikal Bridges	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.09	0.00	0.07	6	77%	0.02	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.02
TJ Warren	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.08	-0.01	0.06	12	67%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Dragan Bender	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	1	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Elie Okobo	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Trevor Ariza	-0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.08	0.00	-0.07	7	36%	0.01	3	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Tyson Chandler	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	0	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	6	33%	-0.02
Jamal Crawford	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.01	0.00	2	43%	-0.00	1	-0.01	3	100%	0.03
Richaun Holmes	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	0%	0.00
Deandre Ayton	-0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.08	0.00	-0.05	7	31%	-0.02	2	-0.01	2	50%	-0.00
Josh Jackson	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.11	-0.00	-0.07	7	13%	-0.03	2	-0.02	1	0%	-0.01
Devin Booker	-0.06	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.00	15	53%	0.03	6	-0.08	17	82%	0.01

Denver Nuggets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Nikola Jokic	0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.18,0.21,0.21,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25	0.25	0.40	0.01	0.16	11	106%	0.25	0	0.00	11	91%	0.03
Jamal Murray	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.06	0.01	-0.02	18	63%	0.11	3	-0.03	5	100%	0.02
Gary Harris	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.05	0.01	-0.01	15	53%	0.08	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.00
Will Barton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.09	-0.00	0.03	9	78%	0.07	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Torrey Craig	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.04	3	33%	0.01	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Paul Millsap	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.01	-0.01	10	58%	0.06	3	-0.05	4	100%	0.01
Malik Beasley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Thomas Welsh	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tyler Lydon	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mason Plumlee	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	4	44%	0.02	1	-0.02	1	0%	-0.01
Monte Morris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.07	0.00	-0.05	3	0%	-0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Juancho Hernangomez	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.06	0.00	-0.03	5	20%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Trey Lyles	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.19	0.00	-0.14	4	17%	-0.02	6	-0.03	4	50%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.9	1.8	33.7	16.8	29.4	2.4	33.6	143.5
league avg	25.3	2.2	27.8	14.6	27.6	2.2	31.9	132.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DEN +39.8%

DEN +3.9%

DEN +1.9%

PHX -1.1%

DEN +5.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHX	DEN	NBA	PHX	DEN	NBA
this game	15.0	12.5	14.3	86.7	114.4	109.3
season	14.4	14.8		104.8	112.0
opponent	14.6	14.0		108.1	114.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHX	16.9	15.8	13.3	14.2	15.0
DEN	9.8	14.2	11.1	15.8	12.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mikal Bridges	32	33	0.28	-0.78	1.07	-0.33	21	-49	70	13.0	15.9	-2.98	14.4	11.6	2.76
Dragan Bender	8	9	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.18	-6	-22	16	13.1	15.2	-2.07	13.0	12.5	0.54
Elie Okobo	8	9	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.18	-6	-22	16	13.1	15.2	-2.07	13.0	12.5	0.54
Ryan Anderson	47	45	-0.06	-0.44	0.39	0.12	-6	-22	16	16.0	14.3	1.74	13.0	12.1	0.94
Deandre Ayton	49	51	-0.06	-0.44	0.39	-0.17	4	-32	36	15.2	14.9	0.31	13.5	11.5	2.00
Isaiah Canaan	63	63	-0.12	-0.38	0.27	0.18	-10	-18	8	15.6	14.3	1.29	12.9	12.0	0.88
Jamal Crawford	15	15	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	0.05	-6	-22	16	16.1	14.9	1.20	10.7	12.8	-2.08
Tyson Chandler	37	37	-0.16	-0.34	0.19	0.34	-17	-11	-6	15.3	14.9	0.36	11.4	13.1	-1.71
Richaun Holmes	19	16	-0.29	-0.21	-0.07	0.15	-15	-13	-2	14.2	15.2	-1.07	11.8	12.6	-0.82
Josh Jackson	51	50	-0.38	-0.12	-0.27	-0.03	-12	-16	4	13.9	16.1	-2.17	13.0	12.0	1.02
Devin Booker	79	78	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	0.30	-24	-4	-20	15.4	14.0	1.38	12.8	11.7	1.04
TJ Warren	50	50	-0.44	-0.06	-0.39	0.03	-16	-12	-4	14.4	15.6	-1.14	11.9	13.0	-1.10
Trevor Ariza	67	64	-0.75	0.25	-1.00	0.63	-47	19	-66	16.0	13.4	2.62	10.8	15.2	-4.41

Denver Nuggets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jamal Murray	79	80	0.64	-0.14	0.79	-0.44	37	-9	46	12.3	13.3	-1.07	15.5	13.4	2.10
Gary Harris	76	78	0.62	-0.12	0.75	-0.43	36	-8	44	11.4	15.6	-4.19	15.9	12.5	3.39
Paul Millsap	68	71	0.58	-0.08	0.67	-0.53	38	-10	48	12.2	13.0	-0.79	15.7	13.6	2.06
Nikola Jokic	67	65	0.48	0.02	0.46	-0.34	28	0	28	11.5	14.3	-2.73	16.5	12.6	3.86
Will Barton	42	43	0.45	0.05	0.39	-0.20	22	6	16	9.8	14.4	-4.61	17.5	13.4	4.11
Torrey Craig	30	33	0.30	0.20	0.09	-0.35	22	6	16	14.6	11.7	2.89	14.2	15.4	-1.25
Trey Lyles	37	38	0.01	0.49	-0.48	0.16	-5	33	-38	12.8	12.3	0.51	12.8	16.3	-3.57
Thomas Welsh	6	6	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.06	2	26	-24	11.7	12.6	-0.89	12.8	15.2	-2.34
Tyler Lydon	3	3	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.06	2	26	-24	12.0	12.5	-0.52	19.3	14.9	4.42
Mason Plumlee	30	30	-0.07	0.57	-0.65	0.13	-7	35	-42	15.1	11.5	3.59	13.6	15.6	-2.01
Malik Beasley	19	17	-0.11	0.61	-0.73	0.03	-5	33	-38	13.1	12.4	0.73	12.7	15.5	-2.78
Monte Morris	31	31	-0.19	0.69	-0.89	0.25	-15	43	-58	13.6	12.0	1.62	12.2	16.2	-4.08
Juancho Hernangomez	32	30	-0.20	0.70	-0.91	0.24	-15	43	-58	16.1	10.9	5.18	12.8	15.9	-3.18

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.5,0.52,0.55,0.52,0.6,0.6,0.69,0.68,0.72,0.8,0.79,0.77,0.7,0.71,0.66,0.62,0.6,0.59,0.58,0.63,0.61,0.73,0.78,0.9,0.95,0.95,0.95,0.97,0.96,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.94,0.93,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
LAC 92, PHI 116	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.59,0.6,0.59,0.66,0.65,0.7,0.77,0.71,0.7,0.68,0.72,0.64,0.6,0.56,0.53,0.61,0.64,0.72,0.79,0.84,0.88,0.93,0.93,0.93,0.95,0.96,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.96,0.97,0.96,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.5%
MIA 83, MEM 97	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.56,0.59,0.63,0.67,0.7,0.73,0.75,0.72,0.7,0.64,0.66,0.69,0.58,0.68,0.71,0.64,0.64,0.77,0.73,0.86,0.94,0.94,0.95,0.95,0.98,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.1%
MIA 69, SAS 93	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.5,0.54,0.56,0.61,0.66,0.65,0.69,0.71,0.71,0.74,0.68,0.7,0.64,0.62,0.67,0.63,0.58,0.56,0.64,0.72,0.75,0.84,0.86,0.91,0.94,0.93,0.93,0.89,0.93,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.0%