NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Utah Jazz	120		Excitement	3.1 [1117]		MVP	Karl Malone (UTA): +11.7%
Sacramento Kings	98		Comeback	1.3 [1066]		LVP	Billy Owens (SAC): -8.1%

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Karl Malone	0.12	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.15	0.00	0.04	16	75%	0.13	1	-0.02	8	75%	0.02
John Stockton	0.05	0,0,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.06	0.00	0.01	8	73%	0.06	1	-0.01	6	83%	-0.00
Antoine Carr	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.01	7	86%	0.07	3	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Hornacek	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.00	0.01	-0.01	4	64%	0.05	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.03
Greg Ostertag	0.01	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.00	0.00	-0.01	3	50%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Stephen Howard	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.02	-0.00	-0.03	9	50%	0.01	0	0.00	6	67%	0.00
Howard Eisley	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.07	0.00	-0.07	5	17%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Bryon Russell	-0.00	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	5	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Chris Morris	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	0.01	5	58%	0.02	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Greg Foster	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.07	-0.01	-0.05	4	33%	-0.03	1	0.00	4	50%	0.01
Shandon Anderson	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	0.05	-0.01	0.09	13	62%	-0.04	1	-0.01	6	50%	-0.00

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mitch Richmond	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.06,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	-0.01	-0.01	22	61%	0.09	3	-0.05	12	75%	-0.00
Jeff Grayer	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.00	-0.03	3	50%	0.02	0	0.00	4	75%	0.01
Olden Polynice	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.05	-0.00	0.03	8	70%	0.04	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.00
Lionel Simmons	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	1	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bobby Hurley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	0	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Duane Causwell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.09	0.00	0.09	3	112%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Mahmoud Abdul-Rauf	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.04	0.00	-0.03	9	44%	0.02	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Corliss Williamson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.12	-0.00	-0.09	10	42%	0.01	4	-0.03	4	50%	-0.01
Michael Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	0.03	2	75%	-0.02	1	-0.01	4	50%	-0.02
Kevin Gamble	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	2	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tyus Edney	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.06	-0.02	0.00	4	40%	-0.03	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Billy Owens	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.04	-0.01	0.03	8	44%	-0.03	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.2	1.8	25.2	16.4	28.6	2.5	28.5	130.2
league avg	32.7	2.1	23.2	15.3	25.7	2.1	33.1	135.6

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +15.5%

UTA +13.1%

UTA +9.3%

UTA +9.1%

UTA +3.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	UTA	SAC	NBA	UTA	SAC	NBA
this game	15.9	14.5	15.6	127.7	103.2	104.4
season	15.6	15.4		110.8	102.4
opponent	15.4	16.0		106.0	102.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
UTA	15.3	15.5	15.3	17.7	15.9
SAC	13.5	15.1	15.4	14.2	14.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Bryon Russell	47	48	0.52	-0.02	0.54	-0.24	26	-4	30	15.7	16.2	-0.51	14.9	14.2	0.75
John Stockton	58	60	0.51	-0.01	0.53	-0.13	22	0	22	16.0	15.8	0.21	15.9	12.2	3.72
Karl Malone	64	65	0.42	0.08	0.34	-0.28	24	-2	26	15.6	16.7	-1.07	14.8	14.0	0.75
Greg Ostertag	34	33	0.31	0.19	0.11	-0.25	19	3	16	15.0	16.5	-1.47	15.1	14.3	0.83
Jeff Hornacek	43	44	0.31	0.19	0.11	-0.02	11	11	0	15.0	16.7	-1.73	14.1	14.9	-0.77
Stephen Howard	41	41	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.16	2	20	-18	16.4	15.6	0.76	13.7	15.2	-1.52
Shandon Anderson	51	51	0.19	0.31	-0.11	-0.13	11	11	0	16.7	15.0	1.73	14.9	14.1	0.77
Antoine Carr	31	34	0.14	0.36	-0.23	-0.04	6	16	-10	16.5	15.6	0.91	15.6	13.9	1.71
Howard Eisley	36	35	-0.01	0.51	-0.53	-0.01	0	22	-22	15.8	16.0	-0.21	12.2	15.9	-3.72
Chris Morris	47	47	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	0.10	-4	26	-30	16.2	15.7	0.51	14.2	14.9	-0.75
Greg Foster	18	17	-0.09	0.59	-0.67	0.12	-7	29	-36	16.9	15.7	1.18	12.5	15.0	-2.53

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Lionel Simmons	9	9	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.12	4	-26	30	11.8	14.8	-3.06	14.7	16.1	-1.40
Bobby Hurley	8	8	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.21	7	-29	36	12.1	14.8	-2.65	14.7	16.0	-1.30
Duane Causwell	11	12	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.09	3	-25	28	11.3	15.0	-3.70	17.2	15.8	1.41
Jeff Grayer	41	40	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	0.09	-8	-14	6	15.6	13.8	1.83	17.4	14.8	2.59
Billy Owens	46	45	-0.16	-0.34	0.19	-0.01	-5	-17	12	14.7	14.4	0.20	16.6	15.3	1.23
Tyus Edney	47	44	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	0.04	-7	-15	8	15.0	14.1	0.81	15.8	16.1	-0.31
Corliss Williamson	52	52	-0.21	-0.29	0.09	0.00	-7	-15	8	14.1	15.1	-1.00	15.7	16.2	-0.42
Kevin Gamble	15	15	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	0.02	-8	-14	6	14.7	14.5	0.22	15.5	16.0	-0.56
Mahmoud Abdul-Rauf	40	42	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	0.31	-22	0	-22	14.5	14.5	0.00	16.3	15.6	0.72
Mitch Richmond	76	74	-0.35	-0.15	-0.19	0.27	-21	-1	-20	14.6	14.2	0.49	15.7	16.7	-1.03
Michael Smith	70	70	-0.45	-0.05	-0.41	0.22	-23	1	-24	14.7	14.1	0.58	15.6	16.9	-1.32
Olden Polynice	60	59	-0.47	-0.03	-0.45	0.20	-23	1	-24	14.8	14.1	0.73	15.3	16.9	-1.60

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.48,0.43,0.4,0.45,0.43,0.41,0.43,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.44,0.4,0.44,0.42,0.42,0.34,0.36,0.29,0.23,0.25,0.22,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
LAC 88, UTA 72	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.41,0.43,0.44,0.4,0.43,0.41,0.43,0.4,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.42,0.46,0.39,0.36,0.29,0.22,0.3,0.27,0.2,0.19,0.16,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.8%
SAC 118, VAN 90	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.44,0.4,0.41,0.41,0.43,0.47,0.46,0.52,0.49,0.42,0.38,0.44,0.31,0.26,0.33,0.31,0.29,0.31,0.27,0.18,0.12,0.12,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.5%
MIN 126, PHI 95	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.48,0.41,0.4,0.45,0.43,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.51,0.47,0.42,0.44,0.49,0.37,0.34,0.34,0.33,0.23,0.18,0.1,0.07,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.4%