inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Memphis Grizzlies 115 Excitement3.5 [1095] MVPMike Conley (MEM): +26.6%
Phoenix Suns 96 Comeback1.0 [1074] LVPEric Bledsoe (PHX): -17.5%


Memphis Grizzlies
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Mike Conley0.270,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.22,0.23,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.26,0.27,0.27,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.270.300.040.071886%0.292-0.02887%0.02
JaMychal Green0.050,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.08,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.000.01-0.04744%0.0500.00250%-0.01
Zach Randolph0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.080.000.031369%0.102-0.0500%0.00
Andrew Harrison0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.04-0.000.011100%0.051-0.02475%0.00
Tony Allen0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02-0.020.00-0.04944%0.031-0.0100%0.00
Toney Douglas0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.060.00-0.0610%0.0020.0000%0.00
Wade Baldwin IV0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
Brandan Wright0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.030.000.03560%0.0000.0000%0.00
James Ennis III-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.02-0.010.02387%0.032-0.032100%0.01
Marc Gasol-0.010,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.010.02-0.010.021264%0.074-0.084100%0.01
Troy Daniels-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.040.00-0.0210%-0.0110.0000%0.00
Chandler Parsons-0.040,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.050.00-0.01325%-0.021-0.022100%0.01
Vince Carter-0.080,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.04-0.010.03636%-0.061-0.022100%0.01

Phoenix Suns
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
PJ Tucker0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.110.110.090.01-0.01779%0.1100.0000%0.00
Marquese Chriss0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.07-0.010.041271%0.093-0.06450%-0.00
TJ Warren0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.010.000.01450%0.0100.004100%0.01
Tyler Ulis0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.030.00-0.03550%0.032-0.0200%0.00
Jared Dudley00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Alan Williams0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.020.000.02367%0.0010.00367%0.00
Derrick Jones, Jr.00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Alex Len0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.010.00-0.00646%0.021-0.0210%-0.00
Tyson Chandler0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.01-0.00-0.01233%-0.0100.002100%0.01
Brandon Knight0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.030.00-0.02440%0.011-0.022100%0.01
Devin Booker0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.06,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.08-0.01-0.012042%-0.023-0.061283%0.01
Eric Bledsoe0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18-0.18-0.12-0.020.031142%-0.066-0.111164%-0.03
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game29.43.430.016.828.53.428.4139.9
league avg24.82.329.615.726.82.333.5136.4
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
MEM +31.1%
MEM +4.3%
MEM +5.2%
MEM +5.2%
MEM +4.3%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsMEMPHXNBAMEMPHXNBA
this game17.312.414.8118.699.0107.7
season16.113.9106.4105.4
opponent14.514.9110.3106.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
MEM16.617.416.818.417.3
PHX11.113.313.212.112.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Memphis Grizzlies
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Mike Conley63650.60-0.100.70-0.2529-103917.516.80.7513.111.11.97
JaMychal Green56570.480.020.46-0.2525-63117.716.80.9013.111.51.60
Vince Carter55540.350.150.20-0.2420-12117.716.80.9112.911.81.16
Tony Allen39420.340.160.17-0.01127516.817.6-0.7711.812.9-1.06
Chandler Parsons43460.320.180.130.17514-916.917.6-0.7111.213.5-2.23
Marc Gasol57580.280.220.06-0.04118316.817.9-1.0612.112.8-0.68
James Ennis III54520.100.40-0.30-0.02415-1117.616.90.6712.412.4-0.06
Troy Daniels14130.080.42-0.330.03217-1517.217.3-0.0713.812.21.57
Zach Randolph46440.050.45-0.40-0.21910-117.816.81.0013.911.22.70
Toney Douglas12110.000.50-0.500.18-625-3116.317.4-1.0810.112.7-2.62
Wade Baldwin IV12110.000.50-0.500.18-625-3116.317.4-1.0810.112.7-2.62
Brandan Wright12110.000.50-0.500.18-625-3116.317.4-1.0810.112.7-2.62
Andrew Harrison2221-0.100.60-0.700.01-423-2717.017.3-0.3011.612.6-1.01

Phoenix Suns
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Alan Williams11120.00-0.500.50-0.186-253110.112.7-2.6216.317.4-1.08
Derrick Jones, Jr.11120.00-0.500.50-0.186-253110.112.7-2.6216.317.4-1.08
Alex Len4241-0.14-0.360.230.16-10-9-113.311.71.5817.916.81.04
Jared Dudley1110-0.15-0.350.210.06-7-12516.111.94.1517.717.20.47
Brandon Knight3230-0.16-0.340.180.11-9-10113.012.10.8318.916.62.35
Tyler Ulis2930-0.20-0.300.11-0.11-3-161313.611.91.6317.117.3-0.21
TJ Warren4345-0.25-0.250.010.11-12-7-512.712.20.4716.418.1-1.72
PJ Tucker5049-0.27-0.23-0.050.25-18-1-1713.111.71.3817.517.10.43
Eric Bledsoe6464-0.31-0.19-0.120.16-16-3-1312.212.9-0.7117.217.3-0.08
Marquese Chriss7170-0.33-0.17-0.16-0.15-6-13711.514.8-3.2217.217.5-0.33
Devin Booker7778-0.34-0.16-0.17-0.01-11-8-312.014.1-2.1317.317.20.15
Tyson Chandler4444-0.36-0.14-0.230.08-15-4-1112.112.6-0.5117.017.5-0.55


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.41,0.42,0.4,0.37,0.43,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.43,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.47,0.35,0.3,0.29,0.36,0.39,0.25,0.22,0.2,0.23,0.16,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
GameSimilarity Score
POR 116, DEN 1050.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.47,0.5,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.43,0.42,0.44,0.37,0.36,0.4,0.4,0.44,0.37,0.34,0.32,0.29,0.26,0.21,0.25,0.18,0.23,0.14,0.1,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.06,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,096.3%
SAC 118, VAN 900.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.44,0.4,0.41,0.41,0.43,0.47,0.46,0.52,0.49,0.42,0.38,0.44,0.31,0.26,0.33,0.31,0.29,0.31,0.27,0.18,0.12,0.12,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,096.0%
SAS 110, PHI 850.5,0.51,0.46,0.42,0.43,0.4,0.45,0.43,0.39,0.39,0.37,0.4,0.44,0.43,0.4,0.38,0.38,0.4,0.44,0.37,0.39,0.36,0.31,0.25,0.3,0.3,0.24,0.14,0.1,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,095.9%