NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Brooklyn Nets	124		Excitement	3.8 [1074]		MVP	Allen Crabbe (BKN): +13.6%
Chicago Bulls	96		Comeback	1.2 [1008]		LVP	Cameron Payne (CHI): -7.5%

Brooklyn Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Allen Crabbe	0.14	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.12	0.01	-0.01	15	65%	0.14	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Joe Harris	0.13	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.11	0.02	0.00	9	89%	0.17	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Quincy Acy	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.15	0.02	0.05	14	70%	0.13	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Jarrett Allen	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.01	0.01	6	75%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dante Cunningham	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.04	0.00	0.01	8	53%	0.03	0	0.00	1	100%	-0.00
Rondae Hollis-Jefferson	0.02	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	0.00	0.00	5	67%	0.05	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Spencer Dinwiddie	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.07	0.01	-0.08	11	36%	0.02	2	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Caris LeVert	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.06	-0.01	0.05	7	87%	0.08	3	-0.08	1	100%	0.00
Milton Doyle	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.05	0.00	-0.05	3	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nik Stauskas	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	2	75%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Timofey Mozgov	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	2	83%	0.00	1	-0.00	2	50%	0.00
D'Angelo Russell	-0.03	0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	-0.01	-0.02	10	55%	0.05	4	-0.07	2	50%	-0.01

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jerian Grant	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.08	0.00	-0.01	10	59%	0.09	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Sean Kilpatrick	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.13,0.11,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.07	0.03	0.02	14	62%	0.11	2	-0.04	4	100%	0.00
Cristiano Felicio	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.00	0.01	-0.06	11	54%	0.09	2	-0.02	4	100%	0.02
Omer Asik	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.00	-0.01	1	100%	0.02	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Justin Holiday	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	-0.01	-0.02	15	42%	-0.00	0	0.00	6	67%	-0.01
David Nwaba	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.07	0.00	-0.06	10	27%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Bobby Portis	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	0.02	15	58%	0.05	4	-0.08	1	100%	0.00
Ryan Arcidiacono	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	-0.01	2	0%	-0.02	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Cameron Payne	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.07	-0.02	-0.02	10	36%	-0.02	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.3	1.7	24.2	15.2	25.5	1.6	26.0	117.6
league avg	25.1	2.3	28.6	15.0	27.2	2.3	32.6	134.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BKN +48.2%

CHI -7.6%

BKN +7.6%

CHI -1.1%

BKN +2.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BKN	CHI	NBA	BKN	CHI	NBA
this game	14.5	13.1	14.7	118.1	92.3	107.5
season	14.7	14.2		105.8	103.2
opponent	15.0	14.1		110.2	109.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BKN	14.3	15.0	15.1	13.7	14.5
CHI	12.8	13.3	12.6	13.5	13.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Brooklyn Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Allen Crabbe	48	48	0.44	0.06	0.37	-0.03	16	12	4	14.5	14.5	-0.07	13.1	13.1	0.01
D'Angelo Russell	51	50	0.38	0.12	0.26	-0.03	14	14	0	14.4	14.6	-0.24	13.4	12.8	0.58
Caris LeVert	52	52	0.38	0.12	0.25	-0.15	18	10	8	15.0	14.0	0.96	12.5	13.6	-1.15
Rondae Hollis-Jefferson	50	50	0.36	0.14	0.22	-0.05	14	14	0	14.3	14.7	-0.33	13.4	12.8	0.58
Joe Harris	65	65	0.35	0.15	0.20	-0.29	22	6	16	14.1	15.2	-1.10	13.3	12.7	0.63
Jarrett Allen	45	47	0.34	0.16	0.19	-0.04	13	15	-2	14.3	14.6	-0.32	13.4	12.7	0.71
Dante Cunningham	49	46	0.16	0.34	-0.19	-0.14	10	18	-8	15.2	13.9	1.33	12.8	13.2	-0.38
Quincy Acy	51	50	0.14	0.36	-0.22	-0.18	11	17	-6	14.5	14.5	0.07	12.6	13.4	-0.80
Nik Stauskas	20	20	0.07	0.43	-0.35	-0.16	8	20	-12	12.4	15.0	-2.59	11.6	13.4	-1.80
Milton Doyle	19	18	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.15	5	23	-18	13.3	14.8	-1.44	14.0	12.9	1.14
Timofey Mozgov	15	15	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.23	8	20	-12	13.2	14.7	-1.51	12.9	13.1	-0.22
Spencer Dinwiddie	60	59	-0.12	0.62	-0.74	-0.15	1	27	-26	15.7	12.8	2.89	13.3	12.8	0.45

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Omer Asik	28	27	-0.12	-0.38	0.27	0.18	-10	-18	8	12.2	13.4	-1.15	15.4	14.2	1.28
Sean Kilpatrick	46	46	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	0.12	-9	-19	10	12.7	13.4	-0.73	15.6	13.6	1.98
Ryan Arcidiacono	48	49	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	0.33	-19	-9	-10	12.7	13.4	-0.65	14.3	14.7	-0.35
Jerian Grant	62	62	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	0.26	-18	-10	-8	12.9	13.3	-0.42	14.1	15.1	-0.97
Cameron Payne	56	56	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.01	-9	-19	10	13.4	12.7	0.65	14.7	14.3	0.35
David Nwaba	68	67	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	0.35	-22	-6	-16	12.9	13.4	-0.55	14.3	14.8	-0.46
Justin Holiday	71	73	-0.38	-0.12	-0.25	0.21	-20	-8	-12	13.2	12.7	0.48	14.1	15.3	-1.22
Cristiano Felicio	76	78	-0.38	-0.12	-0.27	0.14	-18	-10	-8	13.4	12.2	1.15	14.2	15.4	-1.28
Bobby Portis	65	67	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	0.02	-15	-13	-2	13.5	12.3	1.28	14.7	14.2	0.49

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.43,0.39,0.34,0.36,0.41,0.47,0.45,0.51,0.49,0.37,0.36,0.46,0.45,0.42,0.33,0.37,0.39,0.46,0.28,0.22,0.18,0.18,0.29,0.18,0.15,0.09,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
LAL 98, MIL 81	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.4,0.41,0.44,0.45,0.43,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.42,0.4,0.42,0.44,0.47,0.38,0.42,0.42,0.39,0.39,0.36,0.25,0.27,0.25,0.31,0.25,0.13,0.09,0.12,0.08,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.0%
DET 113, NJN 92	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.38,0.38,0.42,0.45,0.47,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.47,0.45,0.38,0.4,0.37,0.39,0.39,0.36,0.22,0.25,0.22,0.18,0.18,0.16,0.25,0.15,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.7%
MEM 115, PHX 96	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.41,0.42,0.4,0.37,0.43,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.43,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.47,0.35,0.3,0.29,0.36,0.39,0.25,0.22,0.2,0.23,0.16,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.6%