NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Golden State Warriors	110		Excitement	3.6 [1052]		MVP	Al Harrington (GSW): +17.5%
Utah Jazz	133		Comeback	2.2 [962]		LVP	Baron Davis (GSW): -10.0%

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Al Harrington	0.18	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.08,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.16,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.32	-0.00	0.14	20	88%	0.20	2	-0.03	3	67%	-0.00
Kelenna Azubuike	0.04	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.03	0.00	-0.01	10	68%	0.08	4	-0.04	5	60%	-0.01
Mickael Pietrus	0.02	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.08	0.00	0.06	4	112%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Patrick O'Bryant	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Monta Ellis	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.06,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.05	0.01	-0.02	10	42%	0.01	2	-0.03	6	83%	0.01
Andris Biedrins	-0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	0.01	10	64%	0.01	4	-0.04	2	100%	-0.00
Matt Barnes	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.02	-0.02	7	37%	-0.01	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Marco Belinelli	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.08	-0.01	-0.03	6	17%	-0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Baron Davis	-0.10	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.09	-0.00	0.01	11	39%	-0.09	3	-0.01	6	67%	-0.01

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Deron Williams	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.17	0.02	0.05	17	83%	0.18	4	-0.04	2	0%	-0.03
Mehmet Okur	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.12	0.24	0.00	0.13	12	85%	0.11	0	0.00	9	78%	-0.01
Ronnie Brewer	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.12	0.00	0.04	14	66%	0.09	0	0.00	1	100%	-0.00
Gordan Giricek	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.08	0.01	0.01	6	100%	0.12	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Jason Hart	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.01	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Matt Harpring	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	-0.00	-0.03	9	50%	0.03	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Jarron Collins	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
CJ Miles	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	0	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Paul Millsap	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.02	-0.00	0.02	0	67%	-0.00	0	0.00	6	67%	-0.02
Ronnie Price	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.01
Andrei Kirilenko	0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.03	-0.00	0.05	10	68%	0.04	3	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Carlos Boozer	0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.07	-0.00	-0.01	10	55%	0.02	5	-0.08	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.0	1.5	33.2	14.7	26.2	2.5	29.5	132.6
league avg	27.9	2.4	30.0	16.2	26.6	2.4	33.3	140.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +38.6%

GSW -2.7%

UTA +13.5%

UTA +1.5%

GSW -0.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	GSW	UTA	NBA	GSW	UTA	NBA
this game	13.1	15.3	15.4	110.0	129.1	105.7
season	13.5	15.5		109.8	111.2
opponent	15.0	15.1		105.0	107.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
GSW	13.8	13.0	12.5	13.0	13.1
UTA	14.5	12.3	19.3	15.8	15.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mickael Pietrus	51	54	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	0.15	-10	-13	3	13.0	13.2	-0.22	14.0	16.6	-2.59
Al Harrington	77	77	-0.20	-0.30	0.11	0.13	-11	-12	1	13.7	11.0	2.77	16.3	12.3	3.99
Marco Belinelli	35	34	-0.22	-0.28	0.05	-0.02	-7	-16	9	12.7	13.3	-0.58	14.7	15.5	-0.82
Kelenna Azubuike	67	72	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	0.22	-16	-7	-9	12.7	13.9	-1.22	15.3	15.0	0.31
Baron Davis	60	60	-0.26	-0.24	-0.01	0.15	-14	-9	-5	13.3	12.8	0.53	15.5	14.9	0.59
Andris Biedrins	79	80	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	0.16	-16	-7	-9	13.1	13.0	0.17	15.8	13.3	2.45
Patrick O'Bryant	28	31	-0.32	-0.18	-0.15	0.06	-13	-10	-3	12.5	13.3	-0.87	13.3	16.1	-2.81
Matt Barnes	44	45	-0.36	-0.14	-0.23	-0.13	-8	-15	7	13.6	12.7	0.94	15.1	15.4	-0.29
Monta Ellis	59	62	-0.43	-0.07	-0.37	0.15	-20	-3	-17	12.7	13.7	-1.00	15.4	15.0	0.42

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Gordan Giricek	41	39	0.45	0.05	0.39	0.01	15	8	7	14.0	16.1	-2.16	13.4	12.9	0.48
Andrei Kirilenko	75	72	0.42	0.08	0.34	-0.26	23	0	23	14.6	16.9	-2.25	13.1	13.1	-0.07
Deron Williams	77	76	0.35	0.15	0.19	-0.18	18	5	13	15.3	15.2	0.13	13.4	12.0	1.43
Mehmet Okur	74	72	0.33	0.17	0.17	-0.19	18	5	13	16.1	13.0	3.14	13.0	13.4	-0.42
Paul Millsap	30	27	0.28	0.22	0.06	-0.04	11	12	-1	12.8	16.3	-3.51	13.0	13.1	-0.12
Carlos Boozer	86	86	0.28	0.22	0.05	-0.11	13	10	3	16.1	10.8	5.37	13.5	10.8	2.68
Matt Harpring	35	33	0.19	0.31	-0.13	0.10	3	20	-17	15.7	15.0	0.66	13.4	12.9	0.50
Jason Hart	23	21	0.16	0.34	-0.18	0.04	4	19	-15	15.9	15.1	0.79	13.0	13.1	-0.11
Ronnie Brewer	62	61	0.05	0.45	-0.39	-0.18	8	15	-7	16.1	14.0	2.16	12.9	13.4	-0.48
Ronnie Price	7	8	0.01	0.49	-0.48	0.01	0	23	-23	11.7	15.5	-3.80	10.6	13.3	-2.68
Jarron Collins	2	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.03	1	22	-21	9.5	15.4	-5.87	7.5	13.2	-5.70
CJ Miles	3	3	-0.01	0.51	-0.51	-0.04	1	22	-21	9.7	15.4	-5.75	5.0	13.3	-8.34

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.42,0.39,0.32,0.31,0.35,0.37,0.47,0.47,0.52,0.53,0.58,0.62,0.67,0.69,0.77,0.79,0.83,0.89,0.95,0.94,0.94,0.96,0.95,0.96,0.96,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.96,0.89,0.91,0.94,0.93,0.93,0.8,0.92,0.96,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
ATL 87, ORL 103	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.42,0.39,0.37,0.37,0.32,0.32,0.33,0.38,0.4,0.5,0.51,0.58,0.64,0.71,0.73,0.79,0.83,0.87,0.9,0.9,0.93,0.94,0.95,0.91,0.94,0.96,0.98,0.96,0.97,0.96,0.97,0.95,0.93,0.97,0.95,0.96,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.8%
SAC 100, BOS 119	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.45,0.41,0.4,0.37,0.33,0.39,0.43,0.38,0.4,0.46,0.51,0.6,0.6,0.69,0.67,0.72,0.79,0.78,0.8,0.83,0.87,0.94,0.92,0.95,0.94,0.96,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.94,0.91,0.95,0.96,0.94,0.99,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.3%
DEN 93, NYK 109	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.47,0.48,0.46,0.4,0.41,0.41,0.41,0.39,0.42,0.47,0.5,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.56,0.6,0.7,0.75,0.8,0.89,0.92,0.96,0.97,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.92,0.95,0.97,0.95,0.96,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.2%