NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Milwaukee Bucks	83		Excitement	4.1 [1054]		MVP	Kurt Thomas (CHI): +14.8%
Chicago Bulls	92		Comeback	1.6 [1068]		LVP	Earl Boykins (MIL): -9.8%

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chris Douglas-Roberts	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.06,0.08,0.09,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.13	-0.01	0.06	21	64%	0.10	2	-0.04	5	80%	-0.00
Luc Mbah a Moute	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.06	-0.01	0.01	5	73%	0.05	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Keyon Dooling	-0.02	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.06	-0.02	0.05	7	87%	0.04	3	-0.07	1	100%	0.00
Andrew Bogut	-0.02	0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.05	-0.00	-0.03	11	36%	-0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Larry Sanders	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	-0.00	-0.01	3	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ersan Ilyasova	-0.06	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	0.01	-0.01	0.05	16	53%	-0.01	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Carlos Delfino	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	-0.01	5	25%	-0.05	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.00
Corey Maggette	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.00	-0.00	4	40%	-0.02	3	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Earl Boykins	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.08	-0.01	0.00	4	0%	-0.07	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kurt Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.12	0.02	-0.00	16	65%	0.15	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
CJ Watson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.04	-0.01	0.02	7	57%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Taj Gibson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	-0.00	5	60%	0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Luol Deng	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.01	-0.02	8	50%	0.05	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Carlos Boozer	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	-0.00	10	50%	0.01	1	-0.01	8	75%	-0.00
Omer Asik	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Korver	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	-0.00	-0.02	11	35%	-0.02	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.02
Ronnie Brewer	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	6	29%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Derrick Rose	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0,0.01,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	0.03	16	50%	-0.00	3	-0.03	10	100%	0.03
Keith Bogans	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	-0.00	-0.02	2	0%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.9	2.3	26.0	16.0	24.4	2.4	30.2	125.2
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.4	27.2	2.4	33.9	140.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHI +9.8%

CHI +8.7%

CHI +11.9%

CHI +17.4%

CHI +2.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIL	CHI	NBA	MIL	CHI	NBA
this game	16.2	16.7	15.5	94.3	105.7	105.7
season	16.2	15.7		100.1	106.5
opponent	15.9	15.4		99.2	100.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIL	17.0	17.0	15.0	15.8	16.2
CHI	16.5	15.7	17.7	16.9	16.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Corey Maggette	37	37	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.10	3	-12	15	15.2	16.9	-1.68	16.9	16.6	0.33
Larry Sanders	18	17	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	0.03	-7	-2	-5	14.4	16.7	-2.30	16.9	16.7	0.23
Earl Boykins	22	21	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	0.04	-9	0	-9	15.8	16.3	-0.53	17.5	16.4	1.08
Luc Mbah a Moute	27	28	-0.22	-0.28	0.05	-0.11	-4	-5	1	17.4	15.7	1.72	17.8	16.2	1.65
Ersan Ilyasova	61	59	-0.28	-0.22	-0.05	-0.13	-5	-4	-1	15.7	17.4	-1.72	16.2	17.8	-1.65
Keyon Dooling	69	68	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	-0.25	-2	-7	5	16.4	15.4	1.08	16.7	16.8	-0.18
Andrew Bogut	70	70	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.27	-2	-7	5	16.7	14.4	2.30	16.7	16.9	-0.23
Chris Douglas-Roberts	80	80	-0.41	-0.09	-0.33	-0.24	-6	-3	-3	16.2	16.0	0.24	16.3	21.6	-5.30
Carlos Delfino	56	55	-0.55	0.05	-0.60	-0.17	-13	4	-17	16.7	15.4	1.32	16.9	16.3	0.61

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kyle Korver	36	36	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.04	14	-5	19	16.2	17.0	-0.77	16.5	16.0	0.43
Ronnie Brewer	38	39	0.33	0.17	0.15	0.09	8	1	7	18.5	15.3	3.19	16.1	16.3	-0.20
Luol Deng	50	52	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.09	8	1	7	15.8	17.9	-2.12	16.7	15.5	1.26
Kurt Thomas	81	81	0.30	0.20	0.09	0.30	0	9	-9	16.8	15.3	1.47	15.8	21.1	-5.35
CJ Watson	18	19	0.27	0.23	0.05	0.01	9	0	9	17.3	16.5	0.80	19.4	15.3	4.02
Taj Gibson	33	34	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.06	7	2	5	18.2	15.8	2.34	16.4	16.1	0.37
Carlos Boozer	54	54	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.18	2	7	-5	15.8	18.2	-2.34	16.1	16.4	-0.37
Derrick Rose	69	69	0.23	0.27	-0.05	0.23	0	9	-9	16.5	17.3	-0.80	15.3	19.4	-4.02
Omer Asik	6	7	0.20	0.30	-0.09	-0.06	9	0	9	15.3	16.8	-1.47	21.1	15.8	5.35
Keith Bogans	28	27	-0.07	0.57	-0.65	0.10	-6	15	-21	15.7	17.2	-1.51	16.0	16.3	-0.31

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.45,0.46,0.46,0.41,0.41,0.43,0.45,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.58,0.65,0.63,0.68,0.73,0.82,0.85,0.86,0.9,0.92,0.9,0.9,0.89,0.96,0.94,0.9,0.91,0.85,0.88,0.89,0.87,0.93,0.88,0.95,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.95,0.89,0.95,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
DAL 99, IND 111	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.41,0.4,0.47,0.37,0.43,0.42,0.47,0.49,0.52,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.58,0.64,0.63,0.66,0.73,0.85,0.87,0.89,0.91,0.86,0.88,0.86,0.85,0.92,0.97,0.91,0.84,0.92,0.94,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.95,0.9,0.93,0.97,0.97,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.8%
NOH 90, MIA 106	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.46,0.48,0.45,0.39,0.4,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.48,0.38,0.49,0.55,0.6,0.58,0.65,0.77,0.78,0.83,0.85,0.86,0.91,0.91,0.91,0.87,0.93,0.95,0.95,0.93,0.88,0.83,0.95,0.95,0.95,0.93,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.96,0.97,0.95,0.95,0.99,1,1,1	95.6%
HOU 72, DAL 88	0.5,0.51,0.45,0.48,0.48,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.42,0.51,0.5,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.56,0.58,0.68,0.71,0.71,0.81,0.81,0.88,0.91,0.92,0.94,0.9,0.91,0.95,0.92,0.95,0.95,0.94,0.92,0.93,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.5%