NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Cleveland Cavaliers	123		Excitement	5.5 [763]		MVP	Jimmy Butler (MIN): +25.4%
Minnesota Timberwolves	131		Comeback	2.0 [988]		LVP	Kevin Love (CLE): -10.3%

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Collin Sexton	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.14,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.01	0.01	9	70%	0.09	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Tristan Thompson	0.05	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.07,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05	0.08	-0.01	0.02	9	78%	0.07	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Ante Zizic	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.01	3	70%	0.04	0	0.00	4	75%	0.01
Jordan Clarkson	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.00	-0.00	14	61%	0.09	3	-0.07	3	100%	0.02
Cedi Osman	0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0,0.01	0.05	-0.03	0.01	17	61%	0.06	3	-0.05	2	0%	-0.02
Sam Dekker	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	-0.00	3	62%	0.03	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Kyle Korver	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rodney Hood	-0.03	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	10	42%	-0.02	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.01
JR Smith	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
George Hill	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	0.01	7	44%	-0.02	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.00
Kevin Love	-0.10	0,0,-0.01,0,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.05,-0.04,-0.03,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1	0.02	-0.06	0.06	19	52%	-0.03	3	-0.07	10	100%	0.04

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jimmy Butler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.19,0.19,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.23,0.21,0.26,0.26,0.23,0.25	0.25	0.26	0.04	0.05	12	92%	0.30	2	-0.04	12	100%	0.06
Gorgui Dieng	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.11,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.06	0.05	-0.00	6	92%	0.15	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Derrick Rose	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.07	0.01	0.01	6	67%	0.07	0	0.00	6	100%	0.03
Tyus Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.05	0.01	-0.00	6	67%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Tolliver	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.03	0.02	-0.00	7	65%	0.09	1	-0.03	3	67%	0.02
Taj Gibson	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.01	-0.01	10	54%	0.05	2	-0.03	4	75%	0.00
Andrew Wiggins	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.05,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.01	21	47%	0.01	1	-0.03	5	100%	0.02
Karl-Anthony Towns	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	10	55%	0.03	4	-0.07	2	100%	0.00
Jeff Teague	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	9	43%	-0.02	1	-0.03	3	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.6	2.4	29.3	15.4	36.4	2.8	35.5	145.4
league avg	25.3	2.2	27.8	14.6	27.6	2.2	31.9	132.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIN +32.6%

MIN +10.8%

MIN +5.7%

MIN +1.1%

CLE -0.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CLE	MIN	NBA	CLE	MIN	NBA
this game	13.5	13.4	14.3	113.9	123.6	109.3
season	15.5	14.4		106.3	110.2
opponent	14.0	13.9		111.8	116.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CLE	14.3	13.8	14.4	11.6	13.5
MIN	14.0	12.3	12.7	14.5	13.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
George Hill	56	54	0.03	-0.53	0.57	-0.17	7	-15	22	13.3	13.8	-0.50	13.9	12.8	1.10
Cedi Osman	80	78	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.33	8	-16	24	12.7	15.9	-3.14	14.0	11.8	2.18
Kyle Korver	11	11	-0.17	-0.33	0.17	0.07	-8	0	-8	17.1	13.1	3.97	11.3	13.6	-2.36
JR Smith	7	8	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	0.07	-8	0	-8	18.0	13.2	4.78	10.2	13.6	-3.39
Rodney Hood	67	64	-0.18	-0.32	0.15	-0.12	-2	-6	4	13.7	13.3	0.34	13.3	13.5	-0.23
Ante Zizic	25	24	-0.21	-0.29	0.09	-0.00	-7	-1	-6	15.3	13.0	2.28	12.4	13.7	-1.25
Tristan Thompson	79	78	-0.21	-0.29	0.07	-0.30	3	-11	14	13.2	14.5	-1.35	14.0	11.6	2.42
Kevin Love	88	87	-0.24	-0.26	0.03	-0.33	3	-11	14	12.9	16.1	-3.16	13.7	11.8	1.95
Sam Dekker	20	20	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	0.06	-13	5	-18	15.4	13.1	2.30	11.9	13.7	-1.83
Jordan Clarkson	55	54	-0.42	-0.08	-0.33	-0.18	-8	0	-8	13.3	13.8	-0.56	13.1	13.7	-0.68
Collin Sexton	52	52	-0.53	0.03	-0.57	-0.09	-15	7	-22	13.8	13.3	0.50	12.8	13.9	-1.10

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Derrick Rose	51	51	0.55	-0.05	0.61	-0.03	20	-12	32	12.7	14.0	-1.27	14.8	12.4	2.38
Anthony Tolliver	44	45	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.00	15	-7	22	11.7	14.6	-2.91	15.6	12.0	3.55
Tyus Jones	39	40	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.02	10	-2	12	11.5	14.5	-2.96	14.5	12.9	1.62
Karl-Anthony Towns	76	77	0.28	0.22	0.05	0.22	2	6	-4	13.9	12.1	1.79	13.2	14.4	-1.25
Jimmy Butler	80	82	0.23	0.27	-0.03	0.32	-3	11	-14	13.6	12.8	0.77	13.4	13.9	-0.47
Gorgui Dieng	30	31	0.22	0.28	-0.05	0.05	6	2	4	12.1	13.9	-1.79	14.4	13.2	1.25
Andrew Wiggins	81	83	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.24	-1	9	-10	13.6	12.6	0.98	12.9	15.7	-2.85
Jeff Teague	68	69	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.19	0	8	-8	14.3	11.7	2.57	12.8	14.8	-1.94
Taj Gibson	61	62	0.06	0.44	-0.38	0.32	-9	17	-26	14.8	11.5	3.30	12.1	15.4	-3.25

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.53,0.48,0.4,0.38,0.37,0.39,0.35,0.4,0.46,0.54,0.59,0.6,0.69,0.63,0.7,0.79,0.79,0.81,0.86,0.92,0.89,0.91,0.89,0.91,0.95,0.95,0.94,0.95,0.94,0.9,0.83,0.84,0.83,0.85,0.92,0.86,0.91,0.91,0.92,0.92,0.9,0.81,0.95,0.92,0.98,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIL 83, TOR 90	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.44,0.4,0.41,0.45,0.49,0.43,0.49,0.56,0.65,0.66,0.72,0.62,0.65,0.69,0.76,0.77,0.73,0.81,0.83,0.86,0.93,0.88,0.9,0.89,0.93,0.94,0.92,0.95,0.92,0.93,0.89,0.85,0.87,0.87,0.85,0.89,0.95,0.96,0.91,0.78,0.9,0.96,0.99,0.96,1	94.4%
GSW 110, UTA 133	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.42,0.39,0.32,0.31,0.35,0.37,0.47,0.47,0.52,0.53,0.58,0.62,0.67,0.69,0.77,0.79,0.83,0.89,0.95,0.94,0.94,0.96,0.95,0.96,0.96,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.96,0.89,0.91,0.94,0.93,0.93,0.8,0.92,0.96,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	94.2%
MIL 83, CHI 92	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.45,0.46,0.46,0.41,0.41,0.43,0.45,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.58,0.65,0.63,0.68,0.73,0.82,0.85,0.86,0.9,0.92,0.9,0.9,0.89,0.96,0.94,0.9,0.91,0.85,0.88,0.89,0.87,0.93,0.88,0.95,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.95,0.89,0.95,1,1,1	94.1%