NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Houston Rockets	72		Excitement	3.2 [1164]		MVP	Josh Powell (DAL): +5.6%
Dallas Mavericks	88		Comeback	1.6 [951]		LVP	Yao Ming (HOU): -10.5%

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Stromile Swift	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	0.00	0.01	8	62%	0.04	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Ryan Bowen	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	0.00	0.01	1	100%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dikembe Mutombo	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rick Brunson	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	2	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Charles Hayes	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	0	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Juwan Howard	-0.02	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.05	-0.00	-0.03	8	50%	0.02	3	-0.04	6	50%	-0.03
Richie Frahm	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	-0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Keith Bogans	-0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	-0.00	-0.01	6	37%	-0.01	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.00
Luther Head	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.02	-0.02	0.02	10	62%	0.05	5	-0.10	6	100%	0.02
Rafer Alston	-0.07	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	-0.00	10	54%	0.01	5	-0.08	4	75%	0.01
Yao Ming	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.04	-0.02	0.04	15	41%	-0.08	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Josh Powell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.01	0.00	-0.04	6	50%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dirk Nowitzki	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.00	-0.00	21	55%	0.07	3	-0.02	9	78%	-0.01
DeSagana Diop	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.06	0.00	0.02	2	100%	0.04	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Jason Terry	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.01	0.00	-0.05	12	50%	0.06	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Darrell Armstrong	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Erick Dampier	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	0.01	-0.01	8	45%	0.01	1	-0.01	4	75%	0.00
Marquis Daniels	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.04	-0.00	-0.04	8	44%	0.03	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Jerry Stackhouse	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	11	50%	0.01	2	-0.02	10	90%	0.01
Rawle Marshall	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.01	4	40%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
DJ Mbenga	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.04	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	-0.01	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.3	3.7	31.3	18.7	30.5	3.6	30.4	146.5
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DAL +11.1%

DAL +8.8%

DAL +9.8%

DAL +17.7%

DAL +2.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	HOU	DAL	NBA	HOU	DAL	NBA
this game	17.1	17.2	15.6	85.7	104.8	104.4
season	16.1	16.4		99.9	109.0
opponent	15.6	16.1		102.9	101.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
HOU	16.8	18.0	15.4	18.2	17.1
DAL	17.5	14.0	18.9	18.7	17.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Charles Hayes	4	4	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.09	3	-19	22	19.0	17.0	2.01	29.0	16.6	12.39
Rick Brunson	13	12	-0.07	-0.43	0.35	-0.04	-1	-15	14	18.0	16.9	1.08	18.2	17.0	1.22
Richie Frahm	13	13	-0.10	-0.40	0.31	0.02	-4	-12	8	19.8	16.6	3.18	17.1	17.2	-0.15
Ryan Bowen	7	8	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	0.02	-5	-11	6	18.7	16.9	1.78	12.7	17.7	-4.92
Dikembe Mutombo	9	7	-0.14	-0.36	0.21	0.09	-8	-8	0	15.2	17.3	-2.08	15.9	17.3	-1.47
Stromile Swift	30	30	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	0.03	-8	-8	0	18.4	16.4	2.00	16.4	17.7	-1.30
Juwan Howard	57	58	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	0.02	-11	-5	-6	16.5	18.3	-1.84	17.3	17.0	0.29
Yao Ming	68	69	-0.35	-0.15	-0.21	-0.12	-8	-8	0	17.1	16.8	0.33	16.9	18.4	-1.46
Keith Bogans	70	68	-0.37	-0.13	-0.23	-0.04	-11	-5	-6	16.7	18.8	-2.04	17.3	16.7	0.64
Luther Head	78	79	-0.41	-0.09	-0.31	-0.05	-12	-4	-8	16.8	20.8	-4.04	17.6	11.4	6.17
Rafer Alston	71	72	-0.43	-0.07	-0.35	0.01	-15	-1	-14	16.9	18.0	-1.08	17.0	18.2	-1.22

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Marquis Daniels	69	69	0.48	0.02	0.45	0.01	16	0	16	17.1	17.6	-0.48	17.7	14.2	3.51
Jason Terry	70	69	0.42	0.08	0.34	-0.14	19	-3	22	16.6	20.1	-3.44	16.9	17.8	-0.87
Dirk Nowitzki	64	64	0.38	0.12	0.27	0.03	12	4	8	17.2	17.3	-0.13	16.9	17.7	-0.81
Josh Powell	40	39	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.08	10	6	4	16.2	18.1	-1.91	18.1	16.2	1.81
Jerry Stackhouse	47	48	0.35	0.15	0.19	-0.04	13	3	10	17.2	17.2	-0.02	16.3	18.2	-1.90
DeSagana Diop	32	31	0.28	0.22	0.07	0.05	8	8	0	17.7	16.9	0.88	18.6	16.2	2.42
Erick Dampier	43	45	0.24	0.26	-0.03	-0.03	9	7	2	17.2	17.2	0.01	15.7	18.6	-2.91
Darrell Armstrong	18	19	0.06	0.44	-0.38	0.09	-1	17	-18	20.0	16.4	3.56	15.7	17.5	-1.81
DJ Mbenga	9	8	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	0.01	-1	17	-18	15.2	17.4	-2.22	18.7	16.9	1.84
Rawle Marshall	28	28	-0.06	0.56	-0.61	0.09	-5	21	-26	18.6	16.5	2.05	17.4	16.9	0.41

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.45,0.48,0.48,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.42,0.51,0.5,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.56,0.58,0.68,0.71,0.71,0.81,0.81,0.88,0.91,0.92,0.94,0.9,0.91,0.95,0.92,0.95,0.95,0.94,0.92,0.93,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
NYK 83, NJN 96	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.42,0.41,0.47,0.45,0.44,0.45,0.46,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.58,0.61,0.66,0.71,0.74,0.83,0.84,0.91,0.95,0.94,0.93,0.93,0.92,0.94,0.95,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.8%
DET 87, WAS 97	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.46,0.44,0.45,0.43,0.4,0.4,0.49,0.48,0.47,0.51,0.53,0.56,0.56,0.61,0.7,0.77,0.82,0.87,0.92,0.86,0.91,0.91,0.92,0.85,0.92,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,1	96.6%
VAN 73, CHI 96	0.5,0.49,0.43,0.42,0.47,0.46,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.49,0.45,0.38,0.44,0.46,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.54,0.54,0.58,0.71,0.69,0.74,0.77,0.8,0.86,0.91,0.91,0.9,0.94,0.97,0.96,0.93,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.96,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.5%