NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Detroit Pistons	113		Excitement	3.5 [1070]		MVP	Grant Hill (DET): +15.7%
New Jersey Nets	92		Comeback	1.0 [555]		LVP	Stephon Marbury (NJN): -9.4%

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Grant Hill	0.16	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.08,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.11,0.1,0.08,0.1,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.12	0.01	-0.02	18	76%	0.22	4	-0.06	6	67%	0.00
Jerry Stackhouse	0.09	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.12	0.01	0.04	27	58%	0.09	0	0.00	5	80%	-0.01
John Crotty	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.03	0.00	-0.02	4	62%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lindsey Hunter	0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.01	13	50%	0.05	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jerome Williams	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.08	0.01	0.07	5	93%	0.03	1	-0.00	4	75%	-0.01
Jud Buechler	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	33%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eric Montross	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Michael Curry	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	4	25%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Terry Mills	-0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mikki Moore	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.08	0.00	-0.05	8	32%	-0.01	1	-0.02	3	67%	-0.00
Christian Laettner	-0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.08	-0.00	-0.02	8	25%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Johnny Newman	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.00	0.00	-0.03	18	50%	0.03	0	0.00	8	50%	-0.01
Lucious Harris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.03	2	50%	0.02	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Keith Van Horn	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.01	-0.03	7	69%	0.09	4	-0.08	2	100%	0.01
Gheorghe Muresan	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	80%	0.00	0	0.00	3	67%	0.00
Scott Burrell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	10	40%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jamie Feick	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	0.00	0.02	4	55%	-0.02	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.00
Elliot Perry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0.02	5	58%	-0.02	1	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Evan Eschmeyer	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	4	50%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Kerry Kittles	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.06	-0.01	-0.03	11	37%	-0.01	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Kendall Gill	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.08	-0.00	-0.01	9	37%	-0.06	1	-0.01	6	50%	-0.02
Stephon Marbury	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.09	-0.02	-0.01	13	34%	-0.08	1	-0.01	3	67%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.0	1.8	27.0	43.0	49.4	0.5	25.5	168.1
league avg	26.0	2.2	28.8	16.5	26.3	2.2	33.7	137.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DET +42.8%

NJN -5.1%

DET +5.5%

DET +4.8%

DET +2.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DET	NJN	NBA	DET	NJN	NBA
this game	14.3	15.5	15.2	117.7	94.8	101.7
season	14.1	15.5		104.2	102.1
opponent	14.7	15.3		103.3	103.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DET	14.3	12.0	14.6	16.6	14.3
NJN	14.5	16.2	14.8	16.9	15.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Christian Laettner	64	65	0.41	0.09	0.31	-0.21	21	0	21	13.9	15.1	-1.14	16.2	14.2	1.92
Grant Hill	70	72	0.40	0.10	0.30	-0.13	18	3	15	14.3	14.3	-0.01	15.3	16.2	-0.95
Jerry Stackhouse	75	74	0.35	0.15	0.20	-0.09	15	6	9	14.1	15.1	-1.02	15.3	16.2	-0.84
Lindsey Hunter	69	69	0.29	0.21	0.09	-0.09	13	8	5	14.4	14.0	0.42	15.2	16.3	-1.10
Terry Mills	45	44	0.23	0.27	-0.05	-0.07	10	11	-1	14.0	14.5	-0.53	14.8	16.2	-1.36
John Crotty	33	33	0.21	0.29	-0.09	0.00	7	14	-7	14.0	14.5	-0.46	15.7	15.4	0.29
Jerome Williams	39	41	0.19	0.31	-0.12	-0.07	9	12	-3	15.2	13.7	1.56	16.3	15.0	1.31
Mikki Moore	35	36	0.16	0.34	-0.18	0.10	2	19	-17	13.9	14.5	-0.61	15.0	15.9	-0.90
Michael Curry	29	29	0.14	0.36	-0.22	-0.01	5	16	-11	14.6	14.2	0.41	16.7	15.0	1.69
Jud Buechler	13	14	0.11	0.39	-0.29	-0.04	5	16	-11	15.5	14.1	1.34	16.5	15.4	1.13
Eric Montross	8	8	0.02	0.48	-0.46	0.02	0	21	-21	15.5	14.2	1.31	13.1	15.8	-2.63

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Gheorghe Muresan	7	8	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.03	1	-22	23	13.3	15.7	-2.43	15.5	14.2	1.31
Johnny Newman	57	56	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	0.07	-6	-15	9	16.0	14.9	1.13	15.4	12.7	2.70
Jamie Feick	34	33	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	0.07	-8	-13	5	16.5	15.0	1.53	16.1	13.4	2.73
Lucious Harris	27	26	-0.16	-0.34	0.17	0.01	-6	-15	9	16.9	15.0	1.87	14.0	14.4	-0.47
Elliot Perry	31	32	-0.18	-0.32	0.13	0.08	-9	-12	3	15.8	15.4	0.40	14.7	14.1	0.62
Scott Burrell	39	39	-0.20	-0.30	0.11	-0.05	-5	-16	11	16.2	15.1	1.03	14.1	14.5	-0.38
Evan Eschmeyer	50	50	-0.28	-0.22	-0.07	0.04	-11	-10	-1	14.8	16.3	-1.44	13.4	15.2	-1.80
Stephon Marbury	66	64	-0.32	-0.18	-0.13	0.04	-12	-9	-3	15.4	15.8	-0.40	14.1	14.7	-0.62
Kerry Kittles	70	70	-0.34	-0.16	-0.17	0.10	-15	-6	-9	15.0	16.9	-1.87	14.4	14.0	0.47
Keith Van Horn	64	62	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	0.20	-19	-2	-17	15.4	15.8	-0.34	14.0	14.8	-0.76
Kendall Gill	40	40	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	0.05	-15	-6	-9	14.9	16.0	-1.13	12.7	15.4	-2.70

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.38,0.38,0.42,0.45,0.47,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.47,0.45,0.38,0.4,0.37,0.39,0.39,0.36,0.22,0.25,0.22,0.18,0.18,0.16,0.25,0.15,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
CHI 112, CLE 91	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.42,0.41,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.51,0.53,0.48,0.51,0.46,0.44,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.44,0.37,0.32,0.31,0.19,0.15,0.25,0.18,0.16,0.12,0.2,0.22,0.12,0.06,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.3%
NYK 111, CHA 78	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.38,0.44,0.44,0.47,0.49,0.53,0.45,0.42,0.36,0.43,0.47,0.47,0.38,0.33,0.37,0.42,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.31,0.25,0.22,0.24,0.25,0.28,0.15,0.12,0.08,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.1%
ORL 112, MEM 85	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.45,0.41,0.37,0.43,0.49,0.53,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.47,0.36,0.35,0.31,0.41,0.42,0.34,0.28,0.23,0.3,0.22,0.14,0.17,0.15,0.11,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.12,0.1,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.9%