NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Atlanta Hawks	87		Excitement	2.8 [1169]		MVP	Chris Gatling (ORL): +7.5%
Orlando Magic	103		Comeback	2.3 [657]		LVP	Isaiah Rider (ATL): -12.9%

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Bimbo Coles	0.02	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	10	57%	0.03	1	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01
Dikembe Mutombo	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.01	2	75%	0.01	1	-0.00	8	87%	-0.00
Lorenzen Wright	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
LaPhonso Ellis	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	0.00	0.01	3	69%	0.01	0	0.00	7	71%	-0.00
Cal Bowdler	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Crawford	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	2	67%	-0.00	1	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Jason Terry	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.09	-0.01	-0.07	6	36%	-0.03	3	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Alan Henderson	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.02	-0.00	0.03	9	55%	-0.01	2	-0.03	4	75%	-0.01
Jim Jackson	-0.05	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.10	0.00	-0.05	21	35%	-0.04	1	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01
Anthony Johnson	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.10	0.00	-0.03	5	21%	-0.05	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.00
Isaiah Rider	-0.13	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.19	-0.00	-0.06	18	26%	-0.11	2	-0.02	3	67%	-0.01

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chris Gatling	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.08	0.00	0.01	14	61%	0.08	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01
Monty Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.02	0.00	-0.04	7	65%	0.05	1	0.00	6	83%	0.01
Michael Doleac	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.01	-0.00	4	75%	0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Bo Outlaw	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	0.00	0.01	4	70%	0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Chucky Atkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.04	7	50%	0.02	1	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Darrell Armstrong	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.04	0.00	-0.06	14	50%	0.05	3	-0.04	4	100%	0.01
Corey Maggette	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.03	0.00	0.03	5	75%	0.03	1	-0.02	14	71%	-0.03
Derek Strong	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	1	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Pat Garrity	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	0.00	-0.02	7	31%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Ben Wallace	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.06	0.00	-0.02	4	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tariq Abdul-Wahad	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	0.00	0.00	8	50%	-0.01	3	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
John Amaechi	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.08	0.00	-0.03	5	18%	-0.04	1	-0.02	1	0%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.7	2.4	32.9	16.0	30.2	1.7	33.3	139.1
league avg	26.0	2.2	28.8	16.5	26.3	2.2	33.7	137.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ORL +35.7%

ORL +3.5%

ORL +12.3%

ATL -3.7%

ORL +2.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ATL	ORL	NBA	ATL	ORL	NBA
this game	16.2	13.8	15.2	90.6	107.3	101.7
season	15.4	13.6		99.3	100.4
opponent	15.4	15.2		99.3	105.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ATL	16.2	15.8	19.5	14.1	16.2
ORL	16.5	10.9	14.8	13.6	13.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Cal Bowdler	11	12	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.06	2	-18	20	11.4	16.9	-5.51	14.8	13.6	1.23
Bimbo Coles	55	54	-0.08	-0.42	0.33	-0.14	2	-18	20	16.8	15.5	1.31	14.7	12.6	2.11
Chris Crawford	13	13	-0.11	-0.39	0.29	-0.08	-1	-15	14	12.5	16.8	-4.37	12.5	14.0	-1.41
Jim Jackson	57	56	-0.11	-0.39	0.27	0.00	-4	-12	8	18.1	13.6	4.51	14.6	12.6	1.95
Anthony Johnson	25	26	-0.12	-0.38	0.27	-0.12	0	-16	16	18.3	15.5	2.81	13.7	13.8	-0.09
Lorenzen Wright	25	26	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	0.08	-9	-7	-2	14.8	16.7	-1.89	12.1	14.4	-2.31
Alan Henderson	71	69	-0.24	-0.26	0.03	-0.18	-2	-14	12	16.8	14.7	2.11	14.3	12.5	1.78
Dikembe Mutombo	74	73	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	0.01	-12	-4	-8	16.8	14.2	2.61	14.2	12.4	1.80
Isaiah Rider	62	61	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	0.16	-17	1	-18	16.0	16.6	-0.54	14.0	13.4	0.61
Jason Terry	33	34	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	0.02	-14	-2	-12	14.8	17.0	-2.26	12.9	14.2	-1.31
LaPhonso Ellis	40	41	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	0.22	-23	7	-30	15.7	16.6	-0.97	12.1	15.0	-2.82

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chris Gatling	61	62	0.65	-0.15	0.80	-0.29	32	-16	48	13.0	15.1	-2.13	17.1	14.7	2.42
Michael Doleac	34	34	0.52	-0.02	0.54	-0.16	23	-7	30	12.6	14.4	-1.72	19.0	14.7	4.27
Monty Williams	48	48	0.44	0.06	0.38	-0.09	18	-2	20	12.2	15.3	-3.10	15.4	17.1	-1.77
Chucky Atkins	46	48	0.43	0.07	0.36	-0.07	17	-1	18	12.5	14.9	-2.34	15.1	17.3	-2.19
Corey Maggette	48	48	0.34	0.16	0.17	-0.04	13	3	10	13.0	14.5	-1.52	14.4	18.1	-3.77
Tariq Abdul-Wahad	48	48	0.16	0.34	-0.17	0.08	3	13	-10	14.5	13.0	1.52	18.1	14.4	3.77
Pat Garrity	41	40	0.09	0.41	-0.32	0.09	0	16	-16	13.9	13.7	0.16	14.0	17.8	-3.80
Darrell Armstrong	50	48	0.07	0.43	-0.36	0.10	-1	17	-18	14.9	12.5	2.34	17.3	15.1	2.19
Bo Outlaw	48	48	0.06	0.44	-0.38	0.12	-2	18	-20	15.3	12.2	3.10	17.1	15.4	1.77
Derek Strong	8	8	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.12	-4	20	-24	13.0	13.8	-0.83	9.7	16.8	-7.08
John Amaechi	21	22	-0.11	0.61	-0.72	0.10	-7	23	-30	15.4	13.3	2.07	16.0	16.3	-0.31
Ben Wallace	27	26	-0.15	0.65	-0.80	0.20	-12	28	-40	15.7	13.0	2.76	16.2	16.3	-0.06

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.42,0.39,0.37,0.37,0.32,0.32,0.33,0.38,0.4,0.5,0.51,0.58,0.64,0.71,0.73,0.79,0.83,0.87,0.9,0.9,0.93,0.94,0.95,0.91,0.94,0.96,0.98,0.96,0.97,0.96,0.97,0.95,0.93,0.97,0.95,0.96,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
OKC 96, GSW 122	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.43,0.36,0.34,0.35,0.37,0.35,0.31,0.32,0.38,0.48,0.56,0.62,0.64,0.71,0.67,0.72,0.81,0.87,0.87,0.9,0.95,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.8%
SAC 100, BOS 119	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.45,0.41,0.4,0.37,0.33,0.39,0.43,0.38,0.4,0.46,0.51,0.6,0.6,0.69,0.67,0.72,0.79,0.78,0.8,0.83,0.87,0.94,0.92,0.95,0.94,0.96,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.94,0.91,0.95,0.96,0.94,0.99,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.4%
DAL 78, CHI 101	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.48,0.48,0.51,0.44,0.45,0.43,0.35,0.4,0.38,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.58,0.62,0.67,0.74,0.82,0.83,0.88,0.89,0.88,0.9,0.9,0.93,0.95,0.94,0.97,0.93,0.91,0.93,0.95,0.94,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.9%