NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Miami Heat	83		Excitement	3.1 [1158]		MVP	Mike Miller (MEM): +7.8%
Memphis Grizzlies	97		Comeback	1.1 [1086]		LVP	Eddie Jones (MIA): -14.7%

Miami Heat
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Brian Grant	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.00	-0.00	6	67%	0.03	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rasual Butler	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Malik Allen	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	2	0%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Udonis Haslem	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	0.00	0.01	5	75%	0.02	2	-0.02	2	50%	-0.00
John Wallace	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	5	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Loren Woods	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	3	37%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Caron Butler	-0.04	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	3	25%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Dwyane Wade	-0.04	0,0,0.01,0.04,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,-0.01,0,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	18	49%	-0.01	2	-0.04	7	86%	0.01
Rafer Alston	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.01	-0.01	0.05	9	54%	-0.04	1	-0.03	6	100%	0.00
Lamar Odom	-0.09	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.15	-0.00	-0.07	9	45%	-0.02	7	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Eddie Jones	-0.15	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.12	-0.02	0.01	17	33%	-0.08	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mike Miller	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.10	0.00	0.02	10	75%	0.10	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.01
James Posey	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	0.00	-0.00	9	67%	0.04	2	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Pau Gasol	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.05	-0.01	0.03	9	68%	0.04	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Lorenzen Wright	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	0.00	0.01	11	64%	0.06	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Stromile Swift	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.01	-0.00	6	63%	0.03	1	-0.02	7	57%	-0.02
Bonzi Wells	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.06	0.00	-0.06	9	60%	0.04	5	-0.04	2	50%	0.00
Shane Battier	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.06	0.01	-0.05	7	36%	0.00	2	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bo Outlaw	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.01
Jake Tsakalidis	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Troy Bell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	0	0%	0.00	2	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.06	0.00	-0.06	5	30%	0.01	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Earl Watson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.08	-0.01	-0.04	5	33%	0.01	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.9	2.5	30.3	17.4	27.5	2.4	23.6	126.7
league avg	47.8	2.4	27.9	14.3	24.8	2.1	29.8	150.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MEM +53.6%

MIA -1.4%

MIA -4.5%

MEM +0.5%

MEM +1.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIA	MEM	NBA	MIA	MEM	NBA
this game	16.2	15.6	15.7	92.2	106.6	100.5
season	16.2	15.3		99.3	102.3
opponent	15.7	15.9		100.5	98.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIA	19.1	14.8	16.1	15.0	16.2
MEM	14.5	15.2	15.2	17.7	15.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Miami Heat
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rasual Butler	9	10	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.15	5	-19	24	16.4	16.2	0.27	18.4	15.3	3.12
Malik Allen	9	10	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.15	5	-19	24	16.4	16.2	0.27	18.4	15.3	3.12
Udonis Haslem	33	32	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.30	10	-24	34	14.5	17.2	-2.71	14.8	16.1	-1.30
John Wallace	28	28	-0.11	-0.39	0.29	0.10	-7	-7	0	15.7	16.4	-0.76	13.8	16.4	-2.66
Rafer Alston	63	62	-0.11	-0.39	0.29	-0.22	4	-18	22	15.3	18.2	-2.89	15.5	16.0	-0.55
Brian Grant	38	41	-0.24	-0.26	0.03	0.03	-9	-5	-4	16.8	15.8	0.97	16.1	15.2	0.90
Loren Woods	41	38	-0.26	-0.24	-0.03	0.03	-10	-4	-6	15.5	16.8	-1.22	13.9	16.8	-2.93
Caron Butler	33	35	-0.37	-0.13	-0.23	0.07	-15	1	-16	17.2	15.6	1.60	16.3	15.2	1.12
Eddie Jones	71	70	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.03	-13	-1	-12	16.6	14.5	2.12	15.8	15.1	0.63
Lamar Odom	59	61	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	0.21	-24	10	-34	17.2	14.3	2.96	16.3	14.2	2.18
Dwyane Wade	66	68	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	-0.04	-16	2	-18	16.2	16.1	0.10	15.6	15.6	0.02

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Pau Gasol	48	45	0.48	0.02	0.45	-0.17	22	-8	30	16.1	15.1	1.06	18.0	14.4	3.64
Earl Watson	47	45	0.43	0.07	0.36	-0.13	19	-5	24	16.3	14.9	1.48	18.2	14.2	4.04
Shane Battier	48	47	0.29	0.21	0.08	0.06	8	6	2	15.1	16.3	-1.19	15.4	17.0	-1.62
Stromile Swift	48	47	0.29	0.21	0.08	0.06	8	6	2	15.1	16.3	-1.19	15.4	17.0	-1.62
Bonzi Wells	48	47	0.29	0.21	0.08	0.06	8	6	2	15.1	16.3	-1.19	15.4	17.0	-1.62
James Posey	43	43	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.03	6	8	-2	16.3	15.1	1.19	17.0	15.4	1.62
Lorenzen Wright	43	43	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.03	6	8	-2	16.3	15.1	1.19	17.0	15.4	1.62
Mike Miller	43	43	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.03	6	8	-2	16.3	15.1	1.19	17.0	15.4	1.62
Jason Williams	39	40	0.07	0.43	-0.36	0.04	1	13	-12	14.9	16.1	-1.19	14.4	17.6	-3.24
Bo Outlaw	38	40	0.02	0.48	-0.45	0.08	-2	16	-18	15.2	15.9	-0.76	14.6	17.5	-2.84
Jake Tsakalidis	5	5	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.18	-6	20	-26	14.2	15.7	-1.51	12.4	16.4	-4.02
Troy Bell	5	5	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.18	-6	20	-26	14.2	15.7	-1.51	12.4	16.4	-4.02

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.56,0.59,0.63,0.67,0.7,0.73,0.75,0.72,0.7,0.64,0.66,0.69,0.58,0.68,0.71,0.64,0.64,0.77,0.73,0.86,0.94,0.94,0.95,0.95,0.98,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
CHI 72, NJN 90	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.56,0.6,0.63,0.62,0.68,0.7,0.74,0.73,0.72,0.74,0.72,0.67,0.69,0.67,0.74,0.66,0.66,0.66,0.69,0.75,0.78,0.86,0.88,0.93,0.93,0.94,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.7%
SEA 83, ORL 96	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.5,0.5,0.58,0.57,0.64,0.66,0.69,0.69,0.7,0.7,0.74,0.64,0.64,0.65,0.61,0.63,0.64,0.64,0.66,0.72,0.7,0.82,0.86,0.9,0.9,0.88,0.88,0.91,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.96,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.6%
CHA 73, MIA 106	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.54,0.53,0.6,0.61,0.59,0.62,0.63,0.66,0.68,0.72,0.72,0.64,0.68,0.69,0.69,0.68,0.66,0.69,0.64,0.75,0.75,0.82,0.84,0.9,0.91,0.95,0.96,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.4%