NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

San Antonio Spurs	110		Excitement	3.3 [1089]		MVP	Will Perdue (SAS): +9.6%
Philadelphia 76ers	85		Comeback	1.0 [919]		LVP	Monty Williams (SAS): -8.7%

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Will Perdue	0.10	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.15	0.00	0.06	10	91%	0.12	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.01
Tim Duncan	0.09	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.06,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.01	0.02	18	68%	0.11	2	-0.02	11	73%	0.01
Jaren Jackson	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.08	0.01	0.03	8	100%	0.13	4	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Willie Burton	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	4	50%	0.00
Carl Herrera	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	4	50%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Vinny Del Negro	-0.02	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.04	-0.00	0.06	12	54%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Reggie Geary	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.08	-0.00	-0.03	2	0%	-0.05	1	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Malik Rose	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.11	-0.00	-0.06	1	25%	-0.03	4	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
David Robinson	-0.08	0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	0.00	0.00	8	42%	-0.05	1	-0.02	8	75%	0.00
Monty Williams	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.02	-0.03	6	40%	-0.04	2	-0.05	8	50%	-0.02

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Allen Iverson	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.05	-0.00	0.01	17	60%	0.06	1	-0.02	6	67%	-0.02
Theo Ratliff	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	2	67%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Eric Snow	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.05	0.00	-0.05	0	100%	0.00	3	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Benoit Benjamin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	5	40%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Parker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.04	-0.01	0.06	5	75%	0.00	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.00
Derrick Coleman	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.05,0.04,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.06	0.02	-0.00	17	46%	0.01	2	-0.05	5	60%	-0.02
Tim Thomas	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.12	0.00	-0.08	17	36%	-0.00	3	-0.04	2	50%	-0.00
Scott Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.09	-0.01	-0.05	4	25%	-0.03	3	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Brian Shaw	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	2	0%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Joe Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.10	0.00	-0.03	9	45%	-0.02	4	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.2	1.7	31.0	14.8	28.1	1.5	23.4	126.7
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAS +17.0%

SAS +9.5%

SAS +22.2%

SAS +1.6%

PHI -0.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAS	PHI	NBA	SAS	PHI	NBA
this game	15.9	15.0	15.6	117.0	92.4	102.5
season	15.9	15.4		100.9	99.7
opponent	15.5	15.9		102.1	97.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAS	14.9	16.4	16.1	16.4	15.9
PHI	13.9	14.2	18.3	14.3	15.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
David Robinson	47	49	0.53	-0.03	0.56	-0.32	29	-4	33	15.6	16.3	-0.64	15.7	14.3	1.44
Vinny Del Negro	79	77	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.00	17	8	9	16.6	12.6	3.97	15.0	15.2	-0.21
Will Perdue	59	56	0.44	0.06	0.39	-0.03	16	9	7	17.2	13.8	3.45	15.6	14.1	1.54
Jaren Jackson	74	74	0.43	0.07	0.37	-0.50	32	-7	39	15.3	18.2	-2.88	15.5	13.1	2.44
Tim Duncan	65	64	0.40	0.10	0.31	-0.45	29	-4	33	16.6	14.4	2.15	15.3	14.4	0.90
Monty Williams	39	39	0.15	0.35	-0.20	-0.02	6	19	-13	17.3	15.0	2.26	14.7	15.3	-0.62
Reggie Geary	37	35	0.06	0.44	-0.38	0.06	0	25	-25	15.6	16.2	-0.61	13.8	15.8	-2.02
Willie Burton	10	10	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.06	2	23	-21	13.6	16.2	-2.61	15.3	15.0	0.31
Carl Herrera	14	13	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	25	-25	14.2	16.2	-2.02	13.8	15.2	-1.37
Malik Rose	46	43	-0.02	0.52	-0.55	0.15	-6	31	-37	13.8	18.0	-4.22	13.9	16.0	-2.05

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Scott Williams	26	24	0.06	-0.56	0.62	-0.03	3	-28	31	13.5	15.6	-2.17	18.7	15.0	3.67
Eric Snow	31	31	-0.02	-0.48	0.47	0.01	-1	-24	23	14.7	15.2	-0.52	15.5	16.2	-0.67
Benoit Benjamin	27	29	-0.07	-0.42	0.35	0.13	-7	-18	11	14.7	15.1	-0.40	14.0	16.8	-2.85
Tim Thomas	62	64	-0.09	-0.41	0.31	0.11	-7	-18	11	15.1	14.8	0.28	16.3	15.2	1.08
Anthony Parker	38	37	-0.10	-0.40	0.29	0.04	-5	-20	15	14.9	15.1	-0.13	15.7	16.1	-0.39
Theo Ratliff	32	33	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	0.17	-15	-10	-5	15.2	14.9	0.30	16.6	15.6	1.03
Joe Smith	59	59	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	0.03	-16	-9	-7	14.7	15.6	-0.86	15.6	16.5	-0.83
Allen Iverson	68	70	-0.45	-0.05	-0.39	0.23	-23	-2	-21	15.1	14.9	0.14	16.2	15.1	1.09
Brian Shaw	57	60	-0.52	0.02	-0.55	0.15	-23	-2	-21	15.2	14.7	0.50	15.7	16.3	-0.61
Derrick Coleman	60	63	-0.59	0.09	-0.67	0.32	-31	6	-37	15.9	13.3	2.62	15.7	16.5	-0.87

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.46,0.42,0.43,0.4,0.45,0.43,0.39,0.39,0.37,0.4,0.44,0.43,0.4,0.38,0.38,0.4,0.44,0.37,0.39,0.36,0.31,0.25,0.3,0.3,0.24,0.14,0.1,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
CHA 96, MIL 72	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.43,0.45,0.47,0.44,0.36,0.33,0.31,0.31,0.37,0.45,0.4,0.38,0.34,0.44,0.47,0.42,0.42,0.46,0.39,0.33,0.31,0.36,0.3,0.21,0.18,0.13,0.11,0.08,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.4%
OKC 125, MEM 88	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.47,0.39,0.45,0.41,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.42,0.44,0.43,0.49,0.42,0.4,0.51,0.49,0.4,0.46,0.41,0.34,0.3,0.25,0.18,0.21,0.16,0.1,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.0%
UTA 120, SAC 98	0.5,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.48,0.43,0.4,0.45,0.43,0.41,0.43,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.44,0.4,0.44,0.42,0.42,0.34,0.36,0.29,0.23,0.25,0.22,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.9%