NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	98		Excitement	3.7 [1020]		MVP	Rick Fox (LAL): +10.0%
Milwaukee Bucks	81		Comeback	1.0 [1012]		LVP	Glenn Robinson (MIL): -11.3%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rick Fox	0.10	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.02	0.01	9	72%	0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Robert Horry	0.04	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.03	0.00	0.00	9	59%	0.04	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Derek Fisher	0.02	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.00	-0.00	-0.01	7	56%	0.04	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Mario Bennett	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jon Barry	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	2	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eddie Jones	-0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	14	61%	0.05	4	-0.07	5	80%	0.01
Corie Blount	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	0.01	1	100%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Kobe Bryant	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.06	-0.00	-0.03	12	41%	-0.02	1	-0.00	5	100%	0.03
Elden Campbell	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	6	43%	-0.01	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.00
Shaquille O'Neal	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.13	-0.00	-0.04	16	48%	-0.02	4	-0.07	12	42%	-0.08

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Michael Curry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.08	0.01	0.00	11	65%	0.09	0	0.00	4	75%	0.01
Jamie Feick	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jerald Honeycutt	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andrew Lang	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.05	0.00	-0.04	4	25%	-0.01	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Armen Gilliam	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	8	39%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Litterial Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	2	50%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Ervin Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	4	50%	0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Ricky Pierce	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	3	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Elliot Perry	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	5	20%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ray Allen	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	0.00	0.07	21	43%	-0.07	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Tyrone Hill	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.08	-0.01	-0.02	14	36%	-0.03	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Glenn Robinson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.15	-0.01	-0.05	19	37%	-0.05	3	-0.07	5	40%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.2	1.6	25.8	14.8	24.4	1.7	24.2	114.7
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAL +37.1%

LAL +14.2%

MIL -1.0%

MIL -1.9%

LAL +1.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	MIL	NBA	LAL	MIL	NBA
this game	15.0	17.0	15.6	110.1	89.0	102.5
season	14.8	16.0		110.0	101.1
opponent	15.1	15.6		102.8	102.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAL	14.5	14.6	13.0	18.0	15.0
MIL	18.2	17.3	16.3	16.3	17.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Eddie Jones	71	72	0.53	-0.03	0.56	-0.23	26	-9	35	13.9	19.1	-5.20	18.0	13.2	4.87
Rick Fox	56	56	0.40	0.10	0.30	-0.07	16	1	15	14.5	15.7	-1.16	17.8	15.8	1.97
Derek Fisher	70	69	0.38	0.12	0.26	-0.15	18	-1	19	14.0	18.5	-4.53	17.1	16.7	0.43
Shaquille O'Neal	68	68	0.38	0.12	0.25	0.02	12	5	7	14.6	16.1	-1.54	17.7	15.1	2.57
Robert Horry	59	60	0.20	0.30	-0.10	-0.06	9	8	1	14.2	16.5	-2.26	17.4	16.3	1.04
Elden Campbell	42	44	0.19	0.31	-0.13	-0.05	8	9	-1	17.0	13.2	3.81	16.5	17.5	-1.08
Corie Blount	18	18	0.18	0.32	-0.13	-0.05	8	9	-1	13.6	15.3	-1.70	17.1	17.0	0.12
Kobe Bryant	43	48	0.17	0.33	-0.16	0.20	-1	18	-19	16.7	13.4	3.26	15.6	18.6	-3.07
Mario Bennett	8	9	0.07	0.43	-0.36	0.13	-2	19	-21	18.2	14.6	3.61	11.3	17.6	-6.30
Jon Barry	10	11	0.01	0.49	-0.49	0.27	-9	26	-35	22.7	14.0	8.71	12.9	17.6	-4.67

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jamie Feick	3	2	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.12	4	-21	25	8.0	17.3	-9.32	25.0	14.7	10.26
Jerald Honeycutt	3	3	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.15	5	-22	27	8.0	17.3	-9.32	22.3	14.7	7.62
Litterial Green	15	15	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	0.02	-2	-15	13	18.5	16.7	1.82	14.1	15.1	-1.08
Ricky Pierce	12	12	-0.06	-0.44	0.37	-0.00	-2	-15	13	16.0	17.2	-1.16	12.3	15.4	-3.04
Ervin Johnson	24	25	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	0.01	-5	-12	7	19.0	16.3	2.64	14.3	15.2	-0.95
Armen Gilliam	33	34	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	0.08	-9	-8	-1	17.6	16.7	0.98	16.3	14.2	2.10
Michael Curry	48	47	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.08	-4	-13	9	16.4	17.7	-1.39	16.5	13.2	3.27
Andrew Lang	52	50	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.01	-9	-8	-1	16.4	17.8	-1.42	14.7	15.3	-0.65
Glenn Robinson	69	68	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	0.18	-18	1	-19	17.0	17.1	-0.11	14.4	16.7	-2.29
Elliot Perry	41	38	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.05	-11	-6	-5	17.0	17.0	0.02	14.6	15.2	-0.63
Tyrone Hill	70	67	-0.41	-0.09	-0.31	0.03	-15	-2	-13	16.9	17.4	-0.54	14.5	16.5	-1.98
Ray Allen	85	84	-0.48	-0.02	-0.45	0.08	-19	2	-21	17.6	8.8	8.75	15.0	14.8	0.18

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.4,0.41,0.44,0.45,0.43,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.42,0.4,0.42,0.44,0.47,0.38,0.42,0.42,0.39,0.39,0.36,0.25,0.27,0.25,0.31,0.25,0.13,0.09,0.12,0.08,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
NYK 111, CHA 78	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.38,0.44,0.44,0.47,0.49,0.53,0.45,0.42,0.36,0.43,0.47,0.47,0.38,0.33,0.37,0.42,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.31,0.25,0.22,0.24,0.25,0.28,0.15,0.12,0.08,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.2%
MIL 91, MIA 79	0.5,0.51,0.45,0.45,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.41,0.47,0.43,0.47,0.45,0.46,0.48,0.45,0.51,0.47,0.44,0.4,0.46,0.44,0.41,0.34,0.36,0.27,0.22,0.24,0.28,0.25,0.17,0.14,0.1,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.1%
BKN 124, CHI 96	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.43,0.39,0.34,0.36,0.41,0.47,0.45,0.51,0.49,0.37,0.36,0.46,0.45,0.42,0.33,0.37,0.39,0.46,0.28,0.22,0.18,0.18,0.29,0.18,0.15,0.09,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.0%