inpredictable
Powered by Blogger.
NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Philadelphia 76ers 72 Excitement2.5 [1259] MVPTim Duncan (SAS): +9.3%
San Antonio Spurs 105 Comeback1.7 [902] LVPAllen Iverson (PHI): -10.9%


Philadelphia 76ers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Willie Green0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01-0.090.00-0.111231%0.0110.002100%0.00
Corliss Williamson0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.000.00-0.002100%0.052-0.0400%0.00
Brian Skinner0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.020.000.022100%0.001-0.0000%0.00
Aaron McKie0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Kenny Thomas-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.140.00-0.13714%-0.0030.0000%0.00
Andre Iguodala-0.000,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.040.00-0.03440%-0.001-0.002100%0.00
Marc Jackson-0.010,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.010.030.000.031456%0.001-0.014100%0.01
Kyle Korver-0.010,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.010.00-0.000.01850%-0.011-0.0000%0.00
Josh Davis-0.040,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.05-0.01-0.02437%-0.012-0.0300%0.00
John Salmons-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.06-0.01-0.02542%0.012-0.05250%-0.00
Samuel Dalembert-0.090,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.09-0.01-0.01517%-0.071-0.022100%-0.00
Allen Iverson-0.110,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.12-0.01-0.021738%-0.073-0.04367%-0.01

San Antonio Spurs
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Tim Duncan0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.090.080.00-0.011283%0.154-0.06580%0.01
Devin Brown0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.090.120.020.051475%0.092-0.004100%0.01
Beno Udrih0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.080.010.045100%0.081-0.0200%0.00
Tony Parker0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.07-0.000.06974%0.011-0.001100%0.00
Mike Wilks0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.040.00-0.0410%0.0010.0000%0.00
Robert Horry0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.020.000.03470%-0.0110.00250%-0.01
Rasho Nesterovic0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.03-0.00-0.01425%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Manu Ginobili0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.090.00-0.07648%-0.012-0.001164%-0.01
Tony Massenburg0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.030.01-0.000.03262%-0.0300.00475%-0.01
Brent Barry0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.060.00-0.04520%-0.011-0.0200%0.00
Malik Rose0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.030.00-0.00643%-0.031-0.002100%0.01
Bruce Bowen0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.130.00-0.0840%-0.023-0.0200%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game27.81.827.217.323.62.325.3125.3
league avg51.62.428.612.725.12.130.4153.9
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
SAS +29.8%
SAS +6.9%
SAS +8.6%
SAS +2.2%
SAS +2.5%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsPHISASNBAPHISASNBA
this game14.715.615.575.8110.5104.0
season13.916.3101.1105.8
opponent15.615.898.4101.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
PHI14.417.514.013.214.7
SAS16.314.516.015.615.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Brian Skinner1515-0.00-0.500.49-0.186-394512.115.2-3.0716.915.41.50
Aaron McKie43-0.06-0.440.390.00-2-312911.214.9-3.6216.015.60.41
Kenny Thomas4040-0.07-0.430.360.22-10-231313.615.5-1.8415.615.6-0.00
Corliss Williamson1515-0.13-0.370.240.05-6-272114.314.8-0.5315.915.50.40
Josh Davis3131-0.16-0.340.180.22-13-20715.714.21.4316.015.40.59
Willie Green5050-0.19-0.310.130.20-13-20713.316.3-2.9915.515.7-0.21
Marc Jackson3838-0.21-0.290.080.20-14-19516.613.53.0614.716.2-1.48
John Salmons6261-0.27-0.23-0.030.32-20-13-714.515.2-0.6715.216.3-1.08
Andre Iguodala5657-0.31-0.19-0.120.39-24-9-1514.614.8-0.2215.515.8-0.32
Allen Iverson6261-0.32-0.18-0.140.15-16-17115.513.32.2115.915.00.89
Kyle Korver5153-0.36-0.14-0.220.34-24-9-1515.813.42.3915.915.20.65
Samuel Dalembert5151-0.43-0.07-0.350.42-29-4-2514.515.0-0.4915.515.7-0.11

San Antonio Spurs
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Rasho Nesterovic56530.420.080.34-0.372762115.615.6-0.0314.515.0-0.42
Manu Ginobili45450.360.140.21-0.2922111115.116.1-1.0116.213.32.90
Tim Duncan48470.340.160.18-0.161716115.515.7-0.1216.213.32.92
Beno Udrih33330.320.180.14-0.091419-514.816.0-1.2015.214.50.76
Devin Brown59600.310.190.12-0.272013715.715.40.3413.916.2-2.30
Bruce Bowen47460.250.250.01-0.101221-915.915.40.5015.314.11.18
Tony Parker47470.180.32-0.14-0.09924-1516.315.01.3015.414.11.28
Robert Horry20190.180.32-0.14-0.381914514.315.9-1.5815.314.60.68
Malik Rose37390.140.36-0.220.05330-2716.215.20.9713.615.5-1.87
Brent Barry39390.080.42-0.34-0.271221-915.715.50.2013.515.5-2.00
Mike Wilks15150.000.50-0.50-0.291023-1315.315.7-0.4011.615.3-3.70
Tony Massenburg2932-0.080.58-0.66-0.08033-3315.815.50.3313.915.1-1.27


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.5,0.5,0.49,0.47,0.43,0.37,0.37,0.4,0.41,0.5,0.58,0.58,0.56,0.65,0.69,0.77,0.73,0.76,0.82,0.87,0.92,0.94,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
SEA 85, SAS 1120.5,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.47,0.51,0.45,0.38,0.42,0.46,0.4,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.69,0.72,0.7,0.81,0.8,0.86,0.87,0.88,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,196.6%
LAL 72, DAL 980.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.46,0.45,0.43,0.43,0.39,0.43,0.42,0.51,0.5,0.56,0.62,0.55,0.58,0.65,0.68,0.77,0.82,0.81,0.82,0.82,0.88,0.91,0.93,0.93,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,196.4%
OKC 95, POR 1140.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.46,0.41,0.4,0.4,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.38,0.4,0.52,0.53,0.6,0.66,0.73,0.76,0.77,0.7,0.71,0.77,0.85,0.89,0.9,0.91,0.94,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,196.3%