inpredictable
Powered by Blogger.
NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Dallas Mavericks 78 Excitement2.8 [1227] MVPNate Robinson (CHI): +11.6%
Chicago Bulls 101 Comeback1.9 [899] LVPO.J. Mayo (DAL): -10.5%


Dallas Mavericks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Troy Murphy0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.060.000.02387%0.0500.002100%0.00
Shawn Marion0.040,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.070.000.031169%0.082-0.034100%0.01
Bernard James0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.000.00-0.00050%0.0000.00250%0.00
Jared Cunningham0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.020.00-0.02633%0.0000.0000%0.00
Elton Brand-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.030.00-0.03440%-0.0010.002100%0.00
Dominique Jones-0.000,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.000.00-0.00950%0.011-0.012100%0.00
Vince Carter-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.01-0.00-0.011045%-0.001-0.002100%0.01
Dahntay Jones-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.000.01150%-0.0100.002100%0.00
Rodrigue Beaubois-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.060.00-0.03737%0.022-0.04250%0.00
Jae Crowder-0.060,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.10-0.00-0.04714%-0.041-0.0300%0.00
Chris Kaman-0.080,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.14-0.00-0.071433%-0.034-0.042100%-0.00
O.J. Mayo-0.100,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.11-0.00-0.01922%-0.062-0.0400%0.00

Chicago Bulls
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Nate Robinson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.120.120.110.01-0.006100%0.122-0.002100%0.01
Marco Belinelli0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.060.010.01573%0.061-0.005100%0.02
Luol Deng0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.040.00-0.011755%0.062-0.01683%0.02
Jimmy Butler0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.070.000.03472%0.0410.001090%0.02
Kirk Hinrich0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.01-0.00-0.01460%0.041-0.03250%-0.01
Taj Gibson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.060.00-0.06940%0.032-0.032100%0.00
Vladimir Radmanovic0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.020.000.021100%0.0000.0000%0.00
Marquis Teague0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.020.00-0.0200%0.0010.0000%0.00
Joakim Noah0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.000.01-0.000.02959%0.032-0.03475%-0.01
Nazr Mohammed0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.030.00-0.02325%-0.0100.0020%0.00
Carlos Boozer0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.05-0.00-0.02743%0.012-0.0400%0.00
Richard Hamilton0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.10-0.00-0.04450%0.015-0.0700%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game24.42.731.014.825.42.436.7137.3
league avg24.82.329.514.026.82.333.1134.3
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
CHI +29.3%
CHI +7.3%
CHI +11.9%
DAL -2.5%
CHI +4.0%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsDALCHINBADALCHINBA
this game14.316.715.483.9108.6104.1
season14.516.6104.3101.7
opponent15.215.6102.3105.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
DAL14.016.013.313.914.3
CHI16.017.618.015.516.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Jared Cunningham890.00-0.500.50-0.031-242512.614.4-1.8113.417.0-3.59
Bernard James2019-0.02-0.480.470.04-2-211912.614.7-2.0816.116.9-0.80
Jae Crowder4851-0.11-0.390.280.10-7-16914.214.3-0.0617.216.11.04
Troy Murphy3433-0.13-0.370.240.14-9-14515.413.71.6916.716.70.01
Dahntay Jones2727-0.19-0.310.120.02-7-16914.114.3-0.1916.416.8-0.45
Dominique Jones4748-0.20-0.300.100.09-10-13314.214.4-0.1817.116.20.95
Elton Brand4645-0.23-0.270.050.04-9-14515.013.61.4717.316.11.16
Shawn Marion4546-0.26-0.24-0.03-0.06-7-16914.114.5-0.4116.217.1-0.93
Rodrigue Beaubois4645-0.30-0.20-0.100.08-13-10-314.414.20.1816.217.1-0.95
O.J. Mayo6767-0.31-0.19-0.120.16-16-7-914.114.7-0.5216.916.20.74
Chris Kaman4143-0.37-0.13-0.230.19-19-4-1513.614.8-1.2416.816.60.28
Vince Carter3632-0.39-0.11-0.280.11-17-6-1115.113.81.2716.716.7-0.00

Chicago Bulls
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Taj Gibson48510.61-0.110.72-0.4235-124717.615.71.8915.512.82.77
Jimmy Butler51520.59-0.090.69-0.4034-114517.016.30.6914.613.90.72
Nate Robinson37380.450.050.40-0.3126-32918.515.53.0315.713.32.33
Marco Belinelli31300.350.150.20-0.181851316.716.7-0.0215.713.62.10
Nazr Mohammed25220.280.220.05-0.13149515.817.0-1.2114.814.10.71
Joakim Noah66680.220.28-0.060.02716-916.916.10.8714.214.4-0.16
Luol Deng67700.170.33-0.17-0.04716-916.916.20.6914.015.0-1.01
Kirk Hinrich47470.050.45-0.400.11-225-2715.917.5-1.6513.415.1-1.68
Vladimir Radmanovic650.000.50-0.500.03-124-2513.216.9-3.7611.614.4-2.83
Marquis Teague980.000.50-0.500.03-124-2513.417.0-3.5912.614.4-1.81
Richard Hamilton3937-0.110.61-0.720.21-1134-4516.117.1-1.0112.915.2-2.26
Carlos Boozer3937-0.110.61-0.720.21-1134-4516.117.1-1.0112.915.2-2.26


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.46,0.48,0.48,0.51,0.44,0.45,0.43,0.35,0.4,0.38,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.58,0.62,0.67,0.74,0.82,0.83,0.88,0.89,0.88,0.9,0.9,0.93,0.95,0.94,0.97,0.93,0.91,0.93,0.95,0.94,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
MIN 85, PHX 1010.5,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.5,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.53,0.54,0.6,0.58,0.64,0.73,0.76,0.8,0.88,0.92,0.92,0.93,0.94,0.95,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,196.1%
PHI 72, SAS 1050.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.5,0.5,0.49,0.47,0.43,0.37,0.37,0.4,0.41,0.5,0.58,0.58,0.56,0.65,0.69,0.77,0.73,0.76,0.82,0.87,0.92,0.94,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,196.0%
DEN 91, UTA 1020.5,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.44,0.41,0.47,0.45,0.44,0.42,0.47,0.46,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.58,0.65,0.76,0.79,0.85,0.83,0.87,0.83,0.88,0.91,0.94,0.96,0.94,0.93,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.97,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.96,0.99,1,1,1,1,195.9%